Meta's "True" ROIC, and Some Notes from Meta and Alphabet's 10-Qs
Meta’s adjusted LTM ROIC is in the mid-50s after excluding $80 billion of construction in progress; that capacity will lower returns as AI capex enters service.
Monday, August 3, 2026
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Floor & Decor 2Q'26: Tentative Green Shoots
Floor & Decor held 2026 guidance after a 2Q beat, with comps improving through June; tariff refunds lifted margins and may fund pricing…
Vistance Networks (NASDAQ: VISN)
Vistance Networks plans a large post-Ruckus-sale dividend, leaving Aurora Networks valued below 4x guided EBITDA after $1.88 billion of…
Meta: 2Q26 Business Update
Meta's 2Q26 revenue rose 27%, but capex, depreciation and nascent cloud and AI ambitions raise margin and return risks as it maximizes…
Amazon 2Q'26: AWS Gets the Love
Amazon’s AWS grew 37% to a $169 billion run rate in 2Q’26, while North America retail margins fell excluding a $600 million tariff refund.
Cematrix Corp ($CEMX.TO) FINS Review
Cematrix posted record Q2 revenue of $18.7 million, up 76%, and $3.5 million of net income, while backlog fell 9% from year-end.
[OTCM] Listings for the rest of us
OTC Markets gives smaller, distressed, and lightly disclosed companies a trading venue outside NYSE and Nasdaq, with lower listing barriers…
This Stock Just Got Cheaper on Better Numbers
A debt-free American manufacturer now trades at roughly 7x annualized Q2 EBITDA, with $7.35 per share in net cash and a tender floor 18.5%…
[scuttleslops] ODFL, AMD, INTC, CDNS, URI, VRSK, KNSL, WSO
Old Dominion Freight Line grew Q2 revenue 10.4% and EPS 32.3% as pricing offset lower tonnage, while excess network capacity sets up…
Entravision: Another Whale Has Emerged
Entravision’s Q1 filings contain a new footnote disclosure pointing to a potential second large advertiser beyond its Hong Kong customer,…
Google’s AI Return on Investment
Alphabet’s $132 billion AI capex produced an estimated 49% post-tax incremental ROIC once only in-service assets are counted, versus a…
AAON · long Aaon INC (aaon)
AAON is presented as a long investment idea, revisiting a company written up as a short nearly a decade ago.
Meta 2Q'26: Not Amazing, Not Bad, and Still Compelling
Meta’s Q2 2026 revenue beat was offset by one-off costs and softer guidance, while generative ad ranking lifted conversions and Family of…
Seer
Seer trades at $2.04 against $3.90 per share of net cash as activists press a board that rejected five buyout proposals and won reelection.
Biorem Inc. ($BRM.V) FINS Review
Biorem reported 66% revenue growth and over 260% profit growth after trading at 11.3 times earnings and 5.9 times EV/EBITDA.
DoorDash: The Infrastructure of Local Commerce
DoorDash built a last-mile logistics network around restaurant delivery, then extended it to groceries, convenience, and other local…
DoorDash
DoorDash positions itself as infrastructure for local commerce.
Under the Hood - Adobe Inc. ($ADBE)
Adobe generates 96% of revenue from subscriptions and converts over 40% into free cash flow, but generative AI tests whether Creative…
Hidden in Plane Sight
An aerospace company’s profitable core is obscured by a long-running FAA development program; approval, abandonment, or shrinking losses…
AirIQ Inc. ($IQ.V) FINS Review
AirIQ’s 2025 revenue rose 17% to $6.5 million, but tax reassessments cut net income 50% and lifted its P/E to 144x.
Under the Hood - Tractor Supply ($TSCO)
Tractor Supply’s 2,602-store rural retail network supported 30+ years of growth.
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Bay Area Ideas
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Henrik Alex
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Jaden Mealy
Khaveen Investments
LL Insights
Long Player
Marc Gerstein
Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT
Miletus Research
Myriam Alvarez
Petri Dish Reports
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Prakhar Agarwal, CFA
PV Research
Quantryon Capital
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Ron Ferrie
Sam Mancini
Sharon McArd
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Stephen Ayers
Steven Fiorillo
The Alpha Analyst
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The Curious Analyst
The J Thesis
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The Undercovered Dozen
Value Capital Research
Vishal Jadaun
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Broken Moats
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Calvin Blissett
catechwilliams
Charles Frischer
Chris Camillo
Clark Square Capital
Cluseau Investments
Colin King
Connor Haley
Conor Maguire | Value Situations
Convequity
David Orr
Deep Sail Capital
Devin LaSarre
DOMO Capital Management, LLC
Edwin Dorsey
Evan Tindell
Fajasy
Farmer
Fierce_beast
Fred Liu
Gavin Baker
Ian Bezek
Idea Brunch
JabroniCoin.USD
John_Hempton
junkbondinvestor
kab60
KEDM.com
Laughing Water Capital
Lee Roach
Little Owl Research
Maius
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marginofdanger
mavix
Mike
Mikro Kap David
Multiples Capital
Myles
Nat Stewart
Negligible Capital
Odd Diligence
Odd Lot Arbitrageur
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Pernas Research
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Psyop Capital
Raging Capital Ventures
Red Dog Capital
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Rusholme Capital
Sahil Khetpal
SG
Sheel Mohnot
Tim Eriksen
Timyan Bank Alert
Todd Wenning
ToffCap
Trevor Scott
Undiscovered Compounders
Voss Capital
Yaron Naymark
Investor letters we follow
- 1 Main Capital
- 1851 Capital
- Advisory Research
- Aegis Value Fund
- Aikya Investment Management
- Akre Capital Management, LLC
- Alluvial Capital Management
- Alpine Capital Research
- Alpinum Investment Management AG
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- Andvari Associates
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- Baird Equity Asset Management
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- Brasada Capital
- Bretton Fund
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- Bristlemoon Capital
- Broadleaf Partners
- Broyhill Asset Management
- ByteTree
- Cambiar Investors
- Cantor Fitzgerald Asset Management
- Cedar Creek Partners
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- Confluence Investment Management
- CrossingBridge Advisors
- Crossroads Capital, LLC
- Curreen Capital
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- Davis Opportunity Fund
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- Diranko Capital
- Distillate Capital
- Dodge & Cox Stock Fund
- DoubleLine
- East 72
- Easterly Asset Management
- EdgePoint Wealth Management
- Evolve Private Wealth
- FPA Crescent Fund
- Fairlight Capital
- Fairtree Asset Management
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- Fiduciary Management
- Fiera Capital
- Financial Synergies Wealth Advisors
- First Eagle Investments
- Forager Funds Management
- Frank Capital Partners
- Fred Alger Management, LLC
- Gabelli Funds
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- Grandeur Peak Global Advisors
- GreenWood Investors
- Greenhaven Road Capital
- GreensKeeper Asset Management
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- Guinness Global Investors
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- Latitude Investment Management
- Laughing Water Capital
- Leonard Rickey Investment Advisors
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- Myrmikan Capital, LLC
- Nelnet
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- Oakmark Funds
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- Pershing Square Holdings
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- The London Company
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- Vision Capital Fund
- Vltava Fund
- Vulcan Value Partners
- Warden Capital
- Wealthspire Advisors
- Wedgewood Partners
- Weitz Investment Management
- White Brook Capital
- White Falcon Capital Management
Sectors
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