Saturday, September 12, 2026

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/11/2026)

TSOH weekly roundup covers Meta’s child-safety settlement, Markel’s leadership transition, Peloton’s gym strategy and an upcoming Alarm.com initiation.

PTON $2.1B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 11 2 clicks

Sep 11 JOBY $6.2B

Joby Aviation (NYSE: JOBY) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage

Cestrian Capital Research.

Sep 7 CELH $7.1B

Celsius: The Pepsi Put

TSOH Investment Research 7 clicks

From X

@finphysnerd Sep 12 1 click

Myles on X

I feel $GEO is a pretty decent short here. It's not cheap, and I might be politically biased, but I think it's hard to see Republicans getting many wins in the midterms, which the market will likely extrapolate to 2028.

@Mike10947310 Sep 11

Mike on X

Small cap defense names with quality products or unique assets have held up better than some of the primes. Not much discussion of it but $ITA down quite sharply this past month. $FEIM w/ strong earnings. $ESP just declared another special dividend. $SIF just bouncing around.

@ACapitalLP Sep 11

A Capital on X

$RUM is a perception <> reality trade… A right wing version of YouTube or a sleeper AI/HPC pivot? 🤷‍♂️ https://t.co/uBcXByq8OS

@ACapitalLP Sep 10

A Capital on X

$CIFR< $16 👀

@DeepSailCapital Sep 10

Deep Sail Capital on X

What I'm carrying into the next list: → Short arithmetic, not narratives → Overleveraged and Industry Bubble earn their slot → Potential Fraud has to clear a much higher bar → Stop re-shorting $RUM Full table and methodology at Shorts & Squeeze Corner.

@DeepSailCapital Sep 10

Deep Sail Capital on X

The rest of the Sept '25 podium — a full year of holding: $EVTL +88% $SMR +77% $LVWR +76% $OKLO +73% $BTQ +73% $SOUN +69% $RGTI +67% 19 of the 20 names on that list fell. Nineteen.

@DeepSailCapital Sep 10

Deep Sail Capital on X

Biggest miss was $RUM. $RUM was my worst pick on four of five lists. Average: -23%. $PLTR: -13% average across four lists. Right on the multiple, wrong on the stock, repeatedly. $CVNA: -4% average — and I had it tagged Potential Fraud.

@BlueDuckCap Sep 10

BDC on X

$BKD - accelerating occupancy on operational improvements. Red-hot August making up for a softer than expected June. New chief sales officer seems to be doing a solid job. Renovations also helping. Like this management team. It might be an obvious play on Boomers aging but just because its obvious doesn't mean it won't work. The supply/demand mismatch is just econ 101. Lots of room to go if they keep up this solid execution under new management. Higher rates for longer keeps deters new supply too.

On Holding $ONON: I Bought the Shoes First, Then the Stock

On Holding $ONON combines a high-margin direct-to-consumer footwear model with replacement-driven demand, after Q2 2026 sales rose 21.6%…

ONON $8.9B

Substack von Philipp Sep 7 5 clicks

X-Energy Could Be Building One Of Nuclear Energy's Most Valuable Platforms

X-energy targets $1.8 billion in annual revenue and more than 42% gross margins by 2032 through reactor IP, project services and…

XE $4.2B

Simple Investment Ideas Sep 6 2 clicks

The Fed Is Going to Lose the Bond Market and I Found the Asset That Gets Paid When It Does

Rayonier’s 4.0 million acres are valued at $393 an acre after other assets, versus $1,200 to $1,800 cutover-land sales, framing the timber…

RYN $6B

The Value Road Sep 4 27 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Costco’s $4.99 chicken supply chain, Celsius’s 20% energy-drink share, and California utilities’ wildfire…

CELH $7.1B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 4 5 clicks

Oklo Inc.: The AI Power Trade Is Getting More Tangible

Oklo’s Q2 progress includes Groves’ first criticality and Aurora agreements, while equity dilution cut its price target to $88 despite a $3…

OKLO $7.5B

The Curious Analyst Sep 4 1 click

Lumen Technologies - Accumulate $6-$8.30; STP<$6; PT >$12 - Q2 FY12/26 & Outlook

Lumen is shedding consumer lines for data-center services; $9.2 billion of deferred revenue, up 72%, supports its enterprise order book…

LUMN $6.9B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 1

MDA Space: Houston, We Have a New Position

MDA Space is added to the Aurelion Index after hiring engineers, signing large contracts and expanding facilities; the thesis cites…

MDA $5.2B

Aurelion Research Sep 1 5 clicks

Cleveland-Cliffs: 2027 Could Be A Very Big Year

Cleveland-Cliffs' 2027 upside depends on contract resets and Stelco earnings, while management directs free cash flow to deleveraging…

CLF $6.9B

The Bullionaire Sep 1 1 click

[WAY – Waystar] Healthcare is a very complicated invoice

Waystar sells revenue-cycle software for a US claims process where roughly 18% of submitted claims are initially denied and healthcare…

WAY $5.1B

scuttleblurb Aug 31 5 clicks

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven…

UWMC $2B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 27 13 clicks

FRMI · long

Fermi INC

Fermi Inc. is presented as a time-sensitive long special situation.

FRMI $3B

Value Investors Club Jun 10

Quick Value #326 - Shift4 Payments (FOUR)

Shift4 Payments trades at 6.9x EBITDA after a 50% five-year share decline, while leverage from acquisitions and slowing EPS growth weigh on…

FOUR $3.3B

Value Don't Lie Aug 11

$UWMC lost $600m hedging a deal they'd already lost

UWMC booked a roughly $600 million Q2 hedging loss tied to TWO months after the deal collapsed, contributing to an expensive capital raise.

UWMC $2B

Yet Another Value Blog Aug 11 11 clicks

Peloton: Subscriber Squeeze

Peloton’s improved balance sheet has not stopped weak subscription trends or sharp volatility, prompting purchases near $3.70, a later…

PTON $2.1B

TSOH Investment Research Aug 10 1 click

WD #353: Colombia, Earnings (INTR, BRKR, TEAM)

Colombia’s Abelardo de la Espriella signals tax cuts and an Ecopetrol revival, while Inter & Co.

INTR $2.5BBRKR $9.3B

Ian’s Insider Corner Aug 9

2026 Q2 Earnings Updates: WeightWatchers, Shift4, Bumble

Bumble fell, Shift4 dropped 23% and WeightWatchers rose 18% after earnings, prompting added Shift4 exposure and a sharp WeightWatchers…

FOUR $3.3B

Modern Value Investing Aug 9

$HIMS: Paul Cerro wouldn't trust the CEO to walk his dog. He's still long. Why? | Cedar Grove

Hims & Hers investor Paul Cerro is long again on lab and patient data driving retention and LTV, despite management concerns, GLP-1…

HIMS $6.5B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 7 9 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (08/07/2026)

TSOH’s weekly roundup covers Crocs’ $218.6 million Malta tax savings, Roblox’s forecast bookings decline and Lululemon’s CEO change amid…

CROX $5.9B

TSOH Investment Research Aug 7

Perimeter Solutions: 2Q26 Business Recap

Perimeter Solutions’ 2Q26 revenue rose 31%, while operating income fell 11% as USDA pricing and DLA delivery timing hurt Fire Safety; it…

PRM $5.3B

Speedwell Memos Aug 5 9 clicks

Perimeter 2Q26 Business Recap: Light Fire Safety Earnings, but Strong M&A Execution

Perimeter Solutions’ Fire Safety EBITDA grew 1% as USDA pricing and a DLA inventory transition weighed, while its $120 million Monaco…

PRM $5.3B

Speedwell Research Aug 5

Saturday, September 12, 2026

Myles on X

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A Capital on X

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