Unpolished Thoughts on Stocks #1
Genius Sports aims to turn official sports data into AI-driven, real-time advertising, with media and ads already about 40% of revenue.
Sunday, September 13, 2026
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JabroniCoin.USD on X
“Huawei’s report on its progress gave Ding leeway to be more aggressive. He delivered a blunt warning to China’s largest AI users, according to people familiar with the message: Anyone who resisted employing domestic chips was a traitor.” $ACMR https://t.co/2DDOgMTQEW
BDC on X
$SNAP will generate more FCF this year than $GOOGL and maybe more than the hyperscalers combined in the 2H ex MSFT! Just sayin...
Clark Square Capital on X
Anybody like $DOMO here? Trading at $3.67 when they will have circa $4.84 in net cash after the sale closes + $900m in NOLs (at a 21% tax rate, that's worth $4.50 to the equity) https://t.co/UwaAd0UkLL
Clark Square Capital on X
Good, solid quarter from $BWMX https://t.co/rRzlwT85tX
JabroniCoin.USD on X
$THC smoked the hospital narrative and HCA, with a beat, raise and $2 Bn additional buyback. Bears might not be ambulatory for long… https://t.co/Jqp3snqr1l
BDC on X
$STIM https://t.co/VyAQNzsKuH
marginofdanger on X
$FPH mentions on call they are currently talking to anchor tenants for the 2.8mm sf of R&D/tech-dedicated entitlements for Candlestick. Not many options for contiguous brand new space in SF. Would be interesting if they secured a whale like Anthropic, OpenAI or Databricks.
marginofdanger on X
@blondesnmoney $OPBK solid
Investor Letters
All letters- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. Q3 2026 DR0 $469MALM $4.2B
- Akre Capital Management, LLC Q3 2026 AMT $82B
- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.6BSUSRF $262M
- Janus Henderson Investors July 2026 NXT $13B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 4549 $498M8011 $231M
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 NEO $1.1BVNP $1.9B
- Lindsell Train Limited July RMVEY $3.5B
- Kernow Asset Management July 2026 CKNHF $2.1BCMCX $2.6B
Why “Affordable Luxury” Doesn't Compound
Lululemon’s growth stalled as affordable-luxury apparel brands face fading post-Covid demand, cheap social-media influence and China…
The Five Deals That Made Apollo
Apollo Global Management’s five defining deals, from Executive Life to Intel, built a $1 trillion asset manager spanning insurance and…
TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/11/2026)
TSOH weekly roundup covers Meta’s child-safety settlement, Markel’s leadership transition, Peloton’s gym strategy and an upcoming Alarm.com…
Independence Realty Buying Centerspace: Opportunity And Implications
Independence Realty Trust is buying Centerspace in stock to create an $8.1 billion apartment REIT, targeting 5% 2027 Core FFO per-share…
NET Power (NPWR):
NET Power’s $1.80 shares are paired with January $2 covered calls for 40 cents as the company pivots from carbon capture to Permian…
Tsakos Energy Navigation: Watch Those Oil Prices
Tsakos Energy Navigation benefits from higher oil prices and stronger tanker sentiment, but faces long-term demand destruction and…
Long Player 
Joby Aviation (NYSE: JOBY) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage
Joby Aviation is initiated at Accumulate after booking $116m of trailing revenue, forming a Toyota manufacturing venture and agreeing to…
Sofwave Medical: Lifting Skin While the Beauty Sector Sags
Sofwave Medical grew Q2 revenue 43% as recurring usage fees reached 46% of sales for its non-invasive ultrasound skin-tightening devices.
Zack Buckley on $PRTH's take private
Priority Technology’s chairman offered $6.00 to $6.15 a share to take PRTH private, while Zack Buckley argues Treasury Solutions and…
Imperial Petroleum: Buy On Strong Prospects And Substantial Share Repurchases
Imperial Petroleum's record Q2 cash generation, major share repurchases and a $32 million Suezmax sale gain set up another record quarter.
Henrik Alex 3 clicks
HNRG · long Hallador Energy CO
Hallador Energy, a coal producer, is pitched as a long based on five value components and potential 2026 catalysts.
Amplitude Q2 26 - Examining The Moat - Rating, Hold.
Amplitude reported Q2 revenue of $100.9 million, up 21%, as agentic AI and LLM vendors challenge the moat of its product analytics software.
Single Stock Spotlight #14: Kosmos Energy (KOS)
Kosmos Energy (KOS) is pitched as an oil stock poised to outperform if oil stays above $70-$80, supported by a claimed 2 billion-barrel…
BridgeBio Pharma: Attruby Peak Sales Set To Rise
BridgeBio Pharma raised Attruby peak-sales guidance as kidney-benefit data, fewer hospital days and competitor setbacks strengthen its…
Atticus Analysis 
TransDigm is still in it for the money
TransDigm’s sole-source aerospace parts generate roughly 70% aftermarket margins, with 90% of revenue tied to owned IP and 80% from…
Gaming And Leisure Properties: Guilty By Association With VICI
Gaming and Leisure Properties raised AFFO guidance and dividends after Q2, trading at 10.2 times forward AFFO with an 80% payout ratio and…
Quick Value #330 - Deckers Outdoor (DECK)
Deckers Outdoor has fallen about 60% from its late-2024 peak and trades at 11x earnings as HOKA growth slows.
[scuttleslops] UNP-NSC merger, HEI, NVDA, AVGO, DG, DLTR
Union Pacific’s $85 billion Norfolk Southern merger pitch centers on a coast-to-coast rail network that cuts interchange delays and wins…
ContextLogic Acquires gChem (LOGC): Update and Valuation
ContextLogic will acquire specialty-solvent maker gChem for $850 million, funded by a $650 million rights offering and $250 million of…
Kodiak AI: The Stock Collapsed Just As The Business Started Working
Kodiak AI’s stock collapse coincides with a planned year-end long-haul driverless launch, while cash burn, customer concentration and…
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Convequity
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Deep Sail Capital
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DOMO Capital Management, LLC
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Fierce_beast
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JabroniCoin.USD
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SG
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Investor letters we follow
- 1851 Capital
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- Akre Capital Management, LLC
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- Lindsell Train Limited
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- Markel Group
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- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd.
- Pershing Square Holdings
- Polaris Capital Management
- Polen Capital 5Perspectives Growth Opportunities
- Polen Capital U.S. Opportunistic High Yield
- Praetorian Capital
- Protean Funds
- RGA Investment Advisors
- Rowan Street Capital
- Royce Investment Partners
- Sequoia Fund
- Southeastern Asset Management
- Third Avenue Management
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- Upslope Capital Management
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