Meta's "True" ROIC, and Some Notes from Meta and Alphabet's 10-Qs
Meta’s adjusted LTM ROIC is in the mid-50s after excluding $80 billion of construction in progress; that capacity will lower returns as AI capex enters service.
Monday, August 3, 2026
Vistance Networks (NASDAQ: VISN)
Vistance Networks plans a large post-Ruckus-sale dividend, leaving Aurora Networks valued below 4x guided EBITDA after $1.88 billion of…
Seer
Seer trades at $2.04 against $3.90 per share of net cash as activists press a board that rejected five buyout proposals and won reelection.
Floor & Decor 2Q'26: Tentative Green Shoots
Floor & Decor held 2026 guidance after a 2Q beat, with comps improving through June; tariff refunds lifted margins and may fund pricing…
Hallador Pt. 2 — "Massive" Data Center Incoming in Sullivan, IN? ($HNRG)
Hallador’s 1 GW Merom plant could supply a proposed 1,000-acre Sullivan County data center, with local filings and Stantec references tying…
Product-Market Fit in 5G ORAN Radios... Equity Market Rerate to Come? ($AMPG)
Amplitech's bull case rests on $118 million in 5G Open RAN LOIs, 125% projected revenue growth and a 1x EV/sales valuation.
Golden Dome, Quantum, Next-Gen GPS, Oh My... ($FEIM)
Frequency Electronics ($FEIM) trades at its lowest EV/EBITDA multiple since 2016 despite satellite-timing exposure to Golden Dome spending…
Hallador's "Beautiful, Clean Coal": Near Term Catalyst w/ 200% Upside ($HNRG)
Hallador Energy's Merom plant cleared a MISO review, setting up a potential data-center PPA that could transform the coal miner into a…
Comeback Season: Evolv Eyes Positive FCF, 40% ARR Growth, and Reputational Revival in '25 ($EVLV)
Evolv ($EVLV) targets positive free cash flow and 40% ARR growth in 2025 as delayed filings, an FTC resolution, and leadership changes seek…
Insureco w/ Potential Strat Alts Announcement Soon + 100% Upside on Buyout ($TIPT)
Tiptree ($TIPT) is positioned around a potential Fortegra sale announcement; Fortegra generates substantially all revenue.
AXT’s Tongmei Problem: Great Asset, Fragile Economics
AXT’s 85.5%-owned Tongmei depends on offshore pricing, export approvals and transfer-pricing economics despite AI-optics demand.
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