$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management
DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.
Friday, August 14, 2026
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JabroniCoin.USD on X
$CENX is a non-AI bottleneck https://t.co/L0PvNNH4HK
Chris Camillo on X
@eager28 @CAndreisen @quazijohir Correct. They’re tied to the same lockup as other pre-IPO investors. I’m not overthinking $SKM it’s simply my public equity proxy for Anthropic.
JabroniCoin.USD on X
So now $SMCI is part of the agentic & SpaceX capex trade? https://t.co/BMrEvmCbQj
JabroniCoin.USD on X
JPM taking $ACMR PT from $70 to $110 >105% order growth (memory likely more than half) > international markets expanding > ECP lead (#3 globally) > “Platform in the making” https://t.co/caRVrfHgSm
JabroniCoin.USD on X
Bernstein China Semicap & WFE update: $101 bn in ‘28 > WFE ramp drives reacceleration of local WFE vendors > logic underestimated > memory revised up: CXMT, YM & JHICC easier to ramp clean rooms > local vendors take share from global vendors > ‘27-28 numbers go up $ACMR https://t.co/8qZFoulEau
Chris Camillo on X
@eager28 No I’m invested indirectly via $SKM
JabroniCoin.USD on X
For FY 2027, the Company expects net sales in the range of $65.0 billion to $72.0 billion. Net sales in the range of $14.5 billion & $15.5 billion for the first quarter of FY 2027 ending September, 2026, and non-GAAP net income per diluted share of $1.01 to $1.10 $SMCI 👀 https://t.co/BMrEvmCbQj
JabroniCoin.USD on X
UBS initiates $CENX conservatively: $60 at 4x EV/EBITDA > Oklahoma & shareholder return catalysts > best leverage to US MWP > Oklahoma and datacenter not priced in > 4x below normalized mid cycle https://t.co/MiKQD9rlFV
Investor Letters
All letters- Protean Funds July 2026 EVGGF $17B
- White Falcon Capital Management Q2 2026 EPAM $5.8BNU $67B
- Merion Road Capital Q2 2026 HONA $53B
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory Q2 2026 SHC $5.2BCALY $2.6B
- CrossingBridge Advisors Q2 2026 WBD $77B
- GreensKeeper Asset Management Q2 ELV $87BICE $87B
- LVS Advisory first half of 2026 HKTGF $11B
- FPA Crescent Fund 2Q26 028260 $41BNTDOF $62B
[scuttleslops] ZTS, APO, FISV, TTD, RELY
Zoetis’s U.S. companion-animal revenue fell 6% as dermatology competition drove rebates and discounts, pushing full-year net pricing to…
The Impact of Autonomous Vehicles on Copart, A Timeline-Based Assessment - ($CPRT)
Copart faces a near-term lift from pricier AV repairs and total losses, but shrinking accident volumes could eventually force its…
Permian Basin Q2 Update – Power, Water, Solid Waste, and Data Centers
GFL’s proposed acquisition of Secure follows 19% revenue growth at Secure and 14.8% EBITDA growth at GFL, with Permian produced-water and…
$UWMC lost $600m hedging a deal they'd already lost
UWMC booked a roughly $600 million Q2 hedging loss tied to TWO months after the deal collapsed, contributing to an expensive capital raise.
Private Credit's Clock is Ticking w/ Glenn Schorr & Ken Worthington | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 72
Glenn Schorr and Ken Worthington discuss risks in private-credit software loans, agentic AI at retail brokers, crypto use cases and bank…
Figma 2Q'26: Near-Term Re-acceleration vs. Long-Term Durability
Figma raised its 2026 revenue growth guide to 39%, but a roughly 1% sequential 3Q outlook and unchanged $125-135 million operating-income…
$HIMS: Paul Cerro wouldn't trust the CEO to walk his dog. He's still long. Why? | Cedar Grove
Hims & Hers investor Paul Cerro is long again on lab and patient data driving retention and LTV, despite management concerns, GLP-1…
Airbnb 2Q'26: Widening the Gap with Booking
Airbnb added 14 million booked nights and seats, up 10%, and guided low-double-digit third-quarter growth as North America and EMEA…
Coupang: 2Q26 Business Recap
Coupang’s product-commerce revenue rose 8% in constant currency as data-leak churn lingered, while promotions and underused logistics…
Perimeter Solutions: 2Q26 Business Recap
Perimeter Solutions’ 2Q26 revenue rose 31%, while operating income fell 11% as USDA pricing and DLA delivery timing hurt Fire Safety; it…
ZTS · long Zoetis INC
Zoetis, the animal prescription-medicines company, is presented as a long investment despite concerns around its 2026 and 2027 outlook.
Infineon Technologies (IFX GY): Power Overwhelming
Infineon’s power semiconductors stand to benefit from AI data centers shifting to 800VDC power delivery, though its sharp rerating to…
Under The Hood, Universal Health Services - $UHS
Universal Health Services faces a $432 million–$480 million annual Medicaid supplemental-payment hit by 2032, offset by behavioral-health…
The last Bristol Myers' blog post was wrong on the core thesis
Ivonescimab plus chemotherapy extended median overall survival by 4.2 months versus Tevimbra plus chemotherapy in HARMONI-6, challenging…
Adobe Deep Dive
Adobe trades at 14x earnings after a 65% decline, with AI, Canva and Figma threatening subscriptions, customer acquisition and…
Vidrala
Vidrala has grown from a Spanish glass-container maker into a multi-country packaging platform with expanding Latin American exposure.
Under The Hood: Domino's Pizza - $DPZ
Domino’s 99%-franchised model converts global retail sales into royalties and supply-chain revenue, but $4.8 billion of debt and mature…
Adobe Expert Insight Interview (No Paywall)
Adobe trades at 11x earnings despite $24.5 billion of revenue, 37% operating margins and 12% profit growth; a former data-science head…
PayPal tries again (and again)
Stripe’s startup-focused product sprawl contrasts with Adyen’s enterprise restraint; despite 20% more payment volume and faster growth,…
Under The Hood: Ulta Beauty, Inc. ($ULTA)
Ulta Beauty’s 46 million-member loyalty model drove strong historical cash flow, but earnings have stalled since fiscal 2022 as SG&A rose;…
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