Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns
Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling after 2030.
Tuesday, August 25, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Ian Bezek on X
@taobanker Good chance this will be another 14% higher at some point between now and Dec. Things in motion stay in motion... $COLO https://t.co/CjrbroM2R3
BDC on X
@BoxLongs Wild truth is that if $SNAP chooses they can earn over $1/share in FCF next year. $5 stock.
Chris Camillo on X
Bought $TTWO after seeing the GTA VI leaked footage. Forget the graphics. Unpolished gameplay is showing a massive leap in world density, NPC behavior and systemic depth. The world feels alive. First real evidence GTA VI may actually be a generational leap. That’s the signal. https://t.co/r6HKMVSYgc
Ian Bezek on X
@taobanker $U up every day, $APP down every day, $RBLX demolished. Things as they should be.
Ian Bezek on X
@2suns2moons @bold_perception $CIB dividend up from $2.25/year in 2022 to more than $6/share now. Covers a lot of living expenses. If you relocate to another country, good to own some stuff there so you have an economic stake if its conditions improve...
Lee Roach on X
$BTC is at $77k. You can just buy hated stuff and tell the market to suck your balls. https://t.co/ZmzYHBZLoA
Timyan Bank Alert on X
Deutsche Bank $DB freed from consent order in 2010s FX scandal https://t.co/BsHGBheaWK
Investor Letters
All letters- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 064850 $178M082920 $961M
- Protean Funds July 2026 DVYSR $89MEVGGF $15B
- Intrepid Capital 2Q 2026
- Polaris Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 ENI $85BHDIH
- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 032830 $41BBABA $276B
- Oakmark Funds 2Q 2026 META $1.8TORCL $429B
- Greenhaven Road Capital second quarter 2026 ANAB $1.4BBUR $772M
- RGA Investment Advisors Q2 2026 ADBE $90BADYEN $31B
The Junk (Mail) Merger Arb
Star Equity’s $5 per-share Harte-Hanks acquisition offers $2.50 cash plus 0.25 STRRP per share after proration, against a $2 break price.
RCEL 2026-08-24 AVITA Medical: Favorable Reimbursements For Skin Wound Care
AVITA Medical’s more predictable reimbursement, RECELL GO rollout and PermeaDerm economics support adoption, with cash flow breakeven…
Myriam Alvarez 4 clicks
Core Memory
Airbnb Experiences faces a supply bottleneck from manual approvals, while a farm host raised her price from $15 to $25 after stronger…
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
BAC 2026-08-20 Bank of America Preferreds: Better Propositions Available Than Series GG
Bank of America’s BAC.PR.B yields just over 6% near par, while discounted lower-coupon series such as BAC.PR.P offer better value despite…
Prakhar Agarwal, CFA 1 click
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?
Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…
NCLH or her grandma Saga?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…
APP 2026-08-19 AppLovin: Here's How I See 3 Catalysts That Could Drive Valuation Re-Rating
AppLovin’s AXON 2.0 self-serve rollout, e-commerce onboarding and Connected TV expansion aim to revive growth after Q2 2026 revenue and…
KL Research 2 clicks
Jumia
Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…
OFRM · long Once Upon A Farm Pbc
Once Upon a Farm (OFRM) makes organic baby food, smoothies and kid snacks using high-pressure processing instead of heat pasteurization.
NRIX 2026-08-24 Nurix Therapeutics: Roche Has Changed The Economics Of The Bull Case
Nurix Therapeutics gained $700 million upfront from Roche, a 50% U.S. profit share and Roche-funded global bexobrutideg development,…
Equity Eagle 3 clicks
The Non-linear Economics of Grocery Delivery Basket
Instacart’s larger grocery baskets create disproportionately better delivery economics than DoorDash’s, making half the basket size worth…
NVDA 2026-08-22 Nvidia: It's All About SpaceX Now
Nvidia’s exclusive SpaceX partnership targets a 10 GW data-center buildout and could add $120 billion to $230 billion of revenue beyond…
Uttam Dey 2 clicks
Walmart’s Evolution
Walmart says Medicare Maximum Fair Price rules will cut FY27 US comps by 125 basis points, while pharmacy margins and prescription volumes…
Instacart’s Unit Economics, and Implications for DoorDash
Instacart’s per-order unit economics provide a benchmark for assessing DoorDash’s LTM profitability and operating model.
NBIS 2026-08-20 Nebius: The Market Is Arguing About The Wrong Number
Nebius posted 454% revenue growth and a 41% EBITDA margin, while Meta’s $27 billion agreement supports its AI infrastructure backlog.
The Quality Growth Investor 3 clicks
Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN
IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…
$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital
Nubank's 140 million customers, 20% efficiency ratio and 30% ROE frame whether its high-teens P/E reflects a scalable fintech or a maturing…
Stock Trade Compilation Diez
E.W. Scripps, Team Internet, Monro, doValue and Inter & Co feature as special-situation trades involving mergers, asset sales, leverage and…
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