Thursday, August 27, 2026

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.

UWMC $2BCCOI $476M

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 27 13 clicks

Aug 27 VRRM $536M

The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)

The Oak Bloke 6 clicks

Aug 27 PRGS $1.9B

Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade

Triple S Special Situations Investing 3 clicks

From X

@ChrisCamillo Aug 27 1 click

Chris Camillo on X

@LownTrevor if you believe that’s the consensus then $TTWO not for you

@ChrisCamillo Aug 27 1 click

Chris Camillo on X

Please let $TTWO open flat tomorrow because tonight’s GTA VI reaction is “priced in” test me

@ChrisCamillo Aug 27 1 click

Chris Camillo on X

We currently have only one real datapoint to work off from today’s gameplay reveal: depth of player interest in the gameplay. The better the gameplay, the greater the long-term monetization opportunity for $TTWO. That’s the variable I don’t think is priced in yet, and it’s what gives this trade meaningful upside and downside.

@ChrisCamillo Aug 27 1 click

Chris Camillo on X

Ran dozens of social arb probability scenarios for how the world would react to today’s GTA VI gameplay reveal. This is playing out like a top 5% outcome. Did not expect this. Feels like the market came into today anchored to last week’s hacker leaks and primed for disappointment. It may take a minute to process what just happened. $TTWO

@majgeoinvesting Aug 27 1 click

Maj Soueidan on X

@StableBread Nice summary. Thanks for sharing. I’m somewhat excited about the new CEO hire from the competitor, $CECO, who has actually been winning data center contracts.

@majgeoinvesting Aug 27

Maj Soueidan on X

Anyone have a direct line to $MG, call them now. We have a code red!!! https://t.co/zgvG6Ik5vi

@RagingVentures Aug 27 1 click

Raging Capital Ventures on X

I agree there are differences in HBM vs. NAND. I said we are “around” the peak of the cycle, with $SNDK much more at risk. Memory is an intensely cyclical business with a long history of booms and busts. Cyclical peaks are typically associated with double and triple+ ordering, as we are seeing today. Paybacks on new capacity are 1 year or less; capacity will come. $ASML is the primary limiter of capacity growth for DRAM/HBM, which is bullish for limiting supply growth in those markets. NAND is far less defensible. Memory is the biggest pain point in the ecosystem today and many entrepreneurs and engineers are intensively focused on solving this problem with innovation and other adjustments. De-speccing is already commonplace and memory pooling is coming. Finally, I am not saying it is time to short these stocks (although I am short some $SNDK). What I am saying is it is very poor capital allocation for $MU, $SNDK, etc. to be buying back stock at these multiples of invested capital.

@ChrisCamillo Aug 27

Chris Camillo on X

13 years of hype should have made today almost impossible to live up to. Somehow for most GTA fans Rockstar delivered. $TTWO https://t.co/Uh56v646rL

Stripe’s “Singularity” and the Divergence from Adyen

Stripe’s net revenue rose 41% in 1H 2026 versus Adyen’s 21% FX-adjusted growth, fueled by AI-native startups and acquisitions including…

ADYEY $32B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 24 5 clicks

RCEL 2026-08-24

AVITA Medical: Favorable Reimbursements For Skin Wound Care

AVITA Medical’s more predictable reimbursement, RECELL GO rollout and PermeaDerm economics support adoption, with cash flow breakeven…

RCEL $347M

Myriam Alvarez Aug 24 4 clicks

Core Memory

Airbnb Experiences faces a supply bottleneck from manual approvals, while a farm host raised her price from $15 to $25 after stronger…

ABNB $90B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 23 9 clicks

The Non-linear Economics of Grocery Delivery Basket

Instacart’s larger grocery baskets create disproportionately better delivery economics than DoorDash’s, making half the basket size worth…

DASH $84B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 22 9 clicks

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…

ELALF $3.2B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 20 12 clicks

BAC 2026-08-20

Bank of America Preferreds: Better Propositions Available Than Series GG

Bank of America’s BAC.PR.B yields just over 6% near par, while discounted lower-coupon series such as BAC.PR.P offer better value despite…

BAC $407B

Prakhar Agarwal, CFA Aug 20 1 click

CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage

CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…

CCC $3.9B

scuttleblurb Aug 20 17 clicks

TEM 2026-08-20

Tempus AI Just Had Their Entire Strategy Validated By Moderna's Vaccine Advance

Tempus AI's diagnostics and data businesses grew Q2 2026 revenue 19.4% year over year, with FDA approvals, expanded tests and pricing aimed…

TEM $14BMRNA $63B

Robert J. Lake Aug 20 2 clicks

Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?

Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…

VRRM $536M

The Oak Bloke Aug 20 13 clicks

NCLH or her grandma Saga?

Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…

NCLH $6.5B

The Oak Bloke Aug 19 13 clicks

CDNS · long

Cadence Design Systems INC

Cadence Design Systems sells chip-design software as AI computing drives a structural increase in semiconductor design complexity.

CDNS $78B

Value Investors Club May 21 2 clicks

Insureco w/ Potential Strat Alts Announcement Soon + 100% Upside on Buyout ($TIPT)

Tiptree ($TIPT) is positioned around a potential Fortegra sale announcement; Fortegra generates substantially all revenue.

TIPT $651M

Multibagger Monitor Feb 25 7 clicks

Unpacking eDreams' Capital Markets Day

EDreams nears 7.25 million Prime members and €180 million of Cash EBITDA, marking its shift from an online travel agency to a…

EDDRF $520M

310 Value’s Newsletter Feb 6 1 click

China Yuchai: Deep Value Meets Growth (NYSE:CYD)

China Yuchai (CYD) trades at 2x EBITDA and 0.3x book as data-center backup-power demand, buybacks, and net cash support an earnings…

CYD $1.3B

Maius Partners Feb 5 1 click

Industrial and Commercial Bank of China

ICBC’s chairman describes embedding Chinese Communist Party leadership, anti-corruption campaigns and Xi Jinping Thought into governance at…

IDCBF $410B

John Hempton's Newsletter Nov 16

The Strategic Value of eDreams

EDreams’ Prime travel subscription model makes the €3.6 billion European OTA a potential Uber, Airbnb or Amazon acquisition target.

EDDRF $520M

310 Value’s Newsletter Oct 28 2 clicks

Inflecting Drone Company w/ Near-Term (+300% vs. -30%) Binary Event ($RCAT)

Red Cat’s Teal Drones is one of two remaining candidates for a $600 million to $1 billion-plus U.S.

RCAT $1.1B

Multibagger Monitor Jul 10 3 clicks

Sarepta Risk and the FDA

Sarepta’s Exondys 51 approval despite a 12-patient trial frames FDA regulatory risk and a call to remove Commissioner Robert Califf.

SRPT $2.2B

John Hempton's Newsletter Oct 31 1 click

Does anyone remember when Alnylam went up 50 percent in a day on a phase three result

Alnylam’s 2022 50% phase-three gain faces FDA advisory-panel scrutiny over its amyloidosis drug’s label extension.

ALNY $32B

John Hempton's Newsletter Sep 12

Thursday, August 27, 2026

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)

Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade

From X

Chris Camillo on X

Chris Camillo on X

Chris Camillo on X

Chris Camillo on X

Maj Soueidan on X

Maj Soueidan on X

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Chris Camillo on X

Investor Letters

Stripe’s “Singularity” and the Divergence from Adyen

AVITA Medical: Favorable Reimbursements For Skin Wound Care

Core Memory

The Non-linear Economics of Grocery Delivery Basket

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

Bank of America Preferreds: Better Propositions Available Than Series GG

CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage

Tempus AI Just Had Their Entire Strategy Validated By Moderna's Vaccine Advance

Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?

NCLH or her grandma Saga?

Cadence Design Systems INC

Insureco w/ Potential Strat Alts Announcement Soon + 100% Upside on Buyout ($TIPT)

Unpacking eDreams' Capital Markets Day

China Yuchai: Deep Value Meets Growth (NYSE:CYD)

Industrial and Commercial Bank of China

The Strategic Value of eDreams

Inflecting Drone Company w/ Near-Term (+300% vs. -30%) Binary Event ($RCAT)

Sarepta Risk and the FDA

Does anyone remember when Alnylam went up 50 percent in a day on a phase three result

Publications we follow

YouTube 4

Blogs 12

Seeking Alpha 29 of 159

X accounts we follow

Investor letters we follow

Sectors

Thursday, August 27, 2026

Chris Camillo on X

Chris Camillo on X

Chris Camillo on X

Chris Camillo on X

Maj Soueidan on X

Maj Soueidan on X

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Chris Camillo on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

Newsletters 91

YouTube 4

Blogs 12

Seeking Alpha 29 of 159

X accounts we follow

Investor letters we follow

Sectors