Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.
NEBIUS GROUP TO OFFER $4.5 BILLION OF CONVERTIBLE SENIOR NOTES Wow, that's a monster convert issuance. But when your stock is this volatile, that vol is an asset. $NBIS https://t.co/B3VKZw72rx
@MLedrappier @roadkillrecipes @CalgaryLeveen @FishOnCapital $NN No doubt the smartest people in the room think Sept and Oct are very live months. The SpaceX news is critically important great news. I may be wrong, but I love the company’s position right now.
I just published the Earnings Update about the Shelly Group $SLYG H1 2026 results. You can find it in the Portfolio section of the blog :) https://t.co/8oHEkLEiea
It’s the same picture: time to get SHORT $CASY and $MUSA https://t.co/EFTszhSvv9
Watching $MG closely. They had a decent year last year and given 2027/28 growth expectations, the valuation is reasonable. But things going on might offer upside surprise - either from growth initiatives or an expansion in valuation from reducing leverage.. https://t.co/w1tD7YPu2b
Stripe’s net revenue rose 41% in 1H 2026 versus Adyen’s 21% FX-adjusted growth, fueled by AI-native startups and acquisitions including…
AVITA Medical’s more predictable reimbursement, RECELL GO rollout and PermeaDerm economics support adoption, with cash flow breakeven…
Airbnb Experiences faces a supply bottleneck from manual approvals, while a farm host raised her price from $15 to $25 after stronger…
Instacart’s larger grocery baskets create disproportionately better delivery economics than DoorDash’s, making half the basket size worth…
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
Bank of America’s BAC.PR.B yields just over 6% near par, while discounted lower-coupon series such as BAC.PR.P offer better value despite…
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
Tempus AI's diagnostics and data businesses grew Q2 2026 revenue 19.4% year over year, with FDA approvals, expanded tests and pricing aimed…
Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…
RGLD · long Royal Gold, a $19 billion precious-metals royalty and streaming company, benefits from mine production without operating mines directly.
Rocket Lab generated $234 million in Q2 revenue and built a $2.36 billion backlog, with Neutron priced at $50 million to $55 million before…
Walmart says Medicare Maximum Fair Price rules will cut FY27 US comps by 125 basis points, while pharmacy margins and prescription volumes…
Vistance Networks trades at $11 after a $5 special distribution, with a DOCSIS 4.0 upgrade cycle, cash reserves and a $160 million tax…
Instacart’s per-order unit economics provide a benchmark for assessing DoorDash’s LTM profitability and operating model.
Airbnb shares have risen about 50% since October 2025, prompting a revised 2026 model and return assumptions at the current price.
AppLovin’s AXON 2.0 self-serve rollout, e-commerce onboarding and Connected TV expansion aim to revive growth after Q2 2026 revenue and…
Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…
IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…
Nubank's 140 million customers, 20% efficiency ratio and 30% ROE frame whether its high-teens P/E reflects a scalable fintech or a maturing…
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