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WD #360: New Trade, Recent Market Action, Brazil/Inter Update

Atlassian is sold after a 130% gain, while iShares MSCI Indonesia ETF is added following the market plunge; the update also assesses the AI-stock selloff and CoreWeave’s collapse.

TEAM $52B

Ian’s Insider Corner 8h ago 6 clicks

12h ago NOC $68B

Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Preview - Accumulate Rating, Zones And Stop Inside

Cestrian Capital Research 3 clicks

14h ago APP $88B

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From X

@aleabitoreddit 27m ago

Serenity on X

@zaynchd $AEVA FMCW 4D LiDAR is the reference sensor for $NVDA Hyperion, so seems like a possible path. Again, not too much visibility into suppliers or where their CW lasers ultimately end up given how sensitive supply chain relationships are

@aleabitoreddit 37m ago

Serenity on X

I think the more exciting application is robotics/humanoids, which was mentioned in the PR. With likely $AEVA doing FMCW LiDAR and robotics sensing with LG Innotek and others (Boston Dynamics supplier). But hard to get visibility over what end product Sivers lasers go into. Regardless, I agree this is a huge step for $SIVE

@aleabitoreddit 51m ago

Serenity on X

Exciting, $SIVE gets their first production orders for CW DFB lasers with LiDAR. “We are pleased to see this strategic program advance from design-win to production”. With opportunity for expansion given the speculated customer $AEVA is moving into CPO/NPO optical sources for hyperscalers and leveraging existing technology. But this is great commercial validation of technology and execution so far. That’s 1 qualification converted of many more to come, especially for AI DCs from $GFS to $JBL.

@gnoble79 2h ago

George Noble on X

Oh Gary, say it ain’t so! $CRWV https://t.co/pKSd4DxN1O

@MaiusPartners 2h ago

Maius on X

Here is another interesting one: $CRWV monetizes at $15 bn/GW and ends up with a negative NPV, so capital markets penalize it. $SPCX monetizes at $50 bn /GW with arguably the same client base (shorter-duration contracts). If push comes to shove, which contracts do you think said clients will terminate first?

@DeepSailCapital 4h ago

Deep Sail Capital on X

$ARKK is an excellent alternative hedge short IMO to QQQ. A bit of timing to avoid the massive bubbles but way more follow through to the downside. https://t.co/jyUYhlMit4

@DeepSailCapital 4h ago

Deep Sail Capital on X

$ARKK vs $SPY vs $QQQ by year. https://t.co/XEaaaCTQvL

@Mr_Neutral_Man 6h ago 1 click

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

@Menckenist @rippercatcher Very interesting. What's the typical mix of a $WD loan? Is it moslty fixed rate with 5-7 year maturity? How much of it is the type that finance the S2 and Tide capital where deals were done at 3% cap with floating rate debt greatly appreciate this!

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