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Our Q3 2026 Update: Our Companies (OXY, RIG, VAL)

Occidental Petroleum’s debt should fall further after Q3 oil prices averaged $85 per barrel WTI and $91 Brent.

OXY $62BRIG $6.2B

Open Insights 1h ago 2 clicks

12h ago DLR $60B

What Lies Beneath: The Developer Building a Data Center on a Former Army Dump Laced With Munitions and Carcinogens

Hunterbrook 10 clicks

28h ago SMTC $16B

Semtech Analyst Day Review

CV's Substack 10 clicks

From X

@aleabitoreddit 32m ago

Serenity on X

$LITE CEO interview on demand, counterparty + financing risk: - "CFO of $GOOGL came on and reported capex going up Y/Y, we expect hyperscalers for report an increase in capex in earnings. Based on what we see, we see their spend going up." - "The purchase agreements we have, to a large degree, are noncancellable." - The difference between Lumentum and companies like $AVGO, "we are not as dependent on AI datacenter buildout going forward" There's a conversion between electrical products to optical products" creating structural demand. Q: When do you see able to see yourself having more inventory? (catching up to surge in demand) - When we look at demand, there is "no end in sight" TLDR: Financing risk and demand aren't equally distributed across AI supply chains. But markets are just selling everything off together. As for photonics in specific, I said this before, but increasing optical content per XPU + CPO/NPO adoption keeps going up so we'll likely see sector spend go up, even if aggregate capex goes down. There's the usual "no end to demand in sight" commentary, but $LITE does have capacity commitments into 2029 now... and are negotiating for 2030. (with new information that most of which are likely hyperscalers + non-cancellable) So doesn't quite sound like it's all over for the AI trade, especially photonics.

@partners_road 7h ago 4 clicks

RiverRoadPartners on X

@Qweezy80k Did you read what I posted? To repeat: there are limited Korean ETF shorts to cover. There are very limited US memory ($MU, $SNDK, $WDC) shorts. Leveraged memory ETF (long) positioning is quite high. All of that is 100% in contradiction to your post.

@partners_road 7h ago 2 clicks

RiverRoadPartners on X

@TJS732 Thank you, TJ. Just posted something else on the memory setup. What is remarkable is this statistic: $MU was ~20% of Q2 S&P 500 earnings. I am struggling to remember a similar percentage ever (modern history). Hard not to believe that wasn’t the peak of the memory cycle.

@BarbarianCap 7h ago

Barbarian Capital on X

3/n $SBUX CEO on the @CapitalGroup pod on the turnaround efforts + more Also covers his time at $YUM $CMG $PG https://t.co/PI6oUxsXLE

@BarbarianCap 7h ago

Barbarian Capital on X

2/n $NU founder/CEO @velez_david with @patrick_oshag Crash course on banking economics, how tech impacts banking, cash-to-digital global opportunity, management/leadership, AI implementation https://t.co/osqyHHD0kY

@BarbarianCap 9h ago

Barbarian Capital on X

Accenture looks to sell Chinese operations for up to $1.5 bn $ACN https://t.co/0LrYwpiFkl

@BarbarianCap 9h ago

Barbarian Capital on X

Evercore appoints co-presidents for the first time in leadership reshuffle $EVR https://t.co/XTqr3gW9jX

@ACapitalLP 10h ago

A Capital on X

Fair points, but I think you’re conflating capital markets access with the economics of the underlying contracts. A pulled equity offering doesn’t mean secured project financing has disappeared. And more importantly, $CRWV and $CIFR have fundamentally different business models, funding requirements and residual asset values. That’s precisely my point.

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DigitalOcean CEO: ‘We are not going to be extraordinarily leveraged like some others’

DigitalOcean’s CEO says the cloud company will not take on extraordinary leverage to fund its AI push.

DOCN $13B

The Technology Letter 32h ago 7 clicks

Expert Call | Q3 2026 Optical Components Market Dynamics, Vendor Market Share, & 2027 Growth Outlook

Optical-component vendor call covers 800G and 1.6T demand, AI cluster optical density, market share, pricing and 2027 growth for Coherent,…

COHR $52BLITE $77B

P Equity Research 33h ago 12 clicks

PayPal: Market's Extreme Mispricing Is Starting To Unwind

PayPal’s 10.3x forward earnings multiple and more than $6 billion in free cash flow frame a turnaround driven by cost cuts, Venmo and BNPL…

PYPL $48B

JR Research 43h ago 8 clicks

SiriusXM: Dirt Cheap, Looming Catalysts, Short Squeeze Candidate

SiriusXM trades at 6.5 times free cash flow, a 15% yield, with high short interest and catalysts that could drive a short squeeze.

SIRI $9B

Eagle Point Capital 46h ago 49 clicks

Meritage Homes: Cheaper On Book Than Any Year-End In A Decade

MTH $3.7B

Tim Travis 46h ago 9 clicks

Market Cracks Under AI Debt Burden | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman examines AI data-center debt, CoreWeave's tech correction and agentic AI's effect on banks as earnings season begins.

CRWV $34BBAC $377B

Steve Eisman Oct 16 21 clicks

RELX: The Risk Segment Makes This Buy Less Risky

RELX’s 13-petabyte fraud and identity data moat supports its high-margin Risk segment as its valuation falls to roughly half its peak P/E.

RELX $64B

LA Capital Oct 16 4 clicks

OpenAI Does Math, Reward Hacking, Meta Launches Personal Agent

OpenAI and Meta push AI agents forward as reward hacking remains a core challenge for model training.

META $1.9T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 16 5 clicks

One More Note on Agents, Meta Connect, Meta Enterprise Platform

Meta ties AI agents and Meta Connect to its enterprise-platform opportunity.

META $1.9T

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2026.42: Home At Last

Stratechery’s weekly bundle covers Apple HomeView and SpaceX’s cellular ambitions.

AAPL $5T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 16 6 clicks

CBT · short

Cabot CORP

Cabot’s short case targets a market pricing FY26 EPS of $6.00–$6.50 as trough earnings and assigning value to its battery-materials…

CBT $3.9B

Value Investors Club May 2 2 clicks

Two Types of Bank Investments; Thoughts on Asset Sensitivity; FCNCA's Value

Community banks trading at 50-70% of book value can benefit from buybacks and consolidation, with recent targets MSVB and PMHG receiving…

FCNCA $23B

Base Hit Investing Oct 28

Earnings Recap So Far (And Ideas)

Memory stocks are ripping while Intel lacks a near-term catalyst in an earnings-season idea roundup.

INTC $504B

Fabricated Knowledge Oct 28

Tis The (Earnings) Season

Argentine banks, tariff-exposed stocks and Customer’s Bancorp anchor an earnings-season watchlist after Milei’s election victory,…

CUBI $2.5B

Cluseau Research Oct 27 3 clicks

Will Eatherton: How Cisco Plans to Compete in the AI Datacenter

Cisco targets AI data-center networking with GPU interconnects, modular high-radix systems and its NVIDIA partnership after exceeding its…

CSCO $433BNVDA $5.2T

Fabricated Knowledge Oct 27

[PQ] GRND: Margin Calls & Acquisitions

Grindr received a non-binding $18-per-share acquisition offer.

GRND $2.6B

Nongaap Investing Oct 27

[PQ] VZ: New CEO Announced

Verizon appointed its independent lead director as CEO.

VZ $184B

Nongaap Investing Oct 26 1 click

Buzzi (BZU.IM): Make Italy Great Again

Buzzi SpA, an €8.9 billion Italian cement producer, is presented as the world’s best-managed cement company.

BZZUF $7.3B

Kerrisdale Capital Oct 24

[P] ESTC: Elastic Vesting Goals

Elastic’s vesting goals reveal what management is incentivizing.

ESTC $9.6B

Nongaap Investing Oct 24 1 click

Biographies: Standing on the shoulders of Giants - Week 2 picks

Phil Knight, John D. Rockefeller and North Korean defectors anchor three recommended biographies of ambition, capitalism and survival.

NKE $52B

The Curious Compounder Oct 22

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