Sunday, August 16, 2026

Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?

HubSpot trades near its 2020 share price despite quadrupled revenue and $750 million in free cash flow, with Breeze AI upside weighed against SEO-driven SMB churn risk.

HUBS $11B

The Oak Bloke Aug 16 9 clicks

Aug 14 CRWV $47B

The AI Compute Squeeze

MBI Deep Dives 8 clicks

Aug 13 ZTS $30B

[scuttleslops] ZTS, APO, FISV, TTD, RELY

scuttleblurb 9 clicks

From X

@catechwilliams Jul 12 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$CVGW USDA crackdown on Mexican avocado corruption significantly erroding import vols (region where $CVGW sources all product). S. America taking share at accelerating rate as customers (ie. $CMG, grocers) shift suppliers. $CVGW sales vol -13% MRQ. Current Q could be a disaster. https://t.co/KJgK8fXbM4

@catechwilliams Jun 19 1 click

catechwilliams on X

@Mike10947310 $CVGW Sources >90% of its avocados from Michoacan, MX. $CMG purchases ~10% of tot US avocados. Its latest ESG report noted “diversifying away from Mexican suppliers.” This latest drama down there will almost certainly accelerate sourcing away from $CVGW, etc.

@catechwilliams May 23 2 clicks

catechwilliams on X

Answer: aggressive revenue booking, financing sales, selling products at/ below cost to boost revenue and hoping to “then try to build it back up over time” per CEO. Contrast $PLUS performance w competitor and industry leader $CDW.

@catechwilliams May 22 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$EXLS Highly innovative founder-CEO rapidly taking share w AI-based services. High-teens topline growth w expanding margins, higher value-add mix to attractive end-markets. 17x P/E yet to reflect business transformation. 100% FCF to buybacks. Winning customers from $ACN $DXC $WIT

@catechwilliams Feb 13

catechwilliams on X

$CART Moved forward its lock-up expiration date to 2/16 (Thursday) from the original 3/19. >65% of the shares will be eligible for sale. COO leaving, just announced a restructuring w ambitious guidance. Almost certainly did so to support the stock in advance of a secondary.

@catechwilliams Dec 4

catechwilliams on X

$DKNG Basically just said at the Craig Hallum Conference they are going to miss Q4 guidance. CEO: "literally had the worst stretch of the year, the last few weeks...sometimes that happens where you issue your guidance...So we'll see."

The Impact of Autonomous Vehicles on Copart, A Timeline-Based Assessment - ($CPRT)

Copart faces a near-term lift from pricier AV repairs and total losses, but shrinking accident volumes could eventually force its…

CPRT $27B

Bearhold Research Aug 13 9 clicks

Permian Basin Q2 Update – Power, Water, Solid Waste, and Data Centers

GFL’s proposed acquisition of Secure follows 19% revenue growth at Secure and 14.8% EBITDA growth at GFL, with Permian produced-water and…

GFL $15B

310 Value’s Newsletter Aug 12 11 clicks

Private Credit's Clock is Ticking w/ Glenn Schorr & Ken Worthington | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 72

Glenn Schorr and Ken Worthington discuss risks in private-credit software loans, agentic AI at retail brokers, crypto use cases and bank…

LPLA $26B

Steve Eisman Aug 10 13 clicks

Figma 2Q'26: Near-Term Re-acceleration vs. Long-Term Durability

Figma raised its 2026 revenue growth guide to 39%, but a roughly 1% sequential 3Q outlook and unchanged $125-135 million operating-income…

FIG $12B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 10 10 clicks

Airbnb 2Q'26: Widening the Gap with Booking

Airbnb added 14 million booked nights and seats, up 10%, and guided low-double-digit third-quarter growth as North America and EMEA…

ABNB $90B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 7 6 clicks

Coupang: 2Q26 Business Recap

Coupang’s product-commerce revenue rose 8% in constant currency as data-leak churn lingered, while promotions and underused logistics…

CPNG $26B

Speedwell Memos Aug 5 8 clicks

[scuttleslops] ODFL, AMD, INTC, CDNS, URI, VRSK, KNSL, WSO

Old Dominion Freight Line grew Q2 revenue 10.4% and EPS 32.3% as pricing offset lower tonnage, while excess network capacity sets up…

ODFL $36B

scuttleblurb Jul 30

Under the Hood - Adobe Inc. ($ADBE)

Adobe generates 96% of revenue from subscriptions and converts over 40% into free cash flow, but generative AI tests whether Creative…

ADBE $99B

Bearhold Research Jul 27 2 clicks

Under the Hood - Tractor Supply ($TSCO)

Tractor Supply’s 2,602-store rural retail network supported 30+ years of growth.

TSCO $17B

Bearhold Research Jul 23 1 click

Boston Scientific Has to Keep Buying the Future

Boston Scientific built its interventional-medicine portfolio through acquisitions, but early-2000s growth became heavily dependent on the…

BSX $63B

scuttleblurb Jul 20 2 clicks

CHRW · long

C H Robinson Worldwide INC

C.H. Robinson faces new liability exposure after the Supreme Court unanimously allowed state negligent-hiring claims under the FAAAA.

CHRW $18B

Value Investors Club May 17

DoorDash 2Q'26: Growth Beyond the Restaurant

DoorDash’s 2Q 2026 orders rose 27% and marketplace GOV grew 36%, with DashPass driving a slight acceleration in U.S. restaurant demand.

DASH $84B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 6 2 clicks

FICO FY 3Q'26: Welcome to "Gaming"

FICO's fiscal third-quarter 2026 revenue rose 26% year over year but missed consensus, and shares fell about 24% after earnings.

FICO $21B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 4 5 clicks

DoorDash: The Infrastructure of Local Commerce

DoorDash built a last-mile logistics network around restaurant delivery, then extended it to groceries, convenience, and other local…

DASH $84B

MBI Deep Dives Jul 28 3 clicks

[scuttleslops] CDNS, SNPS, TREX, WISE, Class I Rails, China

Synopsys and Cadence retain EDA pricing power through entrenched design flows, foundry relationships and high switching costs; AI-driven…

SNPS $74B

scuttleblurb Jul 16 2 clicks

U-Haul Bought at the Top

U-Haul’s pandemic-era fleet purchases at inflated prices now drive higher depreciation and disposal losses as truck and van prices…

UHAL $13B

scuttleblurb Jul 10 2 clicks

[scuttlebits] CPRT, ADBE, FIG, NVDA, QCOM, FDS, Memory chips

Copart’s returning CEO Jay Adair plans to restart European expansion and build domestic whole-car sales on its global buyer network amid…

CPRT $27B

scuttleblurb Jul 9 4 clicks

$FOX dropped 25% buying $ROKU. Is the market wrong? | Simeon McMillan, Accrued Interest

Fox’s $22 billion Roku deal cut FOXA 25%, but Simeon McMillan argues Roku’s streaming-TV reach, advertising upside and synergies make the…

FOX $25B

Yet Another Value Blog Jun 28 1 click

Adobe Business History

Adobe built PostScript, Photoshop and PDF into desktop-publishing standards, using free Acrobat Reader and integrated Creative Suite tools…

ADBE $99B

Speedwell Memos Jun 25 1 click

Under The Hood - Rollins ($ROL)

Rollins ($ROL) pairs automatically renewing pest-control contracts with route density and family-business acquisitions, producing 24…

ROL $16B

Bearhold Research Jun 14

Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?

The AI Compute Squeeze

[scuttleslops] ZTS, APO, FISV, TTD, RELY

From X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

Investor Letters

The Impact of Autonomous Vehicles on Copart, A Timeline-Based Assessment - ($CPRT)

Permian Basin Q2 Update – Power, Water, Solid Waste, and Data Centers

Private Credit's Clock is Ticking w/ Glenn Schorr & Ken Worthington | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 72

Figma 2Q'26: Near-Term Re-acceleration vs. Long-Term Durability

Airbnb 2Q'26: Widening the Gap with Booking

Coupang: 2Q26 Business Recap

[scuttleslops] ODFL, AMD, INTC, CDNS, URI, VRSK, KNSL, WSO

Under the Hood - Adobe Inc. ($ADBE)

Under the Hood - Tractor Supply ($TSCO)

Boston Scientific Has to Keep Buying the Future

C H Robinson Worldwide INC

DoorDash 2Q'26: Growth Beyond the Restaurant

FICO FY 3Q'26: Welcome to "Gaming"

DoorDash: The Infrastructure of Local Commerce

[scuttleslops] CDNS, SNPS, TREX, WISE, Class I Rails, China

U-Haul Bought at the Top

[scuttlebits] CPRT, ADBE, FIG, NVDA, QCOM, FDS, Memory chips

$FOX dropped 25% buying $ROKU. Is the market wrong? | Simeon McMillan, Accrued Interest

Adobe Business History

Under The Hood - Rollins ($ROL)

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Sunday, August 16, 2026

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

Newsletters 91

YouTube 4

Blogs 12

Seeking Alpha 29 of 159

X accounts we follow

Investor letters we follow

Sectors