Wednesday, September 9, 2026

Quick Value #330 - Deckers Outdoor (DECK)

Deckers Outdoor has fallen about 60% from its late-2024 peak and trades at 11x earnings as HOKA growth slows. Its net cash balance sheet and premium footwear brands support a value case.

DECK $11B

Value Don't Lie Sep 9 5 clicks

Sep 9 NSC $71B

[scuttleslops] UNP-NSC merger, HEI, NVDA, AVGO, DG, DLTR

scuttleblurb 3 clicks

Sep 8 LULU $11B

Lululemon: Deep Dive Analysis

Hated Moats 6 clicks

From X

@TidefallCapital Sep 9

Trevor Scott on X

@ValueInvestShow There's always the $LULU $NKE risk on these things! I mean Biden was caught wearing a pair of Hokas..

@ActAccordingly Sep 9 1 click

PAA Research on X

@JeffMacke When does this get acquired by $BSP?

@ChrisCamillo Sep 9

Chris Camillo on X

@GatorBizAlum yes, for anyone holding $BE here you have to believe in the longer term bull case. i do but no guarantees

@BrokenMoats Sep 9

Broken Moats on X

Rate sensitive / consumer spending names starting to really take on water with rates and oil up....Game theory probably suggests the administration is likely to pull more tricks out of their sleeves leading into the midterms to try and increase affability and control rates (at least for talking points). --- Already witnessing a vert activist treasury secretary that (at least so far) did not succeed with his 6B buyback (but next month when the TGA refunding comes out I imagine he will use a much bigger mechanism to manipulate rates through the election) --- I also think the fed is much less likely to raise rates then the market is pricing (the committee members even beyond Warsh do not have the will to raise (Powell, Williams, etc) --- I also believe they will announce some sort of housing plan to have as a talking point for the closing stretch of these raises (down payment assistance, rate support, mass housing supply push on federal lands, etc). Does not matter if they never follow through, but something to come in mind as we play out the coming months I think some select housing plays that are blown out on weak starts, high rates, poor affordability, high commodity prices, etc. could be putting in attractive setups to go the other way for the coming months to election ($QXO, $LOW, $BLDR, $SSD)

@KEDM_COM Sep 9

KEDM.com on X

Sunbelt $SUNB shares have been somewhat pressured by the selloff in industrials. Analysts are also updating their models and finding that IFRS EBITDA might be an overstatement relative to EBITDA under US GAAP. Mid-term guidance was underwhelming, with a predicted 5% rental revenue CAGR and 8%+ EPS CAGR. This is a good business, and it's been a 100-bagger for a reason, but for an industrial to do well, your end markets have to grow.

@RagingVentures Sep 9 2 clicks

Raging Capital Ventures on X

$HAWK now trading around $17.15, or -34% below its $26 IPO price. Initial lock-up expired last week, but I think it is unlikely many shares will come to market at these prices. $HAWK is also being added to the $IWM. $HAWK continues to have strong defense tech tailwinds, and they now have $500 mm+ of cash on hand. Valuation is now much more attractive and below the $18.86 price of their pre-IPO Series E financing.

@ActAccordingly Sep 9 2 clicks

PAA Research on X

@Maku_Capital It's a long list, some secular dynamics, some specific to $CASY, and competition, lots of it. This is not the right platform for me to lay out my entire short thesis....

@ACapitalLP Sep 9

A Capital on X

Anyone have thoughts on $B going into the North America spin post-Newmont settlement? Feels like it’s been a pretty consistent laggard vs. the gold peers despite the potential value unlock. Curious what I’m missing. https://t.co/0qYNp2oMpe