Airbnb Model Update (2026)
Airbnb shares have risen about 50% since October 2025, prompting a revised 2026 model and return assumptions at the current price.
Wednesday, August 19, 2026
From X
BDC on X
Majority of EPS growth is in tech. Rest of the market EPS growth is tepid. $QQQ imploding, $RSP ripped. Sustainable?
BDC on X
Meta’s committed AI capex risks exceeding financeable demand as capital costs rise, forcing a pivot from excess capacity.
BDC on X
Internet analysts once focused on Google Search, Meta advertising, Netflix subscribers and AWS growth. AI-era capex has made those earnings calls more complex.
BDC on X
@FrostByte123456 Yes. $GOOGL needs to feed TWO capex intensive businesses: 1. Search (Gemeni) and 2. Cloud. $AMZN needs to only feed one, which is AWS.
BDC on X
$SNAP will generate more FCF this year than $GOOGL and maybe more than the hyperscalers combined in the 2H ex MSFT! Just sayin...
BDC on X
Good point here re how OBBB flatters cash flow. $GOOGL https://t.co/MkSPZ5NNOZ
BDC on X
@kermankohli GCP is baked into $GOOGL's price already. $META's cloud optionality is obviously not. You may prefer the known thing but its the unknown things that over much more asymmetry.
BDC on X
$mRna shots don't work either but it has a $25B market cap. https://t.co/vvreFW1UpQ
Investor Letters
All letters- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 +5.0%
- RGA Investment Advisors Q3 2025
- RGA Investment Advisors Q4 2025
- Royce Investment Partners year-to-date period ended 6/30/26 +23.8%
- Broyhill Asset Management first quarter -6.0%
- Greenhaven Road Capital first quarter +17.0%
- Greenhaven Road Capital first quarter
- Weitz Investment Management 3Q25
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[V, MA] The more things change, the more they stay the same
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