Sunday, August 30, 2026

Microsoft ($MSFT) - Deep Dive

Microsoft’s AI data-center buildout lifted annual CapEx from $5.5 billion in FY2014 to $115.9 billion in FY2026, resetting free-cash-flow…

BE 2026-08-29

Bloom Energy: 5 Links That Cannot Break

BE $64B

SA Valuation Rewind Aug 29 5 clicks

Meta Buys Away its Distraction at Minimal Cost

Meta’s $18 billion teen-addiction settlement makes $5.3 billion contingent on YouTube and TikTok adopting matching restrictions, while…

Making sense of Sandisk’s long-term financial model

Sandisk’s FY28-FY30 model relies on long-term NAND agreements holding near-80% gross-margin floors despite pricing 26-28% below current…

Nvidia Climbing the Wall of Worries

Nvidia guided FY2028 revenue toward $700 billion, roughly 70% growth, while supply constraints and neocloud demand face concerns over…

[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX

AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.

Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN

IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…

$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital

Nubank's 140 million customers, 20% efficiency ratio and 30% ROE frame whether its high-teens P/E reflects a scalable fintech or a maturing…

The $1.5 Trillion of Hidden Debt Fueling the AI Boom | Robin Wigglesworth of FT Alphaville

Hyperscalers’ off-balance-sheet lease and purchase obligations rose from roughly $1 trillion to $1.5 trillion, turning the AI buildout into…

Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?

HubSpot trades near its 2020 share price despite quadrupled revenue and $750 million in free cash flow, with Breeze AI upside weighed…

Adobe Inc (ADBE): slowly, then all at once

Adobe’s sub-20x forward GAAP P/E reflects AI disruption fears, with the investment case hinging on whether Digital Media’s creative…

TransDigm (TDG) – The King of Aerospace Private Equity

TransDigm built a $72 billion aerospace-components consolidator through 90 acquisitions, delivering 23.1% annualized stock returns since…

Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) – Pricing Power Impaired?

Fair Isaac raised FICO Score royalties from roughly $0.50–$0.60 in 2022 to $4.95 in 2025, drawing regulatory scrutiny over its…

Bristlemoon Capital on Business Breakdowns – MercadoLibre (MELI)

MercadoLibre’s Daniel Wu discusses MELI’s Latin American e-commerce operations, fintech business model, growth opportunities and risks on…

Meta Platforms (META) 2Q25: SuperMetalligence

Meta’s 22% Q2 revenue growth and AI-driven ad engagement support its core business, while planned 2026 capex of roughly $100 billion…

Paramount Skydance CORP

Paramount Skydance (PSKY) is a levered media conglomerate expected to merge with Warner Bros. Discovery in the third quarter.

QXO, Inc.

QXO, led by Brad Jacobs, is consolidating North America’s fragmented building-products distribution industry after rapidly building scale…

Nippon Carbon (TYO 5302): A 120 Year Old $350 Million Japanese Carbon Manufacturer Trading at 1x Book, Net Cash, and 4.2% Dividend with a Growing Aerospace Materials Division (JV with GE / Safran)

Nippon Carbon trades at 1x book with net cash and a 4.2% dividend while expanding aerospace materials through GE/Safran joint ventures.

Ast Spacemobile INC

AST SpaceMobile is priced for a 2026 commercial launch despite no identified path to manufacture or launch its satellite deployment target.

Api Group CORP

APi Group’s mix of specialty contracting segments complicates a conventional contractor valuation.