Thursday, August 27, 2026

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.

UWMC $2BCCOI $476M

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 27 13 clicks

Aug 27 VRRM $536M

The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)

The Oak Bloke 6 clicks

Aug 27 DOMO $177M

Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade

Triple S Special Situations Investing 3 clicks

From X

@BlueDuckCap Aug 19 1 click

BDC on X

Reality check: Ph2 $MRNA lead with the data. Ph3, no actual data. They are just saying they hit their endpoints. Those being RFS, DFMS, OS. "We have not disclosed with Merk kind of where the goalpost is". This is not a "personalized cancer vaccine". $MRNA gave themselves an A on the test but we don't know how hard the test was. That's what this is.

@junkbondinvest Aug 19

junkbondinvestor on X

NEBIUS GROUP TO OFFER $4.5 BILLION OF CONVERTIBLE SENIOR NOTES Wow, that's a monster convert issuance. But when your stock is this volatile, that vol is an asset. $NBIS https://t.co/B3VKZw72rx

@mavix_leon Aug 19 2 clicks

mavix on X

Shelly Group $SLYG has entered into a pan-European partnership with ALSO, Europe’s largest technology provider that provides an extensive network of resellers, system integrators and professional installers. It also supports Shelly’s international scaling strategy. https://t.co/E4Gg0SWhIA

@mavix_leon Aug 19 1 click

mavix on X

Shelly Group $SLYG major shareholder Svetlin Todorov has transferred nearly 1/4 of his shares (6.5% of Shelly) into a LLC he also owns. Maybe a preparation for a potential partial sale to Schneider Electric who would buy into Shelly as a strategic investor / partnership? https://t.co/YJfHzbSeeH

@stockgutter Aug 18 1 click

SG on X

@siyul $LX had a bit before but really sized up today. China fintech lender that either adapts to changing regulations and emerges ok, or gets wiped by credit cycle. Bet is the former. Reports Aug 31.

@cfrischer1 Aug 18

Charles Frischer on X

@MLedrappier @roadkillrecipes @CalgaryLeveen @FishOnCapital $NN No doubt the smartest people in the room think Sept and Oct are very live months. The SpaceX news is critically important great news. I may be wrong, but I love the company’s position right now.

@stockgutter Aug 18 1 click

SG on X

Seems like a good comparison from the little I know about $swag. Differences: Stran seems more national in scope, with a large casino presence and a digital business that $admq does not have. ADM Endeavors may want to be national but really is mostly Texas. Also has a school uniform biz.

@mavix_leon Aug 18 2 clicks

mavix on X

I just published the Earnings Update about the Shelly Group $SLYG H1 2026 results. You can find it in the Portfolio section of the blog :) https://t.co/8oHEkLEiea

MT 2026-08-27

ArcelorMittal: Regionalization Is Creating A Structurally Better Steel Company

ArcelorMittal’s regional steel franchises, integrated mining and India expansion are lifting EBITDA per ton and supporting per-share…

MT $55B

Capital Connoisseur Aug 27 1 click

Atlas Engineered Products ($AEP.V) FINS Review

Atlas Engineered Products reported Q2 revenue up 19% to $16.2 million, but ended cashless on its credit line as inventory rose 47% and…

APEUF $31M

Wolf's Substack Aug 25 10 clicks

Stripe’s “Singularity” and the Divergence from Adyen

Stripe’s net revenue rose 41% in 1H 2026 versus Adyen’s 21% FX-adjusted growth, fueled by AI-native startups and acquisitions including…

ADYEY $32B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 24 5 clicks

The Junk (Mail) Merger Arb

Star Equity’s $5 per-share Harte-Hanks acquisition offers $2.50 cash plus 0.25 STRRP per share after proration, against a $2 break price.

STRR $37MHHS $35M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 24 8 clicks

RCEL 2026-08-24

AVITA Medical: Favorable Reimbursements For Skin Wound Care

AVITA Medical’s more predictable reimbursement, RECELL GO rollout and PermeaDerm economics support adoption, with cash flow breakeven…

RCEL $347M

Myriam Alvarez Aug 24 4 clicks

Core Memory

Airbnb Experiences faces a supply bottleneck from manual approvals, while a farm host raised her price from $15 to $25 after stronger…

ABNB $90B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 23 9 clicks

FUTU 2026-08-23

Futu Holdings: The China Discount Is Obsolete After Q2 Earnings Report

Futu Holdings' Q2 funded accounts rose 33.6%, client assets 43.6% and net income 41.6% as it shifts from mainland China toward Singapore,…

FUTU $16B

Emanuel Nemec Aug 23 4 clicks

The Non-linear Economics of Grocery Delivery Basket

Instacart’s larger grocery baskets create disproportionately better delivery economics than DoorDash’s, making half the basket size worth…

DASH $84B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 22 9 clicks

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…

ELALF $3.2B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 20 12 clicks

CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage

CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…

CCC $3.9B

scuttleblurb Aug 20 17 clicks

LGCY · long

Legacy Education

Legacy Education operates six California campuses offering post-secondary nursing, physician assistant and surgical education.

LGCY $132M

Value Investors Club May 29

RKLB 2026-08-26

Rocket Lab Is Becoming Much Bigger Than Neutron

Rocket Lab generated $234 million in Q2 revenue and built a $2.36 billion backlog, with Neutron priced at $50 million to $55 million before…

RKLB $38B

Pythia Research Aug 26 3 clicks

Walmart’s Evolution

Walmart says Medicare Maximum Fair Price rules will cut FY27 US comps by 125 basis points, while pharmacy margins and prescription volumes…

PYPL $45B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 21 4 clicks

Instacart’s Unit Economics, and Implications for DoorDash

Instacart’s per-order unit economics provide a benchmark for assessing DoorDash’s LTM profitability and operating model.

DASH $84B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 20 4 clicks

Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?

Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…

VRRM $536M

The Oak Bloke Aug 20 13 clicks

SA 2026-08-20

Seabridge Gold: Fairly Valued Now But Big Upside

Seabridge Gold's KSM gold-copper project could re-rate on a joint venture, 2027 feasibility study and infrastructure progress, with gold…

SA $3.3B

Redfern Research Aug 20

NCLH or her grandma Saga?

Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…

NCLH $6.5B

The Oak Bloke Aug 19 13 clicks

Airbnb Model Update (2026)

Airbnb shares have risen about 50% since October 2025, prompting a revised 2026 model and return assumptions at the current price.

ABNB $90B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 19 4 clicks

PGY 2026-08-19

Pagaya Technologies: A Fast-Growing Industry Disruptor Trading At A P/E Of 6.6x

Pagaya Technologies reported Q2 2026 network volume of $3.54 billion, 19% revenue growth and 99% adjusted net-income growth, while trading…

PGY $1.7B

Akim Guerreiro Aug 19

Jumia

Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…

JMIA $938M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 18 13 clicks

Thursday, August 27, 2026

BDC on X

junkbondinvestor on X

mavix on X

mavix on X

SG on X

Charles Frischer on X

SG on X

mavix on X

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