ContextLogic Acquires gChem (LOGC): Update and Valuation
ContextLogic will acquire specialty-solvent maker gChem for $850 million, funded by a $650 million rights offering and $250 million of debt, expanding Abrams Capital’s acquisition platform.
Tuesday, September 8, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Lee Roach on X
Once again an awful day to be a 200-IQ $BUR holder
Trevor Scott on X
wasting money at $COST .ca is so fun https://t.co/38Effra3Xt
A Capital on X
$VRRM *
BDC on X
Elon commenting on Spiegel’s post - first time that’s ever happened. Maybe it’s something. Probably not anything. But add it to the mosaic. $snap https://t.co/ofuZxr4UK7
Trevor Scott on X
$MCD traded at 15x PE in 2012, when just 81% of stores were franchised. Today 95% are franchised, the balance sheet is twice as levered and they have already raised prices far faster than competitors. Is this a table pounding idea at 19x NTM pe? https://t.co/whFq0xVa5y
PAA Research on X
@TopCornerInvest Thanks. It wasn't based on the quarter. There's more to go here. $MUSA $CASY
Trevor Scott on X
$FICO could have just kept quiet and slowly raised prices. Instead they jacked it up 17x over 5 years and lost their 30 year monopoly. 'Anyone that has a monopoly will pretend that they're in incredible competition.' - Peter Thiel https://t.co/fCCphiaSox
Timyan Bank Alert on X
The Pipeline: Blue Ridge $BRBS worked to shore up its business between two sale offers | S&P Global Market Intelligence https://t.co/nfapDdBkkI
Investor Letters
All letters- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. Q3 2026 DR0 $469MALM $4.2B
- Akre Capital Management, LLC Q3 2026 AMT $82BMA $487B
- Bristlemoon Capital Q3 2026 SNDK $276B
- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.4BSUSRF $262M
- Janus Henderson Investors July 2026 KLAC $243BMCK $104B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 4549 $498M8011 $231M
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 NEO $1.1BVNP $1.9B
- Lindsell Train Limited July RMVEY $3.5B
WD #357: Tecnoglass/Tariffs, Colombia Mining Boom?, Airports & Airlines
Tecnoglass could recover tariff- and FX-hit margins as U.S. blanket tariffs on Colombian goods lift.
A quick update on Deep Dives
MBI Deep Dives will update prior company analyses through year-end, beginning with Uber, while deferring new work on Micron and S&P Global.
lululemon: An 18% Crash Is Not A Buy Signal
Lululemon’s Americas revenue fell 8% and comps dropped 12%, while a $134.5 million tariff refund masked weakening underlying margins after…
On the Pulse 1 click
Celsius: The Pepsi Put
Celsius holds 20% of the U.S. energy-drink market and 40% of sugar-free sales, but its $1.65 billion Alani acquisition complicates…
On Holding $ONON: I Bought the Shoes First, Then the Stock
On Holding $ONON combines a high-margin direct-to-consumer footwear model with replacement-driven demand, after Q2 2026 sales rose 21.6%…
National Vision Holdings: Higher Ticket Prices Can't Mask Falling Foot Traffic
National Vision Holdings' 2.2% same-store sales growth masked a 4.9% transaction decline, while inventory rose 37% and deferred marketing…
Number Cruncher 1 click
Titan Mining Q2 Update
Titan Mining reported Q2 revenue of $25.7 million and adjusted EBITDA of $9.6 million as zinc output rose, while advancing its Kilbourne…
Preview of the Week Ahead: W/C September 7, 2026
U.S. CPI and PPI headline the September 7 week as the S&P 500 holds key averages, Bitcoin faces $82,000 resistance and gold tests its…
X-Energy Could Be Building One Of Nuclear Energy's Most Valuable Platforms
X-energy targets $1.8 billion in annual revenue and more than 42% gross margins by 2032 through reactor IP, project services and…
Simple Investment Ideas 2 clicks
AppLovin Deep Dive: Not A No Brainer
AppLovin is down 48% YTD after its first guidance miss, with revenue 1% below expectations and EPS 2.5% short, reviving fears of an adtech…
ANET · long Arista Networks INC
Arista Networks, at about $150 per share, is a $190 billion data-center networking franchise generating $9.7 billion of LTM revenue with…
First Takes on GFL's Acquisition of Secure
GFL Environmental is buying Secure Waste at 11x 2026E EBITDA before synergies, adding high-margin produced-water and waste assets with $25…
Under The Hood, Novo Nordisk A/S ($NVO)
Novo Nordisk’s GLP-1 franchise transformed obesity treatment, while its valuation framework prices in 17 years of discounted cash flows.
The Consultant’s Dilemma: What AI Actually Does to Accenture ($ACN)
Accenture’s $5.9 billion in FY2025 genAI bookings supports implementation demand, while AI’s automation of junior work threatens the…
Under The Hood, ResMed ($RMD)
ResMed’s 30 million connected sleep-apnea patients, recurring masks and software support a data-driven healthcare platform; 11.9% annual…
Performance & Portfolio Update: Q1 2026
Portfolio update reports a 20.5% Q1 loss, led by WeightWatchers’ 61% decline, while adding Bumble, Oscar and Shift4.
Single Stock Spotlight #6: Huntsman (HUN)
Huntsman’s $800-$900 million mid-cycle EBITDA and 8-10x historical EV/EBITDA imply $30-$40 per share, versus roughly $13, after a chemicals…
Updates: Judges Scientific, Jet2, XPEL (JDG, JET2, XPEL)
Judges Scientific reported 6% organic revenue growth, but US sales fell 22%; NIH funding release and a Geotek coring expedition are its key…
AXT’s Tongmei Problem: Great Asset, Fragile Economics
AXT’s 85.5%-owned Tongmei depends on offshore pricing, export approvals and transfer-pricing economics despite AI-optics demand.
It Pays to be a Winner: Our ML model and social research layer just went 14-for-16 on Nike’s Q3 call. (Kalshi, Mentions)
First Strike Research’s ML and social-sentiment system correctly called 14 of 16 Nike Q3 Kalshi contracts, reporting 208¢ net P&L.
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- 1851 Capital
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