Friday, August 28, 2026

Meta Buys Away its Distraction at Minimal Cost

Meta’s $18 billion teen-addiction settlement makes $5.3 billion contingent on YouTube and TikTok adopting matching restrictions, while exempting direct messages from usage limits.

META $1.8TRBLX $35B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 28 7 clicks

Aug 28 SNDK $198B

Making sense of Sandisk’s long-term financial model

Bristlemoon Capital 9 clicks

Aug 27 UWMC $1.9B

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

Yet Another Value Podcast 13 clicks

From X

@irbezek Jul 15 1 click

Ian Bezek on X

@b20220803 @OddStats $soxl dropped 90% during the 2024-25 dip. This one will be worse.

@natstewart5 Jul 15 1 click

Nat Stewart on X

Just had lunch with my son at Wendy's $WEN in Lee, NH. He had the Baconator, I had the spicy chicken sandwich. Both of us thought it was pretty darn good. Ample amount of chicken, decent bun, reasonably spicy. We both liked the fries as well. Restaurant was clean, service was quick.

@BlueDuckCap Jul 15

BDC on X

$toi https://t.co/9pfaLXskXk

@BlueDuckCap Jul 15

BDC on X

$STIM owns the largest Spravato clinic footprint in the country. FWIW. Greenbrook TMS— it operates ~95 company-run "Treatment Centers" across the US that administer both NeuroStar TMS and Spravato directly to patients, and it explicitly markets itself as the nation's leading provider of these treatments, with over 60,000 patients treated and 2 million+ treatments delivered. That's the closest thing to a "largest clinical distributor of Spravato" in the public markets

@BrokenMoats Jul 15

Broken Moats on X

Someone really going to need to explain how Stripe buying $PYPL is also bullish for $XYZ? Venmo now gets unlimited funding, a direct consumer facing application for the biggest player in payments, and the optionality of their checkout/pos business if they want to scale and invest aggressively their for that (like pushing their stable coin initiative that would be well received by retailers). Would think the correct framework for this deal is it is net negative the entire payment space as a new entrant has new pathways to compete and disrupt ($TOST, $STNE $FOUR etc included)

@mavix_leon Jul 15 1 click

mavix on X

Evolution $EVO has agreed a GBP 4.75 million settlement with the UK Gambling Commission, concluding the licence review initiated in December 2024. The settlement primarily relates to the finding that Evolution game content was available via two operators on six websites. https://t.co/Q2pVlKKgjd

@LaughingH20Cap Jul 14 3 clicks

Laughing Water Capital on X

@thecontracap also worth noting that if $ANAB loses, maybe the stock goes down but future cash flows do not. Plan B is prob just sell the royalty stream, which is why the former CFO of $RPRX was added to the BOD 4 months ago. Heads win a ton. Tails you don't lose (if you can handle the vol)

@LaughingH20Cap Jul 14 1 click

Laughing Water Capital on X

@thecontracap agree ex-CEO statements are not +. However, statements from the GSK manager responsible for managing the $ANAB collaboration make it clear he thought GSK was in violation of the agreement. Not good for either side. Think sanctity of contract law has to come above all else though

NTG Clarity Networks ($NCI.V) FINS Review

NTG Clarity’s $18.6M of Q2 service revenue sat in contract assets, while $4.6M cash burn cut cash to $2.85M and raises liquidity concerns.

NYWKF $13M

Wolf's Substack Aug 28 8 clicks

The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)

Verra Mobility renewed Hertz tolling management for five years. AutoKinex lets rental customers buy tolling, fuel and protection products…

VRRM $447M

The Oak Bloke Aug 27 6 clicks

Nvidia Climbing the Wall of Worries

Nvidia guided FY2028 revenue toward $700 billion, roughly 70% growth, while supply constraints and neocloud demand face concerns over…

NVDA $5.2T

MBI Deep Dives Aug 27 5 clicks

Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade

Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.

HUCK $147MPRGS $1.7B

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 27 3 clicks

MT 2026-08-27

ArcelorMittal: Regionalization Is Creating A Structurally Better Steel Company

ArcelorMittal’s regional steel franchises, integrated mining and India expansion are lifting EBITDA per ton and supporting per-share…

MT $48B

Capital Connoisseur Aug 27 1 click

Nvidia’s Long-Term Margin Question

Nvidia faces questions over the durability of its long-term profit margins ahead of earnings.

NVDA $5.2T

MBI Deep Dives Aug 26 5 clicks

[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX

AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.

AMZN $2.7T

scuttleblurb Aug 26 6 clicks

KMI 2026-08-26

Kinder Morgan: The Consolidation Is An Opportunity Before The Next Leg Higher

Kinder Morgan raised 2026 guidance after record Q2 results, supported by a $9.6 billion backlog and growing U.S.

KMI $76B

Steven Fiorillo Aug 26 1 click

Atlas Engineered Products ($AEP.V) FINS Review

Atlas Engineered Products reported Q2 revenue up 19% to $16.2 million, but ended cashless on its credit line as inventory rose 47% and…

APEUF $29M

Wolf's Substack Aug 25 10 clicks

STNE 2026-08-25

StoneCo: Deep Value Hiding Behind Brazil's Rate Fears - For Now

StoneCo's buybacks and special dividend produced roughly 39% H1 shareholder yield as Brazil's rate cuts slow and competition persists.

STNE $2.6B

IWA Research Aug 25 3 clicks

VSEC · long

Vse CORP

VSE Corp trades at $185, with a stated $246 fair value and 2027 estimated EV/EBITDA of 15x.

VSEC $4.4B

Value Investors Club May 30 2 clicks

BHVN 2026-08-27

Biohaven: Sale Of Opakalim Rights To SK Biopharmaceuticals Makes Sense On Many Levels

Biohaven’s $795 million global opakalim licensing deal with SK Biopharmaceuticals boosts cash, lowers R&D spending and extends its funding…

BHVN $1.7B

Edmund Ingham Aug 27 1 click

Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns

Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling…

AMZN $2.7T

MBI Deep Dives Aug 25 3 clicks

Stripe’s “Singularity” and the Divergence from Adyen

Stripe’s net revenue rose 41% in 1H 2026 versus Adyen’s 21% FX-adjusted growth, fueled by AI-native startups and acquisitions including…

ADYEY $33B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 24 6 clicks

The Junk (Mail) Merger Arb

Star Equity’s $5 per-share Harte-Hanks acquisition offers $2.50 cash plus 0.25 STRRP per share after proration, against a $2 break price.

STRR $36MHHS $32M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 24 8 clicks

Core Memory

Airbnb Experiences faces a supply bottleneck from manual approvals, while a farm host raised her price from $15 to $25 after stronger…

ABNB $106B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 23 9 clicks

FUTU 2026-08-23

Futu Holdings: The China Discount Is Obsolete After Q2 Earnings Report

Futu Holdings' Q2 funded accounts rose 33.6%, client assets 43.6% and net income 41.6% as it shifts from mainland China toward Singapore,…

FUTU $15B

Emanuel Nemec Aug 23 4 clicks

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…

ELALF $3.5B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 20 13 clicks

CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage

CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…

CCC $4.5B

scuttleblurb Aug 20 18 clicks

TEM 2026-08-20

Tempus AI Just Had Their Entire Strategy Validated By Moderna's Vaccine Advance

Tempus AI's diagnostics and data businesses grew Q2 2026 revenue 19.4% year over year, with FDA approvals, expanded tests and pricing aimed…

TEM $11BMRNA $87B

Robert J. Lake Aug 20 2 clicks

Ian Bezek on X

Nat Stewart on X

BDC on X

BDC on X

Broken Moats on X

mavix on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

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