Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.
Today
1m ago BHVN $2.2B Biohaven: Sale Of Opakalim Rights To SK Biopharmaceuticals Makes Sense On Many Levels
Edmund Ingham 1h ago KSTR KSTR: Exposure To China's Chips And Potential Diversifier For SOXX
Chetan Woodun From X
Broken Moats on X
Oil up 7.5% and $EXPE continues its squeeze because it's simply the opposite end of the ai trade? How long can these on/off trades define every stock in the market? Crazy
Broken Moats on X
FactSet trades above its pre-SaaS selloff price despite disruption and pricing pressure across FDS, PAYC, PCTY and WDAY.
Broken Moats on X
Danaher rose from $165 to $190 despite disappointing bioprocessing sales and guidance, while Thermo Fisher and Repligen fell on weak results.
Broken Moats on X
Rollins' weak quarter pushes its valuation below $35 toward 15 to 18 times earnings, while Texas and Southeast growth supports recurring pest-control demand.
Broken Moats on X
Semiconductor swings and AI-driven software rallies have created idiosyncratic short setups, including private-credit-exposed insurers FG, MET and MFC and payroll vendors PCTY and PAYC.
Broken Moats on X
Stripe’s purchase of PayPal would give Venmo unlimited funding and intensify payments competition across Toast, StoneCo and Shift4.
Broken Moats on X
Costco’s commitment to an employee family’s health care and scheduling needs reflects a virtuous cycle of worker support, customer loyalty and financial success.
Broken Moats on X
WD-40 posted 30% Americas growth and 24% companywide growth, yet lifted full-year guidance only to 6%-9%, raising questions about forecasting and Asian inventory swings.
Investor Letters
All letters- Sequoia Fund year ended December 31, 2025 +22.1%
- Sequoia Fund first quarter of 2026 -11.0%
- Palm Harbour Capital 2022 Q4
- Palm Harbour Capital first quarter of 2023
- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 +13.7%
- Maran Capital Management 2Q 2026 +5.4%
- Patient Capital Management 2Q25 +15.3%
- Patient Capital Management 3Q25 +14.1%
ACIW 2026-08-27 ACI Worldwide: An Undercovered Payments Compounder Getting Better
SiliconBytes Insights 
Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade
Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.
Nvidia’s Long-Term Margin Question
Nvidia faces questions over the durability of its long-term profit margins ahead of earnings.
[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX
AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.
Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns
Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling…
Atlas Engineered Products ($AEP.V) FINS Review
Atlas Engineered Products reported Q2 revenue up 19% to $16.2 million, but ended cashless on its credit line as inventory rose 47% and…
Stripe’s “Singularity” and the Divergence from Adyen
Stripe’s net revenue rose 41% in 1H 2026 versus Adyen’s 21% FX-adjusted growth, fueled by AI-native startups and acquisitions including…
The Junk (Mail) Merger Arb
Star Equity’s $5 per-share Harte-Hanks acquisition offers $2.50 cash plus 0.25 STRRP per share after proration, against a $2 break price.
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
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