A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?
Two U.S. protein-snacking companies lost $6 billion in market value as impairments, inventory growth and margin pressure test whether the category has reached a cyclical bottom.
Wednesday, September 2, 2026
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mavix on X
I just published the Earnings Update about the Shelly Group $SLYG H1 2026 results. You can find it in the Portfolio section of the blog :) https://t.co/8oHEkLEiea
PAA Research on X
It’s the same picture: time to get SHORT $CASY and $MUSA https://t.co/EFTszhSvv9
Maj Soueidan on X
Watching $MG closely. They had a decent year last year and given 2027/28 growth expectations, the valuation is reasonable. But things going on might offer upside surprise - either from growth initiatives or an expansion in valuation from reducing leverage.. https://t.co/w1tD7YPu2b
Ian Bezek on X
Corporacion America Airports $CAAP announces a 91 cent dividend, nearly a 4% yield on today's stock price, and 40% yield-on-cost for people that bought in 2020. The top complaint about CAAP had been it didn't pay a dividend, so that it is now resolved. ✈️
SG on X
$SB sugar is in full bull mode. https://t.co/NDtzQ2jbAn
SG on X
Elroy Air makes big inroads in military eVTOL, here autonomous cargo drones. $KTOS to manufacture. Going public soon via merger with $CMII / $IPXG SPAC. https://t.co/GgJ06SqbKI
SG on X
Great qtr from $AS . Np yet but definitely considering now. https://t.co/o4I4E81r5S
Timyan Bank Alert on X
Community Corner: $HBT Financial's buying power gives it an edge in Illinois bank M&A | S&P Global Market Intelligence https://t.co/R8CBN3O7t8
Investor Letters
All letters- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 082920 $946MVVVNF $1.8B
- Protean Funds July 2026 EVGGF $17BSTOR-B $1.7B
- Royce Investment Partners year-to-date period ended 6/30/26 BLBD $1.9BMMS $3B
- Protean Funds June 2026 IDDWF $9.2BSKSBF $11B
- Alluvial Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 ZEG $5.4BDGXX $415M
- Hayden Capital Q2 2026 MELI $93BSE $63B
- Polaris Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 ENI $81BIX $43B
- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 032830 $42BIMO $60B
$LMB: Limbach missed the data center boom. Is that the opportunity? | 1 Main Capital
Limbach's EBITDA fell 30% as organic revenue declined, but 1 Main Capital calls the weakness temporary and views CYMCOR as its first…
Cleveland-Cliffs: 2027 Could Be A Very Big Year
Cleveland-Cliffs' 2027 upside depends on contract resets and Stelco earnings, while management directs free cash flow to deleveraging…
The Bullionaire 1 click
[WAY – Waystar] Healthcare is a very complicated invoice
Waystar sells revenue-cycle software for a US claims process where roughly 18% of submitted claims are initially denied and healthcare…
Here's Why You Should Buy Genius Sports Despite Rising Leverage
Genius Sports guided for $1.005–$1.025 billion of revenue and $285–$295 million of adjusted EBITDA despite higher leverage from the Legend…
Mayank Marwah 5 clicks
Veeva 2Q’26: “SaaSpocalypse” Cancelled
Veeva beat its $905 million revenue guide with $928 million, up 17.6%, while subscription growth accelerated and GAAP EBIT margin reached…
Meta Buys Away its Distraction at Minimal Cost
Meta’s $18 billion teen-addiction settlement makes $5.3 billion contingent on YouTube and TikTok adopting matching restrictions, while…
CMCSA 2026-08-28 After A Decade Of Underperformance, Comcast Is Finally Ready To Rebound
Comcast's mobile growth, Verizon roaming agreement, NBCUniversal content and theme parks are positioned to offset broadband competition…
Max Greve 1 click
Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven…
The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)
Verra Mobility renewed Hertz tolling management for five years. AutoKinex lets rental customers buy tolling, fuel and protection products…
Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade
Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.
YSWY · long Yesway INC
Yesway is pitched as a high-quality convenience-store operator with growth runway, trading near 8.5 times EBITDA and targeting a…
Six Flags And United Parks: Two Different Answers To The Same Demand Problem
Six Flags’ attendance rose 4% while comparable crowd intensity was nearly flat, and both it and United Parks grew deferred revenue about 2%…
Sanjay Swamy 1 click
Stripe’s “Singularity” and the Divergence from Adyen
Stripe’s net revenue rose 41% in 1H 2026 versus Adyen’s 21% FX-adjusted growth, fueled by AI-native startups and acquisitions including…
Core Memory
Airbnb Experiences faces a supply bottleneck from manual approvals, while a farm host raised her price from $15 to $25 after stronger…
The Non-linear Economics of Grocery Delivery Basket
Instacart’s larger grocery baskets create disproportionately better delivery economics than DoorDash’s, making half the basket size worth…
TGTX 2026-08-22 TG Therapeutics: Briumvi's Growth Attracts Buyout Rumors
TG Therapeutics' Briumvi growth and subcutaneous formulation progress have fueled takeover rumors, with Biogen, Incyte and Sanofi cited as…
ONeil Trader 1 click
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
TEM 2026-08-20 Tempus AI Just Had Their Entire Strategy Validated By Moderna's Vaccine Advance
Tempus AI's diagnostics and data businesses grew Q2 2026 revenue 19.4% year over year, with FDA approvals, expanded tests and pricing aimed…
Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?
Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…
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