Sunday, August 16, 2026

Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?

HubSpot trades near its 2020 share price despite quadrupled revenue and $750 million in free cash flow, with Breeze AI upside weighed against SEO-driven SMB churn risk.

HUBS $11B

The Oak Bloke Aug 16 9 clicks

Aug 14 DNOW $2.8B

$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management

Yet Another Value Podcast 9 clicks

Aug 14 CRWV $47B

The AI Compute Squeeze

MBI Deep Dives 8 clicks

From X

@LaughingH20Cap Jul 14 1 click

Laughing Water Capital on X

@thecontracap agree ex-CEO statements are not +. However, statements from the GSK manager responsible for managing the $ANAB collaboration make it clear he thought GSK was in violation of the agreement. Not good for either side. Think sanctity of contract law has to come above all else though

@LaughingH20Cap Jul 14 2 clicks

Laughing Water Capital on X

@thecontracap 2/x)on the other hand, if $ANAB's position is upheld, it sucks for GSK, but contract law as a whole in DE continues to successfully govern the land as it has for centuries prior. Not clear to me that AI can consider the gravity of dismantling all of DE contract law...

@LaughingH20Cap Jul 14 1 click

Laughing Water Capital on X

@thecontracap 1/x)$ANAB also not a lawyer but seems to me that the implications of GSK's position would be catastrophic for contract law in DE if supported by the court. Effectively, any acquiror could disavow the obligations of a purchased subsidiary. Which seems "absurd" in the legal sense.

@marginofdanger Jul 14 2 clicks

marginofdanger on X

If a company is OTC listed and consistently reducing its share count, it seems like a high percentage of the time, it works out well... $MCEM $WEBC $APTL $FMBL $BWEL(?)

@eriksen_tim Jul 13 1 click

Tim Eriksen on X

Solitron Devices $SODI reported fiscal Q1 results today. Revenue and earnings higher. Link to PR https://t.co/7dqZ6WwENP

@irbezek Jul 13 1 click

Ian Bezek on X

Recent Fundsmith sale $INTU +7% today. Recent Fundsmith buy $APP -11% today. Did Terry Smith just mark the bottom for quality and top for momentum?

@mavix_leon Jul 13 1 click

mavix on X

Shelly Group $SLYG published preliminary revenues for H1 2026 of EUR 68.3 million (+27% yoy). Cash increased by 62% qoq and by 72% yoy supported by continued normalization of trade receivables. Full results will be published on August 12. https://t.co/KSvQWpLZQd

@marginofdanger Jul 13 2 clicks

marginofdanger on X

I exited my $MLP. After spending a lot more time on this name, I no longer have confidence in the thesis. While I believe there is tremendous asset value, the time to monetize keeps getting pushed out, and the costs to achieve any reasonable realization could be large. I am also concerned that Steve Case doesn't have as much skin in the game as the market thinks, given that he has margin loans out on his position. https://t.co/TePual6ezP

Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?

Macy’s and Kohl’s face renewed short cases as their recent reratings ignore fading store-refresh gains, credit-card earnings exposure and…

M $5.8BKSS $1.9B

Bristlemoon Capital Aug 13 9 clicks

[scuttleslops] ZTS, APO, FISV, TTD, RELY

Zoetis’s U.S. companion-animal revenue fell 6% as dermatology competition drove rebates and discounts, pushing full-year net pricing to…

ZTS $30B

scuttleblurb Aug 13 9 clicks

The Impact of Autonomous Vehicles on Copart, A Timeline-Based Assessment - ($CPRT)

Copart faces a near-term lift from pricier AV repairs and total losses, but shrinking accident volumes could eventually force its…

CPRT $27B

Bearhold Research Aug 13 9 clicks

Permian Basin Q2 Update – Power, Water, Solid Waste, and Data Centers

GFL’s proposed acquisition of Secure follows 19% revenue growth at Secure and 14.8% EBITDA growth at GFL, with Permian produced-water and…

GFL $15B

310 Value’s Newsletter Aug 12 11 clicks

Entravision Q2 Notes

Entravision’s ATS revenue rose 230% to $182.8 million in Q2, but shares fell from above $14 to about $8 after management forecast…

EVC $727M

The Value Road Aug 11 13 clicks

$UWMC lost $600m hedging a deal they'd already lost

UWMC booked a roughly $600 million Q2 hedging loss tied to TWO months after the deal collapsed, contributing to an expensive capital raise.

UWMC $2BTWO $1.3B

Yet Another Value Blog Aug 11 11 clicks

Private Credit's Clock is Ticking w/ Glenn Schorr & Ken Worthington | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 72

Glenn Schorr and Ken Worthington discuss risks in private-credit software loans, agentic AI at retail brokers, crypto use cases and bank…

LPLA $26B

Steve Eisman Aug 10 13 clicks

Figma 2Q'26: Near-Term Re-acceleration vs. Long-Term Durability

Figma raised its 2026 revenue growth guide to 39%, but a roughly 1% sequential 3Q outlook and unchanged $125-135 million operating-income…

FIG $12B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 10 10 clicks

40 Stock Pitches (3rd-9th August)

Navient trades near 40% of tangible book as Gator Financial Partners argues private student-loan growth and restructuring can reverse its…

NAVI $855M

Capital Employed Aug 10 9 clicks

$HIMS: Paul Cerro wouldn't trust the CEO to walk his dog. He's still long. Why? | Cedar Grove

Hims & Hers investor Paul Cerro is long again on lab and patient data driving retention and LTV, despite management concerns, GLP-1…

HIMS $7.1B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 7 9 clicks

HRBR · long

Harbor Diversified INC

Harbor Diversified trades at about $0.65 per $1.00 of cash, with at least $150 million in cash as its sole asset.

HRBR $129M

Value Investors Club May 18 1 click

These Power Stocks (Not Semis) Are The Real AI Beneficiaries, Say Investing Brother Duo Up 1,300%

Pernas Research names Capstone Energy and Stabilis Solutions as AI data-center power beneficiaries, alongside Tenable, Upwork, Wise and…

SLNG $97M

The Monetary Matters Network Aug 7 9 clicks

Airbnb 2Q'26: Widening the Gap with Booking

Airbnb added 14 million booked nights and seats, up 10%, and guided low-double-digit third-quarter growth as North America and EMEA…

ABNB $90B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 7 6 clicks

My Pitch Deck Slide Show from the MS Microcaps Summer Virtual Conference

Butler National Corporation is the subject of a stock pitch presented at the MS Microcaps Summer Virtual Conference.

BUKS $262M

The Value Road Aug 6 8 clicks

DoorDash 2Q'26: Growth Beyond the Restaurant

DoorDash’s 2Q 2026 orders rose 27% and marketplace GOV grew 36%, with DashPass driving a slight acceleration in U.S. restaurant demand.

DASH $84B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 6 2 clicks

DEC-laration of independence

Diversified Energy cut $233 million of debt in 1H26, repurchased $93 million of stock and sold $273 million of land and assets while…

DEC $983M

The Oak Bloke Aug 6 7 clicks

Coupang: 2Q26 Business Recap

Coupang’s product-commerce revenue rose 8% in constant currency as data-leak churn lingered, while promotions and underused logistics…

CPNG $26B

Speedwell Memos Aug 5 8 clicks

Perimeter Solutions: 2Q26 Business Recap

Perimeter Solutions’ 2Q26 revenue rose 31%, while operating income fell 11% as USDA pricing and DLA delivery timing hurt Fire Safety; it…

PRM $4.9B

Speedwell Memos Aug 5 9 clicks

Floor & Decor: 2Q26 Business Update

Floor & Decor’s same-store sales improved to minus 2%, while $45 million of tariff refunds lifted second-quarter gross profit and operating…

FND $5B

Speedwell Memos Aug 4 8 clicks

FICO FY 3Q'26: Welcome to "Gaming"

FICO's fiscal third-quarter 2026 revenue rose 26% year over year but missed consensus, and shares fell about 24% after earnings.

FICO $21B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 4 5 clicks

Laughing Water Capital on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

marginofdanger on X

Tim Eriksen on X

Ian Bezek on X

mavix on X

marginofdanger on X

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