Thursday, August 27, 2026

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.

UWMC $2BCCOI $476M

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 27 13 clicks

Aug 27 VRRM $536M

The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)

The Oak Bloke 6 clicks

Aug 27 PRGS $1.9B

Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade

Triple S Special Situations Investing 3 clicks

From X

@ChrisCamillo Aug 27 1 click

Chris Camillo on X

@LownTrevor if you believe that’s the consensus then $TTWO not for you

@ChrisCamillo Aug 27 1 click

Chris Camillo on X

Please let $TTWO open flat tomorrow because tonight’s GTA VI reaction is “priced in” test me

@ChrisCamillo Aug 27 1 click

Chris Camillo on X

We currently have only one real datapoint to work off from today’s gameplay reveal: depth of player interest in the gameplay. The better the gameplay, the greater the long-term monetization opportunity for $TTWO. That’s the variable I don’t think is priced in yet, and it’s what gives this trade meaningful upside and downside.

@ChrisCamillo Aug 27 1 click

Chris Camillo on X

Ran dozens of social arb probability scenarios for how the world would react to today’s GTA VI gameplay reveal. This is playing out like a top 5% outcome. Did not expect this. Feels like the market came into today anchored to last week’s hacker leaks and primed for disappointment. It may take a minute to process what just happened. $TTWO

@majgeoinvesting Aug 27 1 click

Maj Soueidan on X

@StableBread Nice summary. Thanks for sharing. I’m somewhat excited about the new CEO hire from the competitor, $CECO, who has actually been winning data center contracts.

@majgeoinvesting Aug 27

Maj Soueidan on X

Anyone have a direct line to $MG, call them now. We have a code red!!! https://t.co/zgvG6Ik5vi

@RagingVentures Aug 27 1 click

Raging Capital Ventures on X

I agree there are differences in HBM vs. NAND. I said we are “around” the peak of the cycle, with $SNDK much more at risk. Memory is an intensely cyclical business with a long history of booms and busts. Cyclical peaks are typically associated with double and triple+ ordering, as we are seeing today. Paybacks on new capacity are 1 year or less; capacity will come. $ASML is the primary limiter of capacity growth for DRAM/HBM, which is bullish for limiting supply growth in those markets. NAND is far less defensible. Memory is the biggest pain point in the ecosystem today and many entrepreneurs and engineers are intensively focused on solving this problem with innovation and other adjustments. De-speccing is already commonplace and memory pooling is coming. Finally, I am not saying it is time to short these stocks (although I am short some $SNDK). What I am saying is it is very poor capital allocation for $MU, $SNDK, etc. to be buying back stock at these multiples of invested capital.

@ChrisCamillo Aug 27

Chris Camillo on X

13 years of hype should have made today almost impossible to live up to. Somehow for most GTA fans Rockstar delivered. $TTWO https://t.co/Uh56v646rL

Stripe’s “Singularity” and the Divergence from Adyen

Stripe’s net revenue rose 41% in 1H 2026 versus Adyen’s 21% FX-adjusted growth, fueled by AI-native startups and acquisitions including…

ADYEY $32B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 24 5 clicks

RCEL 2026-08-24

AVITA Medical: Favorable Reimbursements For Skin Wound Care

AVITA Medical’s more predictable reimbursement, RECELL GO rollout and PermeaDerm economics support adoption, with cash flow breakeven…

RCEL $347M

Myriam Alvarez Aug 24 4 clicks

Core Memory

Airbnb Experiences faces a supply bottleneck from manual approvals, while a farm host raised her price from $15 to $25 after stronger…

ABNB $90B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 23 9 clicks

The Non-linear Economics of Grocery Delivery Basket

Instacart’s larger grocery baskets create disproportionately better delivery economics than DoorDash’s, making half the basket size worth…

DASH $84B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 22 9 clicks

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…

ELALF $3.2B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 20 12 clicks

BAC 2026-08-20

Bank of America Preferreds: Better Propositions Available Than Series GG

Bank of America’s BAC.PR.B yields just over 6% near par, while discounted lower-coupon series such as BAC.PR.P offer better value despite…

BAC $407B

Prakhar Agarwal, CFA Aug 20 1 click

CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage

CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…

CCC $3.9B

scuttleblurb Aug 20 17 clicks

TEM 2026-08-20

Tempus AI Just Had Their Entire Strategy Validated By Moderna's Vaccine Advance

Tempus AI's diagnostics and data businesses grew Q2 2026 revenue 19.4% year over year, with FDA approvals, expanded tests and pricing aimed…

TEM $14BMRNA $63B

Robert J. Lake Aug 20 2 clicks

Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?

Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…

VRRM $536M

The Oak Bloke Aug 20 13 clicks

NCLH or her grandma Saga?

Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…

NCLH $6.5B

The Oak Bloke Aug 19 13 clicks

ADBE · long

Adobe INC

Adobe's dual network effects and platform entrenchment make AI fears a buying opportunity for the software compounder.

ADBE $99B

Value Investors Club May 21 1 click

Golden Dome, Quantum, Next-Gen GPS, Oh My... ($FEIM)

Frequency Electronics ($FEIM) trades at its lowest EV/EBITDA multiple since 2016 despite satellite-timing exposure to Golden Dome spending…

FEIM $1B

Multibagger Monitor Jun 16 8 clicks

Brookfield's New Lawsuit

Brookfield faces whistleblower allegations over its VC funds; $569 million of Q1 buybacks challenges claims that $8 million of remaining…

BN $85B

310 Value’s Newsletter May 15 3 clicks

When extend and pretend is a virtue

Upstart says longer repayment terms lifted Q1 debt-settlement acceptances 50%, but does not disclose delinquency changes or the number of…

UPST $2.4B

John Hempton's Newsletter May 6 2 clicks

Hallador's "Beautiful, Clean Coal": Near Term Catalyst w/ 200% Upside ($HNRG)

Hallador Energy's Merom plant cleared a MISO review, setting up a potential data-center PPA that could transform the coal miner into a…

HNRG $708M

Multibagger Monitor Apr 22 8 clicks

Brookfield Corp. - Get a Buck for Fifty Cents

Brookfield Corp. trades at 13.2x 2025 distributable earnings and $45.97 against management’s $91.76 sum-of-the-parts Plan Value, discounted…

BN $85B

310 Value’s Newsletter Apr 10 3 clicks

Comeback Season: Evolv Eyes Positive FCF, 40% ARR Growth, and Reputational Revival in '25 ($EVLV)

Evolv ($EVLV) targets positive free cash flow and 40% ARR growth in 2025 as delayed filings, an FTC resolution, and leadership changes seek…

EVLV $880M

Multibagger Monitor Apr 7 8 clicks

CYD and H22 Results First Take:

CYD’s FY24 earnings miss reflected ¥200m of one-offs; adjusted net income reached roughly ¥430m and operating cash flow rose 40%.

CYD $1.3B

Maius Partners Feb 27 2 clicks

Portfolio Updates

CYD was sold near $21 versus an $11 entry after exceeding a $19.50 target; proceeds moved to H22.SI, whose CYD stake implies $1.30 NAV and…

CYD $1.3B

Maius Partners Feb 24 4 clicks

Hong Leong Asia: Unveiling Undervalued Gems in CYD’s Parent Company

Hong Leong Asia (SGX: H22) has 40% base-case upside, driven by its CYD stake’s data-center opportunity and Singapore-Malaysia…

CYD $1.3B

Maius Partners Feb 11 1 click

Thursday, August 27, 2026

Chris Camillo on X

Chris Camillo on X

Chris Camillo on X

Chris Camillo on X

Maj Soueidan on X

Maj Soueidan on X

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Chris Camillo on X

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