Friday, September 4, 2026

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Costco’s $4.99 chicken supply chain, Celsius’s 20% energy-drink share, and California utilities’ wildfire liability risks.

COST $398B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 4 5 clicks

Sep 3 VEEV $42B

[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA

scuttleblurb 24 clicks

Sep 3 CME $99B

Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows

First Strike Research 14 clicks

From X

@ChrisCamillo Sep 4

Chris Camillo on X

hell of a week to own the future. $BE https://t.co/Un6jGv7rrR

@ActAccordingly Sep 4

PAA Research on X

Fantastic work by all of those involved in the $FICO short. The (-60%+) decline from the peak feels right in a lot of ways. The chart is as good as you'll get for a short seller. However, like every other great short idea, bears endured THREE contra-trend rallies of 30-40% on the march to a (-60%+) decline over the past 18-months. That is typical and one of the reasons why shorting is so difficult.

@ACapitalLP Sep 4

A Capital on X

Thoughts on $FDXF @ $128?

@TidefallCapital Sep 4

Trevor Scott on X

New $LULU CEO is from $NKE too https://t.co/zf4Rwl1rH3

@TheBenSchmark Sep 4

JabroniCoin.USD on X

StoneX highlights $ZM into the post labor day Anthropic S-1 Unlike certain SPVs/tokens, Zoom has actual ownership. $125 PT that becomes $135+ if Anthropic meets $2T https://t.co/o0xtRsx5KG

@orrdavid Sep 4

David Orr on X

$LULU's old brand was exclusive, high quality clothes. Curated for only the best thing. Back in 2015. Over time, they expanded a ton and from too-high of volume alone, it would have been impossible to keep quality high. Recently this spun out of control and quality is downright terrible. How can this problem possibly be fixed? Don't they use a zillion different suppliers? I don't think there are enough good ones to replace them, even if someone executed very well. On top of quality problems, they ruined the brand image with DEI garbage. I don't see how that is repairable, at least not for many years. And finally, the whole athleisure category is stale. Which is $LULU's entire brand. Point being, if I was management, I would see no path to turning this ship around within 5 years. And the remaining company at the end would be much smaller than it is today. And that'd be the good outcome, with any of the above three points being a failure mode anyway.

@negligible_cap Sep 4

Negligible Capital on X

Why has $LULU never tried to buildout specialized yoga studios or acquire a chain like Corepower? Seems like it would be a great way to get more stable / recurring revenue via memberships and a good opportunity to cross sell products and attract the companies core clientele (fit yoga girls? I don't even know anymore man)

@Fierce__beast Sep 4 1 click

Fierce_beast on X

@FishtownCap Are there any decent food brand stocks any more? $MDLZ also seems troubled

Selling Where They Ain’t

Dollar General’s Q2 FY26 comparable sales rose 3.5%, beating Walmart U.S.

DG $28B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 3 1 click

Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future

DoorDash’s delivery economics rely on customer tips and flexible labor, while rising courier costs make autonomous delivery central to…

DASH $84B

MBI Deep Dives Sep 2 5 clicks

Top 8 Rebound Stocks for Sep’26

Genuine Parts Company is one of eight potential rebound stocks on RC’s September 2026 watchlist.

GPC $18B

Rebound Capital Sep 2 2 clicks

Reddit: Rapid Earnings Growth With Room For An AI Expansion

Reddit's advertising automation, proprietary data and Reddit Max are driving rapid revenue growth and margin expansion, while AI licensing…

RDDT $29B

Krzysztof Bogdanski Sep 2 4 clicks

CrowdStrike (NASDAQ: CRWD) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings

CrowdStrike posted 25.8% Q2 revenue growth and $333 million of net new ARR, while FY27 ARR guidance rose to 34% despite a 150% stock rally…

CRWD $256B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 1

WD #356: Software/AI, Estee Lauder, Various Brazilian Stocks

LLM adoption is rising but may not generate returns sufficient to justify current AI investment; the aggressive portfolio exits Estee…

EL $36B

Ian’s Insider Corner Aug 31 1 click

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Q3: Margins Matter More Than AI Orders

Hewlett Packard Enterprise’s Q3 hinges on converting AI-networking orders while preserving its 21.6% segment margin, after booking $1.8…

HPE $81B

Deep Value Investing Aug 31 2 clicks

Palantir Q2 - We Move To “Distribute” Rating For 48hrs, Then To “Do Nothing”.

Palantir shares at $183 exceed Cestrian’s $177 target after Q2 revenue grew 93%, prompting a 48-hour Distribute rating as Q3 growth…

PLTR $440B

Cestrian Capital Research. Aug 31

Dollar Tree: Weathering The Storm

Dollar Tree’s $1.25 opening price and multi-price assortment supported 10% two-year comparable-sales growth, outpacing Walmart U.S.

DLTR $21B

TSOH Investment Research Aug 31 1 click

PayPal: Stripe Reportedly Walks Away; Here Are 2 Fallback Options

PayPal's failed Stripe and Advent bid leaves a Venmo spin-off or aggressive buybacks as value-unlocking options amid slowing growth and a…

PYPL $45B

The Asian Investor Aug 31 4 clicks

ACN · long

Accenture PLC

Accenture has been repriced as an AI loser despite its expected near-term benefit from AI adoption.

ACN $111B

Value Investors Club May 11 1 click

Under the Hood, Copart ($CPRT)

Copart’s salvage-auction network pairs scarce storage land with global online bidding, supporting insurer returns and a durable moat…

CPRT $27B

Bearhold Research Apr 3 1 click

Is the Airline Industry Really That Bad? – AerCap and A Case of Sandbagged Guidance

AerCap sells aircraft at 2x book value and repurchases stock near 1x book, cutting shares outstanding 31% in three years.

AER $22B

Bristlemoon Capital Mar 2 1 click

APi Group: How the story has evolved and what's next

APi Group hit its 13/60/80 targets in 2025, reporting $7.9 billion revenue, 13.2% EBITDA margin and 80% free-cash-flow conversion, then set…

APG $16B

Kairos Research Feb 26

Copart: 2Q26 Business Recap

Copart’s fiscal Q2 2026 revenue fell 4% and U.S. insurance units dropped 11%, as underinsured drivers and carrier volumes weighed while IAA…

CPRT $27B

Speedwell Memos Feb 21

Airbnb 4Q25: Business Update

Airbnb’s fourth-quarter revenue rose 12% to $2.8 billion and GBV 16%, while product improvements and AI spending target booking conversion…

ABNB $90B

Speedwell Memos Feb 14 2 clicks

Adobe Stock Breakdown (Five Minute Money)

Adobe trades at 14x free cash flow after a 60% decline despite growth, with AI, its business-model transition and creative-software…

ADBE $99B

Speedwell Memos Feb 12

Adobe Inc (ADBE): slowly, then all at once

Adobe’s sub-20x forward GAAP P/E reflects AI disruption fears, with the investment case hinging on whether Digital Media’s creative…

ADBE $99B

Bristlemoon Capital Feb 6

CrowdStrike: A Glass DeathStar during SaaSmageddon | Short Thesis

CrowdStrike faces a renewal cliff after its July 2024 outage, with Microsoft Defender bundling, litigation, SEC and DOJ scrutiny, and a…

CRWD $256B

First Strike Research Feb 1

How We Made 233% Trading a Starbucks Condiment Bar

A Kalshi contract on whether Starbucks would mention “condiment bar” on its earnings call rose from 30 cents to $1 after the term went…

SBUX $109B

First Strike Research Jan 29

Friday, September 4, 2026

Chris Camillo on X

PAA Research on X

A Capital on X

Trevor Scott on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

David Orr on X

Negligible Capital on X

Fierce_beast on X

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