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TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/16/2026)

Bumble agreed to a $1.3 billion take-private deal, while Netflix cut about 1,000 jobs and Meta discussed its Muse superintelligence models.

BMBL $783M

TSOH Investment Research 57m ago 1 click

9h ago TUYA $1.1B

Tuya: A Global Smart-Home Platform Priced Like a Cash Box

Substack von Philipp 12 clicks

20h ago CRWV $43B

Is The Market Turning The Page?

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 42 clicks

From X

@stockgutter Oct 8

SG on X

Can we officially crown $ARQQ as the shittiest quantum stock of the bunch? Guided today to a whopping $1m revenue for 2026. I'm short via naked calls.

@blondesnmoney Oct 8

Cluseau Investments on X

$TLT to the entire AI complex today https://t.co/5Dt0Kg4Y3T

@stockgutter Oct 8

SG on X

$CD here's what @grok found about Chaince Digital's marketing claims: https://t.co/ROiqZd4puO

@calvinblissett Oct 8

Calvin Blissett on X

@InverseMax @grok all management quotes on buybacks future and past for $YB

@SowingAlphaSeed Oct 8

Farmer on X

@ptuomov Are you talking about the NAV or what the vol would be if it were a publicly traded ticker? Things like $FPI and and $LAND could be a good guide if the latter.

@convequity Oct 8

Convequity on X

Private equity puts a floor under software valuations, and you can work out that floor with simple arithmetic. A private equity buyer takes the company private, removes unnecessary staff, lifts margins to 30%+ and keeps growth in the low teens. A company restructured that way should be worth at least 20x EV/EBIT. At a 33% EBIT margin, 20x EV/EBIT is about 6.7x EV/Sales. That gives a simple test for any software stock. If it trades well below that level, the market values the business at less than a buyer could get from it just by cutting costs. In our view, the market sees no differentiated future for that company. So why don't more of these companies get restructured? One reason is ownership. Dual-class share structures are common across large-cap and mid-cap tech, and they limit how much pressure private equity and activist investors can apply. That makes it hard for a company like $OKTA to accept legacy status and carry out a deep restructuring. We expect many SaaS companies to keep fighting slowing revenue with high operating expenses rather than restructure.

@stockgutter Oct 8

SG on X

So many red flags with Chaince $CD. For example, - Chaince just increased its authorized share count 20-fold to 20 Billion!?! There is no reason whatsoever for a legitimate company with under $10m in revenue to have a share count like that. Think it will dilute? Me too. - Two months ago, Chaince did a registered direct offering at $0.53 per share. At the time the RDO price was about 1/6 its market price. Now Chaince shares fetch >20x that. This is not how normal companies, even microcaps, raise money.

@hntrbrkmedia Oct 8

Hunterbrook on X

Based on Hunterbrook Media's reporting, at the time of publication Hunterbrook Capital is short $MRP, short $LEN, and long a basket of comparable securities. Positions may change at any time. This article is not investment advice or any recommendation. See full disclosures below.

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PesoRama: Research Flash

PesoRama will reach 54 JOi Dollar Plus stores by November after raising C$28.4 million, funding more than 50 additional Mexican store…

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Atrium Research - Equity Research 16h ago

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CV's Substack 20h ago 10 clicks

CoreWeave: Why Credit Markets See A 54% Chance Of Default

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Dustin Quasney 21h ago 17 clicks

AppLovin Deep Dive

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Problems at Dream Finders Homes (DFH)

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Park Aerospace: The Q2'27 Sell-Off Misreads a Sole-Source Defense Supplier

Park Aerospace’s 11% Q2’27 sell-off overlooks sole-source PAC-3 rocket-motor materials and A320neo engine composites, with missile capacity…

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Monte Independent Investment Research 25h ago 8 clicks

uniQure: The Market Graded The Wrong Exam

UniQure's Huntington's gene therapy faces an FDA accelerated-approval decision around November 1 after three-year data met both agency…

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Bhavneesh Sharma 26h ago 10 clicks

Constellation: Stars Aligning?

Constellation Brands trades near $127 at roughly 11x next-twelve-month EV/EBIT, with recent business results offsetting concerns over…

STZ $22B

TSOH Investment Research 29h ago 24 clicks

Breaking: The Offshore Monopoly Is Legal Now!

Transocean’s Valaris merger clears regulators, creating a 68-rig offshore driller controlling four in 10 global drillships.

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Cannibal Stocks 30h ago 32 clicks

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI…

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Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 14 84 clicks

BLND · long

Blend Labs INC

Blend Labs (BLND) is presented as a long investment idea, with prior VIC writeups cited for business background.

BLND $217M

Value Investors Club Jul 17 1 click

Everyone wants to defend CoreWeave but who really knows

CoreWeave faces fresh skepticism as another AI trade selloff collides with bullish defenses of the company.

CRWV $43B

The Technology Letter 40h ago 2 clicks

A Conversation With Ari Emanuel About Entertainment and AI

Ari Emanuel discusses AI’s impact on Hollywood, live events, social networks and the future of advertising.

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Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. 40h ago 6 clicks

Private Equity Prints Multibaggers With This Pattern. No One is Talking About It.

Shenandoah Telecommunications’ Glo Fiber buildout ends this year, and private infrastructure investors’ repeated fiber deals frame a…

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Phynvesting 41h ago 17 clicks

El Pollo Loco: New York State Of Mind

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Pedro Goulart 47h ago

Coherent | Management Call

COHR $52B

P Equity Research 47h ago 17 clicks

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending: Discount Is Attractive, But Credit Has Not Stabilized; Hold

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending trades at a 32% NAV discount as non-accruals reach 2.9%, NII and NAV decline, and dividend coverage falls to…

MSDL $1.5B

Rubicon Associates Oct 14 1 click

Research Roundup Vol. LVI

Howmet Aerospace is framed as a beneficiary of turbine and aircraft-engine demand, while J.B.

HWM $86BJBHT $22B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 14 12 clicks

Lennar: The Misstep Is Temporary, the Operating Machine Is Not

Lennar cut build times to 116 days and adopted an asset-light land model, while gross margin fell to 15.8% from 27.5% as land costs rose.

LEN $17B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 13 clicks

Lennar, Part One: The Story

Lennar grew from a Miami builder into one of America’s two largest homebuilders, controlling land largely through options and land banks…

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Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 13 clicks

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