The Bid Shading Threat to Amazon Advertising
Amazon’s $69 billion advertising business faces an FTC lawsuit over alleged bid shading, threatening a revenue stream that grew roughly sixfold since 2019.
Tuesday, September 1, 2026
From X
Chris Camillo on X
@SkillJoyed you have any idea how much money that would’ve cost me, having capital sitting in $TTWO since $100! in ‘22?
Chris Camillo on X
@SiltasInvest been trading GTA releases and $TTWO since ‘99
Chris Camillo on X
@LownTrevor if you believe that’s the consensus then $TTWO not for you
Chris Camillo on X
Please let $TTWO open flat tomorrow because tonight’s GTA VI reaction is “priced in” test me
Chris Camillo on X
We currently have only one real datapoint to work off from today’s gameplay reveal: depth of player interest in the gameplay. The better the gameplay, the greater the long-term monetization opportunity for $TTWO. That’s the variable I don’t think is priced in yet, and it’s what gives this trade meaningful upside and downside.
Chris Camillo on X
Ran dozens of social arb probability scenarios for how the world would react to today’s GTA VI gameplay reveal. This is playing out like a top 5% outcome. Did not expect this. Feels like the market came into today anchored to last week’s hacker leaks and primed for disappointment. It may take a minute to process what just happened. $TTWO
Maj Soueidan on X
@StableBread Nice summary. Thanks for sharing. I’m somewhat excited about the new CEO hire from the competitor, $CECO, who has actually been winning data center contracts.
Microsoft ($MSFT) - Deep Dive
Microsoft’s AI data-center buildout lifted annual CapEx from $5.5 billion in FY2014 to $115.9 billion in FY2026, resetting free-cash-flow…
BE 2026-08-29 Bloom Energy: 5 Links That Cannot Break
Valuation Rewind 5 clicks
Meta Buys Away its Distraction at Minimal Cost
Meta’s $18 billion teen-addiction settlement makes $5.3 billion contingent on YouTube and TikTok adopting matching restrictions, while…
MU 2026-08-28 SK Hynix: Higher Revenue Than Micron, Cheaper Than Micron (Initiating Buy)
Prakhar Agarwal, CFA 6 clicks
Making sense of Sandisk’s long-term financial model
Sandisk’s FY28-FY30 model relies on long-term NAND agreements holding near-80% gross-margin floors despite pricing 26-28% below current…
Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven…
BHVN 2026-08-27 Biohaven: Sale Of Opakalim Rights To SK Biopharmaceuticals Makes Sense On Many Levels
Edmund Ingham 5 clicks
Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade
Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.
[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX
AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.
BREAKING: Modine's Anchor Multi-Billion-Dollar Customers Are Google and Amazon
Modine's undisclosed customer on a more than $4 billion agreement is Google, with potential data-center demand from AWS, Crusoe and others.
Nvidia Climbing the Wall of Worries
Nvidia guided FY2028 revenue toward $700 billion, roughly 70% growth, while supply constraints and neocloud demand face concerns over…
ACIW 2026-08-27 ACI Worldwide: An Undercovered Payments Compounder Getting Better
SiliconBytes Insights 5 clicks
Nvidia’s Long-Term Margin Question
Nvidia faces questions over the durability of its long-term profit margins ahead of earnings.
KMI 2026-08-26 Kinder Morgan: The Consolidation Is An Opportunity Before The Next Leg Higher
Steven Fiorillo 3 clicks
Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns
Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling…
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
TEM 2026-08-20 Tempus AI Just Had Their Entire Strategy Validated By Moderna's Vaccine Advance
NCLH or her grandma Saga?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…
Exclusive: Walter and TWG Global Likely Can’t Use CVNA for Liquidity. Citi Already Secured It.
TWG Global’s roughly $2 billion Carvana stake is already pledged to Citigroup, limiting Walter and TWG’s ability to use CVNA shares for…
Publications we follow
Every publication on this site, hand-picked.
- Seeking Alpha
- scuttleblurb
- MBI Deep Dives
- The Value Road
- Triple S Special Situations Investing
- The Oak Bloke
- Aurelion Research
- Yet Another Value Blog
- Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter
- Yet Another Value Podcast
- SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets
- Hated Moats
- Bearhold Research
- Open Insights
- Bristlemoon Capital
- Sylence Capital
- Guardian Research
- Capitalist Letters
- The Curious Compounder
- Hunterbrook
- Nugget Capital Partner's Substack
- Kairos Research
- Deep Value Insights
- Lewistown Capital
- Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter
- The Monetary Matters Network
- Steve Eisman
- 310 Value’s Newsletter
- Capital Employed
- Speedwell Memos
- Hidden Gems Investing
- First Strike Research
- Substack von Philipp
- The Mikro Kap
- Treasure Hunting
- Clark Street Value
- Value Investors Club
- Cluseau Research
- Rod’s Ruminations
- John Hempton's Newsletter
- Undervalued Shares
- smallvalue.
- Maius Partners
- Underlying Value
- Multibagger Monitor
- Altay Capital - Mostly Value Investing
- Citrini Research
- Exploring with Alluvial Capital
- Raging Bull Investments
- Odds on Open
- Sunday's Idea Brunch
- XIX Value
X accounts we follow
Every account on this site, hand-picked.
- Chris Camillo
- SG
- Bank Reg Blog
- Myles
- Nat Stewart
- Lee Roach
- Trevor Scott
- PAA Research
- BuccoCapital Bloke
- Ian Bezek
- BDC
- Negligible Capital
- Farmer
- Deep Sail Capital
- Prepared Remarks
- Evan Tindell
- Maj Soueidan
- kab60
- John_Hempton
- ⚽️📡
- Broken Moats
- Mike
- Little Owl Research
- Timyan Bank Alert
- Tim Eriksen
- Clark Square Capital
- Cluseau Investments
- Raging Capital Ventures
- AltayCap
- mavix
- Multiples Capital
- JabroniCoin.USD
- marginofdanger
- David Orr
- Charles Frischer
- Mikro Kap David
- Connor Haley
- junkbondinvestor
- Fred Liu
- Bill Ackman
- ToffCap
- Fierce_beast
- Psyop Capital
- Laughing Water Capital
- catechwilliams
- Porter Collins
- Yaron Naymark
- Rusholme Capital
- Gavin Baker
- Sahil Khetpal
Sectors
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
