Thursday, August 27, 2026

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.

UWMC $2BCCOI $476M

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 27 13 clicks

Aug 27 VRRM $536M

The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)

The Oak Bloke 6 clicks

Aug 27 DOMO $177M

Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade

Triple S Special Situations Investing 3 clicks

From X

@ChrisCamillo Aug 27 1 click

Chris Camillo on X

@LownTrevor if you believe that’s the consensus then $TTWO not for you

@ChrisCamillo Aug 27 1 click

Chris Camillo on X

Please let $TTWO open flat tomorrow because tonight’s GTA VI reaction is “priced in” test me

@ChrisCamillo Aug 27 1 click

Chris Camillo on X

We currently have only one real datapoint to work off from today’s gameplay reveal: depth of player interest in the gameplay. The better the gameplay, the greater the long-term monetization opportunity for $TTWO. That’s the variable I don’t think is priced in yet, and it’s what gives this trade meaningful upside and downside.

@ChrisCamillo Aug 27 1 click

Chris Camillo on X

Ran dozens of social arb probability scenarios for how the world would react to today’s GTA VI gameplay reveal. This is playing out like a top 5% outcome. Did not expect this. Feels like the market came into today anchored to last week’s hacker leaks and primed for disappointment. It may take a minute to process what just happened. $TTWO

@majgeoinvesting Aug 27 1 click

Maj Soueidan on X

What's the one stock you hope falls due to a "blip" quarter that is likely temporary due to unusual circumstances or investor misinterpretation? Two of my wishes already came true with $SIF and $KLNG. Could throw $FSI into the mix. Next on this early Christmas wish list? $PPIH

@majgeoinvesting Aug 27 1 click

Maj Soueidan on X

@StableBread Nice summary. Thanks for sharing. I’m somewhat excited about the new CEO hire from the competitor, $CECO, who has actually been winning data center contracts.

@majgeoinvesting Aug 27

Maj Soueidan on X

Anyone have a direct line to $MG, call them now. We have a code red!!! https://t.co/zgvG6Ik5vi

@RagingVentures Aug 27 1 click

Raging Capital Ventures on X

I agree there are differences in HBM vs. NAND. I said we are “around” the peak of the cycle, with $SNDK much more at risk. Memory is an intensely cyclical business with a long history of booms and busts. Cyclical peaks are typically associated with double and triple+ ordering, as we are seeing today. Paybacks on new capacity are 1 year or less; capacity will come. $ASML is the primary limiter of capacity growth for DRAM/HBM, which is bullish for limiting supply growth in those markets. NAND is far less defensible. Memory is the biggest pain point in the ecosystem today and many entrepreneurs and engineers are intensively focused on solving this problem with innovation and other adjustments. De-speccing is already commonplace and memory pooling is coming. Finally, I am not saying it is time to short these stocks (although I am short some $SNDK). What I am saying is it is very poor capital allocation for $MU, $SNDK, etc. to be buying back stock at these multiples of invested capital.

Stripe’s “Singularity” and the Divergence from Adyen

Stripe’s net revenue rose 41% in 1H 2026 versus Adyen’s 21% FX-adjusted growth, fueled by AI-native startups and acquisitions including…

ADYEY $32B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 24 5 clicks

RCEL 2026-08-24

AVITA Medical: Favorable Reimbursements For Skin Wound Care

AVITA Medical’s more predictable reimbursement, RECELL GO rollout and PermeaDerm economics support adoption, with cash flow breakeven…

RCEL $347M

Myriam Alvarez Aug 24 4 clicks

Core Memory

Airbnb Experiences faces a supply bottleneck from manual approvals, while a farm host raised her price from $15 to $25 after stronger…

ABNB $90B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 23 9 clicks

The Non-linear Economics of Grocery Delivery Basket

Instacart’s larger grocery baskets create disproportionately better delivery economics than DoorDash’s, making half the basket size worth…

DASH $84B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 22 9 clicks

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…

ELALF $3.2B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 20 12 clicks

BAC 2026-08-20

Bank of America Preferreds: Better Propositions Available Than Series GG

Bank of America’s BAC.PR.B yields just over 6% near par, while discounted lower-coupon series such as BAC.PR.P offer better value despite…

BAC $407B

Prakhar Agarwal, CFA Aug 20 1 click

CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage

CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…

CCC $3.9B

scuttleblurb Aug 20 17 clicks

TEM 2026-08-20

Tempus AI Just Had Their Entire Strategy Validated By Moderna's Vaccine Advance

Tempus AI's diagnostics and data businesses grew Q2 2026 revenue 19.4% year over year, with FDA approvals, expanded tests and pricing aimed…

TEM $14BMRNA $63B

Robert J. Lake Aug 20 2 clicks

Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?

Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…

VRRM $536M

The Oak Bloke Aug 20 13 clicks

NCLH or her grandma Saga?

Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…

NCLH $6.5B

The Oak Bloke Aug 19 13 clicks

TMCR · short

Metals Royalty Company INC

Metals Royalty Company, a U.S.-focused critical-minerals royalty platform, direct-listed on Nasdaq in April 2026 and holds royalty and…

TMCR $296M

Value Investors Club May 25

Coupang Expert Insight Interview (No Paywall)

Coupang’s former strategy VP discusses Taiwan expansion, 1P-versus-3P economics, margins and competitive risks as CPNG trades 35% below its…

CPNG $26B

Speedwell Memos Jan 20 1 click

Uber Stock Breakdown (Five Minute Money)

Uber’s $50 billion revenue and $4.5 billion operating profit reflect a turnaround from years of subsidy-heavy growth, with autonomous…

UBER $145B

Speedwell Memos Jan 16 2 clicks

Green Dot: Creating a Standalone BaaS Bank

Green Dot creates a standalone banking-as-a-service bank.

GDOT $756M

Clark Street Value Jan 13 2 clicks

Return of the Power King

China Yuchai (CYD) seeks a 2026 rerating as governance normalization, global expansion, AI data-center power demand, and green-powertrain…

CYD $1.3B

Maius Partners Jan 4 6 clicks

Data Centers in the Permian Basin Part 3 - First Comes Power

Chevron’s proposed $6.5 billion, 2.5GW West Texas gas plant could support Permian AI data centers, with TPL, Oxy and WaterBridge land…

TPL $24B

310 Value’s Newsletter Dec 19 2 clicks

TransDigm (TDG) – The King of Aerospace Private Equity

TransDigm built a $72 billion aerospace-components consolidator through 90 acquisitions, delivering 23.1% annualized stock returns since…

TDG $61B

Bristlemoon Capital Dec 18

Haw Par Corporation Limited

Haw Par combines Tiger Balm’s stable cash flows with property, leisure and healthcare operations plus stakes in UOB and UOL.

HAWPY $3B

smallvalue. Dec 17 4 clicks

Hemnet – Broken Moat or Misunderstood Monopoly?

Hemnet’s Swedish listings monopoly has fallen from SEK420 to about SEK160 as growth slows, leaving investors to judge whether its 90% share…

HMNTY $669M

Bristlemoon Capital Dec 8

National Beverage Update

National Beverage’s rare share repurchase is framed as a buy signal, with 50% upside projected.

FIZZ $3B

Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter Nov 25 3 clicks

Thursday, August 27, 2026

Chris Camillo on X

Chris Camillo on X

Chris Camillo on X

Chris Camillo on X

Maj Soueidan on X

Maj Soueidan on X

Maj Soueidan on X

Raging Capital Ventures on X

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