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WD #360: New Trade, Recent Market Action, Brazil/Inter Update

Atlassian is sold after a 130% gain, while iShares MSCI Indonesia ETF is added following the market plunge; the update also assesses the AI-stock selloff and CoreWeave’s collapse.

TEAM $52B

Ian’s Insider Corner 5h ago 5 clicks

9h ago NOC $68B

Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Preview - Accumulate Rating, Zones And Stop Inside

Cestrian Capital Research 3 clicks

10h ago APP $88B

AppLovin Deep Dive

Speedwell Memos 13 clicks

From X

@DeepSailCapital 1h ago

Deep Sail Capital on X

$ARKK is an excellent alternative hedge short IMO to QQQ. A bit of timing to avoid the massive bubbles but way more follow through to the downside. https://t.co/jyUYhlMit4

@DeepSailCapital 1h ago

Deep Sail Capital on X

$ARKK vs $SPY vs $QQQ by year. https://t.co/XEaaaCTQvL

@Mr_Neutral_Man 3h ago 1 click

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

@Menckenist @rippercatcher Very interesting. What's the typical mix of a $WD loan? Is it moslty fixed rate with 5-7 year maturity? How much of it is the type that finance the S2 and Tide capital where deals were done at 3% cap with floating rate debt greatly appreciate this!

@BarbarianCap 4h ago

Barbarian Capital on X

Silgan to Combine With Trivium Packaging in $3.4 Billion Deal $SLGN https://t.co/XWQSkZuUO5

@BarbarianCap 4h ago

Barbarian Capital on X

Germany’s Merck to Buy U.K. Biotech Silence Therapeutics for $1.3 Billion $SLN https://t.co/FXr0mtRMow

@BarbarianCap 4h ago

Barbarian Capital on X

H.B. Fuller Rejects Ancora’s Latest Acquisition Bid, Plans to Consider Selling Noncore Businesses $FUL https://t.co/L8b85qb666

@StableBread 4h ago

Fajasy on X

From June 1 to October 16, Boost Run $BRUN fell 77.3%, vs. 37.4-58.7% for CoreWeave $CRWV, Nebius $NBIS, and $IREN. That drop in AI infra stocks is tied to to rising bets on another Fed rate hike. Higher rates hurt GPU clouds in two ways, since they (1) raise the cost of the debt that pays for their GPUs and (2) lower what investors will pay today for profits that arrive years later. But all three peers kept or raised their 2026 targets: → $CRWV: Raised its 2026 revenue guidance to $12.4-13.2B on its Q2 call. → $IREN: Raised its year-end ARR target to more than $4B on July 20. → $NBIS: Reaffirmed its 2026 guidance with its Q2 results. The problem is that lenders are charging more now. CoreWeave’s 9.625% notes due 2032 yielded 14.74% on October 16, up from 13.19% on October 1, meaning CoreWeave would likely pay ~15%/year to borrow the same way today. So the selloff came from how investors now see the cost of funding the demand for GPU clouds, not from the demand itself.

@BarbarianCap 4h ago

Barbarian Capital on X

Tradeweb to Buy Trumid For About $1.97 Billion $TW https://t.co/41iZw4PowI

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OXY $62BRIG $6.2B

Open Insights 21h ago 7 clicks

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HESM $6.3BIOVA $6.7B

The Undercovered Dozen 27h ago 11 clicks

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MHEYF · long

Maha Capital

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MHEYF $302M

Value Investors Club May 3 3 clicks

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