Wednesday, September 9, 2026

Quick Value #330 - Deckers Outdoor (DECK)

Deckers Outdoor has fallen about 60% from its late-2024 peak and trades at 11x earnings as HOKA growth slows. Its net cash balance sheet and premium footwear brands support a value case.

DECK $11B

Value Don't Lie Sep 9 5 clicks

Sep 9 NSC $70B

[scuttleslops] UNP-NSC merger, HEI, NVDA, AVGO, DG, DLTR

scuttleblurb 3 clicks

Sep 8 LOGC $675M

ContextLogic Acquires gChem (LOGC): Update and Valuation

Hidden Gems Investing 5 clicks

From X

@LaughingH20Cap Nov 12

Laughing Water Capital on X

@yummyCenturyEgg the "studies" that the opposition have submitted are full of false assumptions and bad data, as demonstrated by $NN. Why would objectors willingly submit bad studies? logical explanation is b/c proper studies show no interference.

@LaughingH20Cap Nov 12

Laughing Water Capital on X

@yummyCenturyEgg @MGardnerDA1235 @dylan55917 8/x) add this to the list of common sense and technical arguments that demonstrate how the 900 band is not messy. Assume the $NN bears will ignore this, as they ignored the above points. https://t.co/wqpbmn33X7

@LittleOwlRes Nov 10

Little Owl Research on X

In September I had the pleasure of attending the Howard Hughes $HHH annual shareholder meeting. I met the man himself! @BillAckman Not to get ahead of myself, but this could be the beginning of something very special. Today’s quarterly results help to reinforce my views on the quality of both the asset base and management. The company is firing on all cylinders. Management continues to execute on the MPC strategy, and an acquisition seems highly likely in the short term. However, the shares still trade at a deep discount to intrinsic value. Do I care? No—at least not yet. Pershing Square has a truly remarkable track record. Since adopting their “permanent capital” strategy they have done 23.5% net of fees annually since January of 2018. Not too shabby. I suspect they’ll be acquiring a small insurer in the 1.0x-1.4x P/B range, if that’s the case, and they continue to put up those returns, the acquisition will be monstrously accretive. When Buffett took control of Berkshire, it was a failing textile mill with a negative terminal value. Ackman is starting off with assets of much higher quality and that are beginning to generate a lot of excess cash. A lot of work has to be done, but I’m happy to hold my shares here. If you’re interested in learning more about the real estate operations, I’ve attached my $HHH report from November of 2023–obviously outdated, but should help get you up to speed on the history, RE strategy, and asset base—and I will be putting out an updated report after the details of the insurance acquisition are announced. https://t.co/ueKI0TWY9R

@LaughingH20Cap Nov 10

Laughing Water Capital on X

below relates to how the extreme upside case for $NN spectrum could develop. Satellite direct to phone requires low band spectrum to be effective. $AAPL may want to control its own satellite destiny. There simply is not much low band to go around. https://t.co/Z2JM9yR7tk https://t.co/5NRaPZlWMI

@AltaFoxCapital Nov 6 2 clicks

Connor Haley on X

Numbers are not wrong-- this was a 1% change to Adj. EBITDA in 2024 and free cash flow was unchanged. This is a recent spin and there is a lot of noise below the line. This is a new CFO who flagged this and we think is doing a great job. FCF/share (ex-WC) should grow 30%+ next year (actual FCF much higher given normalization of WC). Big valuation discount vs $DBD despite much faster and higher-quality growth.

@AltaFoxCapital Nov 6 2 clicks

Connor Haley on X

Good quarter from $NATL and thesis on track. -The ATMaaS business continues to outperform... 37% y/y growth in Q3... and it's on track to be 40%+ in Q4, well ahead of our expectations -SSB delivered >50% incremental EBITDA margins in Q3, fueling 21% EBITDA growth for the segment

@MultiplesCap Oct 31

Multiples Capital on X

Copper Reality Check. The no BS CEO of Amerigo Resources on copper's supply deficit and elevated volatility on Q3 earnings call. The company just went debt free and raised dividends. I am long $ARREF $ARG, not NFA. #copper https://t.co/UExXFZEg5S

@LaughingH20Cap Oct 31

Laughing Water Capital on X

@MGardnerDA1235 @yummyCenturyEgg @dylan55917 $NN has wanted to collaborate with the opposition for ~18 months. They repeatedly talk about how they want "engineer to engineer conversations", but the opposition will not engage. 1 explanation is b/c the opposition knows what the tests will say, but yes real tests are possible

Lululemon: Deep Dive Analysis

Lululemon’s Q2 revenue fell 4% and Americas comparable sales 12%, as markdowns, tariffs and activewear rivals pressure its premium apparel…

LULU $11B

Hated Moats Sep 8 6 clicks

P&C Stocks Worth Owning: The AI Hedge with Ryan Tunis | The Real Eisman Playbook Episode 74

Ryan Tunis discusses P&C insurers, favoring Travelers over Chubb in a soft commercial market and calling AIG a near-book-value self-help…

TRV $75BAIG $40B

Steve Eisman Sep 7 7 clicks

WD #357: Tecnoglass/Tariffs, Colombia Mining Boom?, Airports & Airlines

Tecnoglass could recover tariff- and FX-hit margins as U.S. blanket tariffs on Colombian goods lift.

TGLS $1.6B

Ian’s Insider Corner Sep 7 3 clicks

Scholar Rock: Manufacturing Noise Obscures A Muscle-Targeted Franchise

Scholar Rock’s apitegromab could become the first muscle-targeted SMA therapy by September 2026, but manufacturing setbacks and a…

SRRK $6.2B

Equity Eagle Sep 7

Celsius: The Pepsi Put

Celsius holds 20% of the U.S. energy-drink market and 40% of sugar-free sales, but its $1.65 billion Alani acquisition complicates…

CELH $7.2B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 7 8 clicks

On Holding $ONON: I Bought the Shoes First, Then the Stock

On Holding $ONON combines a high-margin direct-to-consumer footwear model with replacement-driven demand, after Q2 2026 sales rose 21.6%…

ONON $10B

Substack von Philipp Sep 7 5 clicks

National Vision Holdings: Higher Ticket Prices Can't Mask Falling Foot Traffic

National Vision Holdings' 2.2% same-store sales growth masked a 4.9% transaction decline, while inventory rose 37% and deferred marketing…

EYE $1.3B

Number Cruncher Sep 7 1 click

Titan Mining Q2 Update

Titan Mining reported Q2 revenue of $25.7 million and adjusted EBITDA of $9.6 million as zinc output rose, while advancing its Kilbourne…

TII $284M

Sylence Capital Sep 6 4 clicks

Preview of the Week Ahead: W/C September 7, 2026

U.S. CPI and PPI headline the September 7 week as the S&P 500 holds key averages, Bitcoin faces $82,000 resistance and gold tests its…

COIN $52B

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Sep 6 2 clicks

X-Energy Could Be Building One Of Nuclear Energy's Most Valuable Platforms

X-energy targets $1.8 billion in annual revenue and more than 42% gross margins by 2032 through reactor IP, project services and…

XE $4.7B

Simple Investment Ideas Sep 6 2 clicks

PESI · long

Perma-fix Environmental Svcs

Perma-Fix Environmental Services (PESI) is presented as a long investment idea.

PESI $335M

Value Investors Club Jun 11 1 click

Fundamentals Turn In Favor Of Farmland Partners

Farmland Partners trades at 70% of NAV, with farmland appreciation, commodity prices and crop insurance supporting earnings beyond AFFO.

FPI $471M

Dane Bowler Sep 8

The Fed Is Going to Lose the Bond Market and I Found the Asset That Gets Paid When It Does

Rayonier’s 4.0 million acres are valued at $393 an acre after other assets, versus $1,200 to $1,800 cutover-land sales, framing the timber…

RYN $6B

The Value Road Sep 4 27 clicks

Looking For A 2027 Defense Play: Honeywell Fits The Bill

HONA $51B

Petri Dish Reports Sep 4 3 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Costco’s $4.99 chicken supply chain, Celsius’s 20% energy-drink share, and California utilities’ wildfire…

CELH $7.2B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 4 5 clicks

[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA

Veeva targets CRM share gains from Salesforce migration delays while Falcon agentic labor expands its reach into life-sciences safety,…

VEEV $44B

scuttleblurb Sep 3 24 clicks

Intuit: The Recovery Is Only Beginning

Intuit targets 9.1% FY2027 revenue growth and 23% EPS growth after Q4 revenue rose 13.7%, supported by Global Business Solutions, Credit…

INTU $74B

Treading Softly Sep 3 5 clicks

Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows

CME perpetual-futures activity is tested against more than 240,000 CFTC data points on open interest and dealer positioning.

CME $98B

First Strike Research Sep 3 16 clicks

Selling Where They Ain’t

Dollar General’s Q2 FY26 comparable sales rose 3.5%, beating Walmart U.S.

DG $27B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 3 1 click

A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?

Two U.S. protein-snacking companies lost $6 billion in market value as impairments, inventory growth and margin pressure test whether the…

SMPL $848MBRBR $1B

The Value Road Sep 2 12 clicks

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Wednesday, September 9, 2026

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