Sunday, August 30, 2026

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.

UWMC $2B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 27 13 clicks

Aug 20 ELALF $3.2B

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

Yet Another Value Podcast 12 clicks

Aug 20 CCC $3.9B

CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage

scuttleblurb 17 clicks

From X

@irbezek Aug 30

Ian Bezek on X

@taobanker So they can reissue them at fire sale prices in the future to avoid bankruptcy. See American Airlines, circa 2015. $AAL https://t.co/mEfrPFACcY

@irbezek Aug 30

Ian Bezek on X

@davey_juice @ThainRos $EWZ might go lower. I don't have a strong opinion on where big components like Vale and Petrobras go, could be down more. I think $INTR and $NU will keep growing fast enough to offset macro jitters.

@irbezek Aug 30

Ian Bezek on X

@davey_juice @ThainRos I own a lot of $NU and $INTR but think Lula is going to win, so that's not ideal. Flavio polls look a little better, but he's still a bad candidate. Colombia only went to Abelardo by 1 pt. Lula is incumbent, more popular than Petro, and their electorate is more leftist.

@leevalueroach Aug 30

Lee Roach on X

Owning timber REITs here seems like a no brainer. $RYN has an enterprise value of $7.4 billion. They own four million acres. You are buying this for $1,817 per acre. That is dirt cheap. Find me anywhere else you can own a large swath of land for $1,817 per acre. You can’t! The public market will punish RYN for owning a large amount of land. Lower valuation and will call it a value trap. But imagine the optionality of owning this large amount of land. Texas Pacific Land owned a large amount of land and look what happened to their stock price. One of the best performers ever. I’ve done well owning land banks. This one pays a fat dividend. Rare. Market is asleep at the wheel with their pants down and drooling.

@irbezek Aug 29 3 clicks

Ian Bezek on X

@WaterworldCapi1 Copying industry best practices from $OKLO https://t.co/VnEtGXDOn0

@stockgutter Aug 28

SG on X

$FLR share count reduction is impressive. Another year or two at this clip could really transform the capital structure. https://t.co/H0a7syQHHb

@majgeoinvesting Aug 27 1 click

Maj Soueidan on X

@StableBread Nice summary. Thanks for sharing. I’m somewhat excited about the new CEO hire from the competitor, $CECO, who has actually been winning data center contracts.

@pennycheck Aug 27 1 click

⚽️📡 on X

SILC is the only pure play hardware pics and shovels for cybersecurity with $FTNT $NTSK $AVGO $CSCO $DELL etc, etc, as customers With a edge ai CustomNIC biz deals w/ hyperscalers just starting to grow Very uniquely positioned and favorable evaluation building upon multiple Qs of growth

SA 2026-08-20

Seabridge Gold: Fairly Valued Now But Big Upside

Seabridge Gold's KSM gold-copper project could re-rate on a joint venture, 2027 feasibility study and infrastructure progress, with gold…

SA $3.3B

Redfern Research Aug 20

NCLH or her grandma Saga?

Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…

NCLH $6.5B

The Oak Bloke Aug 19 13 clicks

ZETA 2026-08-19

Zeta Global's AI Story Just Became Measurable (Rating Downgrade)

Zeta Global’s Athena AI superusers grow four times faster, while comprehensive adopters generate 70% of revenue.

ZETA $7.6B

Alpha Line Aug 19 1 click

$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management

DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.

DNOW $2.8B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 14 9 clicks

Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?

Macy’s and Kohl’s face renewed short cases as their recent reratings ignore fading store-refresh gains, credit-card earnings exposure and…

M $5.8B

Bristlemoon Capital Aug 13 9 clicks

$UWMC lost $600m hedging a deal they'd already lost

UWMC booked a roughly $600 million Q2 hedging loss tied to TWO months after the deal collapsed, contributing to an expensive capital raise.

UWMC $2B

Yet Another Value Blog Aug 11 11 clicks

$HIMS: Paul Cerro wouldn't trust the CEO to walk his dog. He's still long. Why? | Cedar Grove

Hims & Hers investor Paul Cerro is long again on lab and patient data driving retention and LTV, despite management concerns, GLP-1…

HIMS $7.1B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 7 9 clicks

Perimeter Solutions: 2Q26 Business Recap

Perimeter Solutions’ 2Q26 revenue rose 31%, while operating income fell 11% as USDA pricing and DLA delivery timing hurt Fire Safety; it…

PRM $5.3B

Speedwell Memos Aug 5 9 clicks

Floor & Decor: 2Q26 Business Update

Floor & Decor’s same-store sales improved to minus 2%, while $45 million of tariff refunds lifted second-quarter gross profit and operating…

FND $5B

Speedwell Memos Aug 4 8 clicks

[scuttleslops] BLDR, RYAN, APG, GFL, FND

Builders FirstSource reported Q2 2026 sales down 9% to $3.9 billion as weak housing demand and aggressive competitor pricing cut EBITDA…

BLDR $6.3B

scuttleblurb Aug 3 8 clicks

EQPT · long

Equipmentshare.com INC

EquipmentShare.com, EQPT, is presented as a long idea and potential multibagger following its recent IPO, with a setup compared to Carvana.

EQPT $4.6B

Value Investors Club May 26

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Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage

From X

Ian Bezek on X

Ian Bezek on X

Ian Bezek on X

Lee Roach on X

Ian Bezek on X

SG on X

Maj Soueidan on X

⚽️📡 on X

Investor Letters

Seabridge Gold: Fairly Valued Now But Big Upside

NCLH or her grandma Saga?

Zeta Global's AI Story Just Became Measurable (Rating Downgrade)

$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management

Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?

$UWMC lost $600m hedging a deal they'd already lost

$HIMS: Paul Cerro wouldn't trust the CEO to walk his dog. He's still long. Why? | Cedar Grove

Perimeter Solutions: 2Q26 Business Recap

Floor & Decor: 2Q26 Business Update

[scuttleslops] BLDR, RYAN, APG, GFL, FND

Equipmentshare.com INC

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Sunday, August 30, 2026

Ian Bezek on X

Ian Bezek on X

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Lee Roach on X

Ian Bezek on X

SG on X

Maj Soueidan on X

⚽️📡 on X

Investor Letters

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YouTube 4

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Seeking Alpha 29 of 159

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