NCLH or her grandma Saga?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028 profit.
Wednesday, August 19, 2026
Back to today
From X
Timyan Bank Alert on X
QNB Corp. $QNBC Announces Pricing of Common Stock Offering https://t.co/5mPLeT0iSH
BDC on X
@DueDoctor Oh I agree 100%. The move is totally insane. $GME like. +20% would have made some sense based on math. I actually think lack of 2ndary here is even WORSE for them. They need the cash. 2ndary cleans up that need.
BDC on X
@DueDoctor All goes well this could add $800mn in annual revenue to $mrna. Added $44B in market cap. Market said that theoretical 2-3 year out revenue is worth 50x + yesterdays' market cap
Mike on X
@mathlonning $SIF especially, I thought the Q was good
BDC on X
@BoxLongs $SNAP added $250mn in revenue yy and $200mn in adj ebitda. Adj shares outstanding actually decreased 70 bps yy. FCF +400% yy. While everyone knows its a horribly managed asset, the numbers in isolation are MUCH improved YoY while stock itself is down 30% yy.
Ian Bezek on X
@SandBrandyn I bought a basket of software and adjacent in Feb/March. $TEAM most ridiculous example both to the down and now upside... I don't trust the management teams enough to make a concentrated bet on any of these.
Ian Bezek on X
Atlassian $TEAM now up 214% since April, and +5% YTD. Market very efficiently determining future discounted cash flows from software companies, I see.
Ian Bezek on X
@LocalHero55 @OtterMarket @gatorcapital Post on an even more obscure MHC bank. And yes, $TFSL is a great income instrument, with (eventually) a chunky cap gain exit when they finally convert.
Investor Letters
All letters- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 064850 $178M082920 $961M
- Protean Funds July 2026 DVYSR $89MEVGGF $15B
- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 0R1M $888BAEM $93B
- RGA Investment Advisors Q2 2026 ADBE $90BADYEN $31B
- Royce Investment Partners year-to-date period ended 6/30/26 ACA $7.2BADMA $2.3B
- Oakmark Funds 2Q 2026 CRBG $15B
- Southeastern Asset Management 2Q26 ACI $5.7BAVTR $11B
- Horizon Kinetics 2nd Quarter 2026 TPL $24BAMZN $2.7T
Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN
IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…
$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital
Nubank's 140 million customers, 20% efficiency ratio and 30% ROE frame whether its high-teens P/E reflects a scalable fintech or a maturing…
Why DoorDash’s Autonomous Strategy Beats Uber’s Hodgepodge
DoorDash’s integrated autonomous-delivery strategy contrasts with Uber’s 2026 divestment of Serve Robotics, its former delivery-robot…
Stock Trade Compilation Diez
E.W. Scripps, Team Internet, Monro, doValue and Inter & Co feature as special-situation trades involving mergers, asset sales, leverage and…
The $1.5 Trillion of Hidden Debt Fueling the AI Boom | Robin Wigglesworth of FT Alphaville
Hyperscalers’ off-balance-sheet lease and purchase obligations rose from roughly $1 trillion to $1.5 trillion, turning the AI buildout into…
Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?
HubSpot trades near its 2020 share price despite quadrupled revenue and $750 million in free cash flow, with Breeze AI upside weighed…
AI’s Achilles’ Heel: Why Everything Hinges on Anthropic & OpenAI | The Weekly Wrap
Steve Eisman argues the AI boom hinges on Anthropic and OpenAI’s importance to hyperscalers, while weighing software, CoreWeave and Cisco…
$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management
DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.
The AI Compute Squeeze
CoreWeave and Nebius cite AI compute shortages and higher-priced GPU renewals, but older-chip utilization and depreciation vary across…
Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?
Macy’s and Kohl’s face renewed short cases as their recent reratings ignore fading store-refresh gains, credit-card earnings exposure and…
MPTI · long M-tron
M-Tron Industries is pitched as a long on its sole-source role across more than 40 missile, radar and aerospace programs.
Meta: 4Q25 Business Update
Meta’s 4Q25 revenue rose 24% as AI lifted ad performance, but 2026 costs are guided up about 41% and capex to $115–135 billion.
LVMH: 4Q25 Business Recap
LVMH’s 2025 revenue fell 5% and operating profit 9% amid forex and luxury weakness, while Fashion & Leather Goods improved in the second…
Coupang Expert Insight Interview (No Paywall)
Coupang’s former strategy VP discusses Taiwan expansion, 1P-versus-3P economics, margins and competitive risks as CPNG trades 35% below its…
Green Dot: Creating a Standalone BaaS Bank
Green Dot creates a standalone banking-as-a-service bank.
Return of the Power King
China Yuchai (CYD) seeks a 2026 rerating as governance normalization, global expansion, AI data-center power demand, and green-powertrain…
Data Centers in the Permian Basin Part 3 - First Comes Power
Chevron’s proposed $6.5 billion, 2.5GW West Texas gas plant could support Permian AI data centers, with TPL, Oxy and WaterBridge land…
TransDigm (TDG) – The King of Aerospace Private Equity
TransDigm built a $72 billion aerospace-components consolidator through 90 acquisitions, delivering 23.1% annualized stock returns since…
Haw Par Corporation Limited
Haw Par combines Tiger Balm’s stable cash flows with property, leisure and healthcare operations plus stakes in UOB and UOL.
Hemnet – Broken Moat or Misunderstood Monopoly?
Hemnet’s Swedish listings monopoly has fallen from SEK420 to about SEK160 as growth slows, leaving investors to judge whether its 90% share…
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