Saturday, September 12, 2026

Lululemon: The 15-Minute Thesis

Lululemon’s North American sales, margins and legging demand are falling as Alo and Vuori gain share, leaving its brand moat and depressed valuation in question.

LULU $11B

Hated Moats Sep 11 2 clicks

Sep 11 LULU $11B

Why “Affordable Luxury” Doesn't Compound

MBI Deep Dives 2 clicks

Sep 11 APO $74B

The Five Deals That Made Apollo

Net Interest 1 click

From X

@TheBenSchmark Sep 12

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Sometimes a simple chart and pun captures the entire thesis. Just go with the $FLO and make bread. https://t.co/VyIYTaVRF1 https://t.co/lGn8FncexY

@Fierce__beast Sep 12

Fierce_beast on X

For $CASY, let's say it grows earnings roughly 6% on average for the next 20 years, then 3% terminally. Maybe its 9% for the next 5 years, but gradually moves toward something like maturity of 3%, average let's say is 6%. What multiple would you currently pay on that earnings stream? Personally, i would pay no more than 25x for this. Add other considerations to the business, maybe you think it will grow faster or longer, adjust your multiple as you prefer.

@TidefallCapital Sep 12

Trevor Scott on X

my mistake $ADBE has a Nov year end. so it's 12x nov 2027, 14x nov 2026.

@finphysnerd Sep 12 1 click

Myles on X

I feel $GEO is a pretty decent short here. It's not cheap, and I might be politically biased, but I think it's hard to see Republicans getting many wins in the midterms, which the market will likely extrapolate to 2028.

@TidefallCapital Sep 11

Trevor Scott on X

I'll never understand going long $ADBE at 14x '27 when you can buy $CSU.TO at 15x '27. Maybe because it's Canadian listed.

@jawagner92 Sep 11

Odd Lot Arbitrageur on X

Bought some $CVV <$5. Seems likely to be liquidated. $23.4m cash, $25 to $30m >100k SF building in NY, $3.5 million total liabilities (incl. high end of restr. charges), $1 to $2m wind down. ~$6-7 NAV on hard assets, could be more if they find a buyer for the whole enchilada. https://t.co/55FU3Goi0e

@stockgutter Sep 11

SG on X

$EVTL Reducing the exercise price of options awards is so grifty. It eliminates the alignment with shareholders those grants were intended to create in the first place. In the end this dogshit, low-governance co is going to zero so it may not matter here but as a general proposition don't do this!

@negligible_cap Sep 11

Negligible Capital on X

I simply refuse to believe that $ADBE has over 1 billion monthly active users https://t.co/U7tgBRDhM2

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/11/2026)

TSOH weekly roundup covers Meta’s child-safety settlement, Markel’s leadership transition, Peloton’s gym strategy and an upcoming Alarm.com…

MKL $22BPTON $2.1B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 11 2 clicks

Independence Realty Buying Centerspace: Opportunity And Implications

Independence Realty Trust is buying Centerspace in stock to create an $8.1 billion apartment REIT, targeting 5% 2027 Core FFO per-share…

IRT $3.8BCSR $935M

Dane Bowler Sep 11

NET Power (NPWR):

NET Power’s $1.80 shares are paired with January $2 covered calls for 40 cents as the company pivots from carbon capture to Permian…

NPWR $161M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Sep 11 2 clicks

Joby Aviation (NYSE: JOBY) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage

Joby Aviation is initiated at Accumulate after booking $116m of trailing revenue, forming a Toyota manufacturing venture and agreeing to…

JOBY $6.2B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 11

NewtekOne: Pivot Towards Holding Guaranteed Loans A Good Strategy

NewtekOne’s bank conversion and retention of SBA-guaranteed loans target recurring income, while a 6% yield and book-value valuation…

NEWT $343M

Stephen Nemo Sep 11

Sofwave Medical: Lifting Skin While the Beauty Sector Sags

Sofwave Medical grew Q2 revenue 43% as recurring usage fees reached 46% of sales for its non-invasive ultrasound skin-tightening devices.

SOFWF $364M

Substack von Philipp Sep 11 1 click

Zack Buckley on $PRTH's take private

Priority Technology’s chairman offered $6.00 to $6.15 a share to take PRTH private, while Zack Buckley argues Treasury Solutions and…

PRTH $479M

Yet Another Value Podcast Sep 10 3 clicks

Amplitude Q2 26 - Examining The Moat - Rating, Hold.

Amplitude reported Q2 revenue of $100.9 million, up 21%, as agentic AI and LLM vendors challenge the moat of its product analytics software.

AMPL $1.7B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 10

Single Stock Spotlight #14: Kosmos Energy (KOS)

Kosmos Energy (KOS) is pitched as an oil stock poised to outperform if oil stays above $70-$80, supported by a claimed 2 billion-barrel…

KOS $1.6B

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter Sep 10 2 clicks

BridgeBio Pharma: Attruby Peak Sales Set To Rise

BridgeBio Pharma raised Attruby peak-sales guidance as kidney-benefit data, fewer hospital days and competitor setbacks strengthen its…

BBIO $13B

Atticus Analysis Sep 10

YOU · short

Clear Secure INC

Clear Secure's Clear Plus subscription business is nearing maturity despite recent bookings strength, supporting a short thesis on YOU.

YOU $5.2B

Value Investors Club Jun 3

Weekend Digest 351: Market Volatility, TFSL, Roper, Booz Allen, TIPS Vs. Treasury Bonds

AI momentum trades are unwinding as leveraged products amplify volatility; TFS Financial offers a 7.5% yield on cost and potential upside…

TFSL $4.7BBAH $9.3B

Ian’s Insider Corner Jul 26

Hidden in Plane Sight

An aerospace company’s profitable core is obscured by a long-running FAA development program; approval, abandonment, or shrinking losses…

ASLE $266M

The Mikro Kap Jul 26 3 clicks

AirIQ Inc. ($IQ.V) FINS Review

AirIQ’s 2025 revenue rose 17% to $6.5 million, but tax reassessments cut net income 50% and lifted its P/E to 144x.

AILQF $9.5M

Wolf's Substack Jul 26 2 clicks

PayPal, Declined

Stripe and Advent’s reported $53 billion bid for PayPal follows a decade in which Stripe’s payment volume outgrew PayPal’s Braintree.

PYPL $45B

Net Interest Jul 24

TSOH Weekly Roundup (07/24/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers the Paramount-Warner court block, Xbox Game Pass’s subscriber shortfall and pricing reset, and Red Bull’s 28%…

PSKY $11BWBD $77B

TSOH Investment Research Jul 24

Under the Hood - Tractor Supply ($TSCO)

Tractor Supply’s 2,602-store rural retail network supported 30+ years of growth.

TSCO $17B

Bearhold Research Jul 23 1 click

Gatekeeper Systems ($GSI.V) FINS Review

Gatekeeper Systems’ revenue rebound is overshadowed by $19.3 million in nine-month operating cash burn, swelling inventory and overdue…

GKPRF $139M

Wolf's Substack Jul 23 1 click

Smart Shooter (TASE: SMSH) — The Company That Teaches an Ordinary Rifle to Hit a Drone

Smart Shooter sells AI-enabled rifle sights that track drones and release shots only when likely to hit, trading near 55 times likely 2025…

ESMR $1.9M

Substack von Philipp Jul 23

Apocalypse Now or Generational Buying Opportunity?

ServiceNow, SAP and Veeva are framed as AI-resistant SaaS bargains after a sector selloff, with ServiceNow positioned to gain from AI-agent…

VEEV $42B

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter Jul 21

Saturday, September 12, 2026

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Fierce_beast on X

Trevor Scott on X

Myles on X

Trevor Scott on X

Odd Lot Arbitrageur on X

SG on X

Negligible Capital on X

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