A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?
Two U.S. protein-snacking companies lost $6 billion in market value as impairments, inventory growth and margin pressure test whether the category has reached a cyclical bottom.
Thursday, September 3, 2026
Back to today 
From X
SG on X
That's a pretty big sale in $VAL. I still own/like. https://t.co/DoHOmmsAtD
Bank Reg Blog on X
Interesting follow up on this today: The SEC settled an enforcement action against $TBBK's now-retired CFO, fining him $30,000 for directing the company's 10-K to be filed when he knew the auditors hadn't yet signed off. https://t.co/9N28UhEMlw https://t.co/8yBRR6MC7Q https://t.co/1lPgtgKyWD
Myles on X
$ASAN down 12% on weak guidance. This earnings season has sucked so gotta enjoy my wins. https://t.co/wHULS7a1xW
PAA Research on X
$OXM getting "LULUed" after hours following a huge guide lower. Apparently people are tired of the floral prints at Lily Pulitzer. Less bright colors they said. Tepid demand for $150 quarter zips at #southerntide isn't helping matters either. The market seems to think that $0.70 quarterly dividend is at HUGE risk. No position.
Ian Bezek on X
@LatamData Medellín will keep taking relative share from Bogota. Underappreciated driver for $asr
BDC on X
@AltaFoxCapital @DeepSailCapital $SNAP
Ian Bezek on X
@burningbushcap $CIB is a quarter of the Colombia ETF, $AVAL is 4%. Need folks to go stock-picking in individual names, right now, people are mostly buying the index.
Evan Tindell on X
Dang I missed this one -- Nielsen CEO $NIQ almost bottom ticked it at $9 https://t.co/Zh7pIvOHua
Investor Letters
All letters- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.4B
- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 082920 $946MVVVNF $1.8B
- Protean Funds July 2026 STOR-B $1.7BTRUE-B $615M
- Royce Investment Partners year-to-date period ended 6/30/26 BLBD $1.9BMMS $3B
- Alluvial Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 ZEG $5.4BDGXX $415M
- Greenhaven Road Capital second quarter ANAB $1.6BBUR $873M
- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 NE $7.1B
MDA Space: Houston, We Have a New Position
MDA Space is added to the Aurelion Index after hiring engineers, signing large contracts and expanding facilities; the thesis cites…
Cleveland-Cliffs: 2027 Could Be A Very Big Year
Cleveland-Cliffs' 2027 upside depends on contract resets and Stelco earnings, while management directs free cash flow to deleveraging…
The Bullionaire 1 click
[WAY – Waystar] Healthcare is a very complicated invoice
Waystar sells revenue-cycle software for a US claims process where roughly 18% of submitted claims are initially denied and healthcare…
Ultragenyx ($RARE): A Catalyst-Driven Thesis With Asymmetric Upside
Ultragenyx targets $730-760 million of 2026 revenue after GENGLYCOS approval, with UX111’s FDA decision and GTX-102 Phase 3 data due in…
FTRE 2026-08-30 Fortrea Holdings: The Turnaround Is Showing Up In Earnings Before Revenue
Fortrea’s adjusted EBITDA rose 24% in H1 as cost cuts outpaced a 3.4% revenue decline, while new business awards increased 19%.
Manimala Misra 2 clicks
Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven…
The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)
Verra Mobility renewed Hertz tolling management for five years. AutoKinex lets rental customers buy tolling, fuel and protection products…
BHVN 2026-08-27 Biohaven: Sale Of Opakalim Rights To SK Biopharmaceuticals Makes Sense On Many Levels
Biohaven’s $795 million global opakalim licensing deal with SK Biopharmaceuticals boosts cash, lowers R&D spending and extends its funding…
Edmund Ingham 1 click
Miami International Holdings (MIAX)
Miami International Holdings, the No. 4 options exchange with 17% share, trades at 12x forward EBITDA despite 35% revenue growth, 54%…
Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade
Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.
CC · long the chemours inc.
Chemours (CC) is presented as a long investment in its three-segment specialty chemicals business.
Comeback Season: Evolv Eyes Positive FCF, 40% ARR Growth, and Reputational Revival in '25 ($EVLV)
Evolv ($EVLV) targets positive free cash flow and 40% ARR growth in 2025 as delayed filings, an FTC resolution, and leadership changes seek…
CYD and H22 Results First Take:
CYD’s FY24 earnings miss reflected ¥200m of one-offs; adjusted net income reached roughly ¥430m and operating cash flow rose 40%.
Insureco w/ Potential Strat Alts Announcement Soon + 100% Upside on Buyout ($TIPT)
Tiptree ($TIPT) is positioned around a potential Fortegra sale announcement; Fortegra generates substantially all revenue.
Portfolio Updates
CYD was sold near $21 versus an $11 entry after exceeding a $19.50 target; proceeds moved to H22.SI, whose CYD stake implies $1.30 NAV and…
Hong Leong Asia: Unveiling Undervalued Gems in CYD’s Parent Company
Hong Leong Asia (SGX: H22) has 40% base-case upside, driven by its CYD stake’s data-center opportunity and Singapore-Malaysia…
Unpacking eDreams' Capital Markets Day
EDreams nears 7.25 million Prime members and €180 million of Cash EBITDA, marking its shift from an online travel agency to a…
20 OTC Markets Oddities
OTC Markets has lost many profitable small companies to buyouts, privatizations and SEC Rule 15c2-11.
An Announcement, A Visit, A Stock Pitch
Cementos Argos trades below the value of its 54.7 million Summit Materials shares, with asset sales and strategic holdings providing…
The Strategic Value of eDreams
EDreams’ Prime travel subscription model makes the €3.6 billion European OTA a potential Uber, Airbnb or Amazon acquisition target.
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