Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.
Today
From X
Laughing Water Capital on X
@scottwilsonUSD @cfrischer1 Womack is seemingly in $WMT's pocket & claiming $NN will interfere with RFID. However, $NN has the proof that they do not interfere with RFID, so presumably Womack will go away.
Laughing Water Capital on X
@JoesAutopen yes - it is on Carr. The same Carr who has surely seen the real world testing that $NN has done, and still submitted a draft NPRM. Is it your belief that the real world data was negative, and Carr chose to purposefully put his head on the chopping block?
mavix on X
▫️$4058, $SLYG, $EVO, -undisclosed-, $LDB.MI, $CIRC.MI, $RDUE, $TRT.L
mavix on X
April 2026 portfolio update discloses position sizes, two new holdings, sales of FQT and ALLOG.PA, and earnings updates on BRM.V, FQT and EVO.
Laughing Water Capital on X
SpaceX, Amazon and mobile network operators may compete for $NN’s low-band spectrum, creating an extreme upside case if several parties need the asset.
mavix on X
I just published my Earnings Update about the Q1 2026 of Evolution $EVO $EVVTY. You can find it in the Portfolio section of the blog :) https://t.co/QXlBS93lji
mavix on X
Shelly’s German Amazon store is back, with its relays again listed as bestsellers and sold directly by Shelly rather than third-party resellers.
Laughing Water Capital on X
@CalgaryLeveen @cfrischer1 @sScCrRaAbBLLeE 5/x) I'd argue that @BrendanCarrFCC is incentivized to move forward quickly now too, unless he wants to allow $WMT to dictate how the FCC does its job through their congressman, whom they no doubt generously support.
Investor Letters
All letters- Sequoia Fund year ended December 31, 2025 +22.1%
- Palm Harbour Capital 2022 Q4
- Palm Harbour Capital first quarter of 2023
- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 +13.7%
- Maran Capital Management 2Q 2026 +5.4%
- Patient Capital Management 2Q25 +15.3%
- Patient Capital Management 3Q25 +14.1%
- Intrepid Capital 2Q 2026 +6.6%
ACIW 2026-08-27 ACI Worldwide: An Undercovered Payments Compounder Getting Better
SiliconBytes Insights 
Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade
Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.
MT 2026-08-27 ArcelorMittal: Regionalization Is Creating A Structurally Better Steel Company
Capital Connoisseur 
Nvidia’s Long-Term Margin Question
Nvidia faces questions over the durability of its long-term profit margins ahead of earnings.
[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX
AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.
Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns
Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling…
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?
Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…
NCLH or her grandma Saga?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…
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