The Non-linear Economics of Grocery Delivery Basket
Instacart’s larger grocery baskets create disproportionately better delivery economics than DoorDash’s, making half the basket size worth far less than half the profit.
Instacart’s larger grocery baskets create disproportionately better delivery economics than DoorDash’s, making half the basket size worth far less than half the profit.
Sold my $BILL on this 50%+ run off the lows, and continue to actively trade around core $HUBS and $WDAY positions by regularly writing calls or shorting puts (and sometimes boxing my longs). The volatility has been insane. Sold $ESTC for now. Also, I’m now short a small amount of $ADBE, $NOW, $TEAM, $CXM and $YEXT into July’s de-grossing/de-leveraging squeeze.
Another ugly quarter at $MO. Still struggling to gain traction in the all-important new smokeless markets, while Marlboro bleeds market share and overall smoking volumes continue to collapse. This has been a good trading short with all of the funky rotation and factor moves. https://t.co/SK4WwXsiiZ
OpenAI “ARR” apparently run rating at $60 b, and (for the most part) they haven’t yet monetized their 1 billion weekly consumer actives. Bullish $ORCL. https://t.co/pBDIrTTAqV
@taobanker I half heartedly pitched $jd the week it bottomed with an apology attached to it for buying such a hated stock. Sure enough straight up
$LRCX is $RELL biggest customer and has a record up day today, on the back of strong earnings from Richardson. https://t.co/Jowt0qmxXX
OpenAI’s CFO Sarah Friar also on a media tour spreading the good cheer… bullish $ORCL https://t.co/oymK8c7nVc
Sam Altman sounded a lot more at ease about his revenue ramp and was even bullish about his compute commitments (even saying they may have been too conservative) in this podcast. Given that he has been relatively quiet on the podcast circuit over the past year, I view this as a positive tell on OpenAI/$ORCL. https://t.co/yezInyb9XB
Majority of EPS growth is in tech. Rest of the market EPS growth is tepid. $QQQ imploding, $RSP ripped. Sustainable?
Nebius posted 454% revenue growth and a 41% EBITDA margin, while Meta’s $27 billion agreement supports its AI infrastructure backlog.
IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…
Nubank's 140 million customers, 20% efficiency ratio and 30% ROE frame whether its high-teens P/E reflects a scalable fintech or a maturing…
HubSpot trades near its 2020 share price despite quadrupled revenue and $750 million in free cash flow, with Breeze AI upside weighed…
Zoetis’s U.S. companion-animal revenue fell 6% as dermatology competition drove rebates and discounts, pushing full-year net pricing to…
Copart faces a near-term lift from pricier AV repairs and total losses, but shrinking accident volumes could eventually force its…
GFL’s proposed acquisition of Secure follows 19% revenue growth at Secure and 14.8% EBITDA growth at GFL, with Permian produced-water and…
Glenn Schorr and Ken Worthington discuss risks in private-credit software loans, agentic AI at retail brokers, crypto use cases and bank…
Visa and Mastercard have absorbed digital wallets and BNPL into their networks, using global merchant acceptance to turn supposed…
Steve Eisman reviews SpaceX earnings, AI capital spending’s drag on free cash flow, Meta’s struggles, and the collapse of Situational…
DASH · long DoorDash holds roughly 60% U.S. market share in on-demand restaurant logistics, underpinning a long thesis on its defensible delivery…
Airbnb shares have risen about 50% since October 2025, prompting a revised 2026 model and return assumptions at the current price.
AppLovin’s AXON 2.0 self-serve rollout, e-commerce onboarding and Connected TV expansion aim to revive growth after Q2 2026 revenue and…
DoorDash’s integrated autonomous-delivery strategy contrasts with Uber’s 2026 divestment of Serve Robotics, its former delivery-robot…
CoreWeave and Nebius cite AI compute shortages and higher-priced GPU renewals, but older-chip utilization and depreciation vary across…
Booking Holdings beat Q2 guidance as room nights grew 5%; connected trips, merchant payments and Genius loyalty strengthened direct…
Coupang’s product-commerce revenue rose 8% in constant currency as data-leak churn lingered, while promotions and underused logistics…
Old Dominion Freight Line grew Q2 revenue 10.4% and EPS 32.3% as pricing offset lower tonnage, while excess network capacity sets up…
Adobe generates 96% of revenue from subscriptions and converts over 40% into free cash flow, but generative AI tests whether Creative…
Tractor Supply’s 2,602-store rural retail network supported 30+ years of growth.
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