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Market Cracks Under AI Debt Burden | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman examines AI data-center debt, CoreWeave's tech correction and agentic AI's effect on banks as earnings season begins.

CRWV $34BBAC $377B

Steve Eisman 12h ago 5 clicks

13h ago META $1.9T

OpenAI Does Math, Reward Hacking, Meta Launches Personal Agent

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. 2 clicks

13h ago META $1.9T

One More Note on Agents, Meta Connect, Meta Enterprise Platform

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. 4 clicks

From X

@finphysnerd 4h ago

Myles on X

I'm probably going to reduce my $QQQ short here significantly. Yesterday felt like a puke, seasonality is in its favour from here, rumours of $20b pods blowing up and most importantly: non finance friends asking me about the possibility of a crash.

@gnoble79 7h ago 1 click

George Noble on X

@richardsmith $IREN could be a zero.

@BarbarianCap 7h ago

Barbarian Capital on X

$PM crazy intraday moves (incl new intraday ATH both days) July 28 Oct 15 $COST $KO $BUD $MO $MDLZ similar on these two days; earnings day-like moves https://t.co/jVyJ8a4Tkp

@BarbarianCap 8h ago 1 click

Barbarian Capital on X

E.l.f. Beauty CFO Mandy Fields on consumers, pricing and building a foundation in cosmetics $ELF https://t.co/VYtj1rP3T7

@finphysnerd 9h ago

Myles on X

Continuing to add Biotech long short exposure aggressively here. Just longing anything smart people/funds are long and shorting anything with high short interest that's a bit squeezy as a basket, plus shorting some $XBI. Nearing 10% gross exposure.

@SowingAlphaSeed 9h ago 1 click

Farmer on X

@Biohazard3737 @taobanker was talking about using $WMT calls as a hedge the other day. https://t.co/0pnUteAQ4u

@finphysnerd 9h ago 2 clicks

Myles on X

@ArgonathCapital Actually just looked at $XLP, think it could be good. Need to do more work.

@KEDM_COM 10h ago

KEDM.com on X

A company that is not having a good time is the recent spin-off, Honeywell Aerospace $HONA, which is still not recovering from the poor set of results. A reminder that these guys are targeting 6-8% organic growth through 2030, with EBIT and FCF growing faster than revenue. The business combines leading OEM positions with a large aftermarket franchise, including the #1 position in APUs (~65% share) and the #2 position in avionics. Cheaper than its peers, but for a reason? That's why it's interesting to see the first insider buying shares on the open market.

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2026.42: Home At Last

Stratechery’s weekly bundle covers Apple HomeView and SpaceX’s cellular ambitions.

AAPL $5T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. 13h ago 1 click

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/16/2026)

Bumble agreed to a $1.3 billion take-private deal, while Netflix cut about 1,000 jobs and Meta discussed its Muse superintelligence models.

BMBL $783MNFLX $511B

TSOH Investment Research 17h ago 4 clicks

Dorchester Minerals: Variable Royalty Income Without Enough Valuation Discount

Dorchester Minerals' 9.5% normalized yield and debt-free royalty model are offset by limited upside at $29.71, as extraordinary…

DMLP $1.5B

Atlas Diary 17h ago 1 click

Tuya: A Global Smart-Home Platform Priced Like a Cash Box

Tuya’s $976 million cash pile equals 94% of its $1.04 billion market cap as its smart-home platform returned to 16% revenue growth in Q2…

TUYA $1.1B

Substack von Philipp 25h ago 15 clicks

Fannie Mae Preferreds For Post-Midterm IPO Announcement

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could leave conservatorship through a 2026 restructuring and IPO, monetizing the government’s equity stake while…

FNMA $4.2B

Glen Bradford 25h ago

Is The Market Turning The Page?

CoreWeave’s debt and equity price action is framed as a wake-up call for investors amid a broader market discussion.

CRWV $34B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 36h ago 50 clicks

PesoRama: Research Flash

PesoRama will reach 54 JOi Dollar Plus stores by November after raising C$28.4 million, funding more than 50 additional Mexican store…

TBBB $6.8B

Atrium Research - Equity Research 32h ago 4 clicks

Modine Deep Dive

Modine, soon Modexus Solutions, has a $4 billion hyperscaler cooling contract but must ramp factory output and restore margins as data…

MOD $9.2B

CV's Substack 36h ago 14 clicks

ASML Is Building a Hybrid Bonding Tool!

ASML’s patent filings point to a track-based die-to-wafer hybrid bonding tool that could challenge Besi in advanced logic packaging.

ASML $631B

SemiAnalysis 37h ago 11 clicks

CoreWeave: Why Credit Markets See A 54% Chance Of Default

CoreWeave’s 2032 notes yield over 15%, signaling a 54% default probability as borrowing costs exceed rental yields on AI infrastructure…

CRWV $34B

Dustin Quasney 37h ago 21 clicks

MOH · long

Molina Healthcare

Molina Healthcare faces unprecedented Medicaid managed-care cost inflation and margin compression after its shares declined since October…

MOH $11B

Value Investors Club Jun 6

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…

ELALF $3.5B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 20 13 clicks

BAC 2026-08-20

Bank of America Preferreds: Better Propositions Available Than Series GG

Bank of America’s BAC.PR.B yields just over 6% near par, while discounted lower-coupon series such as BAC.PR.P offer better value despite…

BAC $377B

Prakhar Agarwal, CFA Aug 20 1 click

Moderna: An Atypical Investment with an Asymmetric Payoff

Moderna's Phase 3 intismeran autogene trial met its recurrence-free survival endpoint in adjuvant melanoma, supporting an asymmetric…

MRNA $86B

Bireme Capital - Investor Letters Aug 20 1 click

(Guest) ConocoPhillips - Uplift From Hidden CITGO Refining Value

ConocoPhillips’ CITGO claims cover $1.5 billion under Amber’s deal, with a proposed Venezuela settlement targeting roughly $4 billion more.

COP $175B

HFI Research Aug 20

PTLO 2026-08-20

Portillo's: Guidance Cut Confirms It's Cheap For A Reason

Portillo's guidance cut followed a 1.2% same-restaurant-sales decline and 1.9% margin compression, while its $343 million TRA liability…

PTLO $354M

KC Research Aug 20 2 clicks

Instacart’s Unit Economics, and Implications for DoorDash

Instacart’s per-order unit economics provide a benchmark for assessing DoorDash’s LTM profitability and operating model.

DASH $84B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 20 5 clicks

The Neoclouds Series, Part 2: CoreWeave

CoreWeave built the most leveraged neocloud model, stockpiling Nvidia GPUs and renting AI compute from rapidly expanded data centers.

CRWV $34B

Kakashii's Materials Aug 20 2 clicks

What Top Funds are Buying & Selling

June 2026 13F filings show Baupost doubling Genuine Parts ahead of its 2027 split and Ratan Capital making Silicon Motion its largest…

GPC $19BSIMO $8.4B

Rebound Capital Aug 20 1 click

Thursday Tailwinds #3: Aug 20, 2026

Village Farms benefits as Canada’s $1-per-gram cannabis excise tax forces indebted competitors out, consolidating supply with the low-cost…

VFF $318MLYB $20B

Trade Ideas Flow Aug 20

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