Bullpen.News · the best place to find stock ideas

The Monday Morning Briefing: Meta, Tesla, Netflix, P&G on Deck

Lennar’s land-bank costs pressure homebuilding margins, while Flowers Foods weighs a Tastykake sale after falling branded-bread share, higher leverage and a dividend cut.

LEN $17BFLO $1.3B

Latticework by MOI Global 2h ago 4 clicks

2h ago TREE $362M

LendingTree (NASDAQ: $TREE) – A Cyclical Comeback Story Priced as if the Cycle Never Turns

Substack von Philipp 3 clicks

4h ago OXY $62B

Our Q3 2026 Update: Our Companies (OXY, RIG, VAL)

Open Insights 3 clicks

From X

@stockgutter Sep 17 1 click

SG on X

@jrkelly @Ginkgo why have $DNA sales imploded under your leadership? https://t.co/E8nrXG5pSl

@stockgutter Sep 17

SG on X

$SVM out with a new repurchase program. I'm still long. https://t.co/qk02dmc1q8

@ACapitalLP Sep 17

A Capital on X

@Fwenen $QXO vs. $XHB 🤷‍♂️ https://t.co/ueiuutNvlX

@BlueDuckCap Sep 17

BDC on X

Just surfacing this one to demonstrate we are not and never were $snap absolutists. We will go long and short and when facts and circumstances change our opinion changes too. And NO - Specs will not be a mass market hit this holiday season. Too expensive and awk form. But here's the bull case from here: 1. FCF/Share is the metric mgmt now focused on. By definition that requires fresh cost and SBC discipline. 16% hc reduction and flat share count already in place. $500mn in opex savings about to flow through. 2. Ads biz stable enough. 9% growth in Q2. Guide implies so decel. But ad checks stable vs Q2. Decent enough. Some progress on ad tech. Only needs 5% growth next year to hit our numbs. 3. Sub biz $1.2B rr, growing 85%. Needs 50% growth next year to hit numbs. 25mn paid subs, still well below penetration threshold of 7-12%. 4. Specs tech is real. 7k+ patents. Real use cases. What's that worth? $META or $MSFT or $AMZN could buy Specs for the patents alone and pay $2B and it would be nothing to them but all the call optionality which could incubate until form factor is mass market. 5. Lets just say Specs is worth $2B to a strategic buyer or partner. That implies $snap 7.5B or $4.5/ share. In this scenario then FCF/share at SNAP goes to over $1/share, easily. So 4.5x FCF on a business still growing revenue mid teens. @evanspiegel Specs are cool. But can't keep spending $500mn a year on them. Bring in a minority investor please and lets make SNAP stock great again. @IrenicCap

@MaiusPartners Sep 17

Maius on X

5/X The Setup: At ~10x earnings and a sub-$1 B market cap, $PSIX is being priced like a distressed Permian parts supplier, ignoring its structural position as a pick-and-shovel toll road for AI compute infrastructure. Full deep dive on Weichai’s global playbook and the $PSIX setup on our website:

@MaiusPartners Sep 17 2 clicks

Maius on X

3/X The $GNRC Generac / $AMZN AWS Trojan Horse: Tier-1 OEMs ($CAT, $CMI, MTU) are locked in 24 month+ lead-times. $GNRC stepped in with an $8B Amazon backup deal, but GNRC lacks large-bore diesel blocks and enclosure capacity. Who bridges the gap? The Weichai Ecosystem. PSIX monetizes the buildout whether AWS buys through Cat dealers or Generac.

@MaiusPartners Sep 17

Maius on X

4/X The Prime Power Endgame: Backup power is just the wedge. The prize is prime power. SemiAnalysis recently flagged $META and Anthropic deploying 300–500MW sites using 21.9L gas engines— the exact spec $PSIX supplies. As Weichai pushes its larger 12M55 and 20M55 gas engines through North American UL certification, $PSIX becomes the domestic vessel for low-cost, off-grid power generation.

@MaiusPartners Sep 17

Maius on X

1/X Weichai Power has compounded at >20% p.a. since its 2004 IPO. Yet its most asymmetrical asset isn't trading in Hong Kong—it’s hiding on the Nasdaq: $PSIX. Down 2/3 from its highs and trading at ~10x FY26 P/E, the market is completely mispricing its role in the U.S. power crisis. 🧵👇

Free Recaps of the best new stock ideas, delivered every morning.

Read past recaps

What Lies Beneath: The Developer Building a Data Center on a Former Army Dump Laced With Munitions and Carcinogens

Digital Realty paid $120 million for Atlanta-area parcels including a former Army dump with buried carcinogens and military ordnance.

DLR $60B

Hunterbrook 14h ago 11 clicks

Semtech Analyst Day Review

Semtech raised Q3 guidance and targets $3.2 billion of fiscal 2030 revenue, excluding upside from its AI data-center optical and copper…

SMTC $16B

CV's Substack 31h ago 10 clicks

DigitalOcean CEO: ‘We are not going to be extraordinarily leveraged like some others’

DigitalOcean’s CEO says the cloud company will not take on extraordinary leverage to fund its AI push.

DOCN $13B

The Technology Letter 34h ago 10 clicks

Expert Call | Q3 2026 Optical Components Market Dynamics, Vendor Market Share, & 2027 Growth Outlook

Optical-component vendor call covers 800G and 1.6T demand, AI cluster optical density, market share, pricing and 2027 growth for Coherent,…

COHR $52BLITE $77B

P Equity Research 36h ago 12 clicks

PayPal: Market's Extreme Mispricing Is Starting To Unwind

PayPal’s 10.3x forward earnings multiple and more than $6 billion in free cash flow frame a turnaround driven by cost cuts, Venmo and BNPL…

PYPL $48B

JR Research 45h ago 9 clicks

SiriusXM: Dirt Cheap, Looming Catalysts, Short Squeeze Candidate

SiriusXM trades at 6.5 times free cash flow, a 15% yield, with high short interest and catalysts that could drive a short squeeze.

SIRI $9B

Eagle Point Capital Oct 17 49 clicks

Meritage Homes: Cheaper On Book Than Any Year-End In A Decade

MTH $3.7B

Tim Travis Oct 17 10 clicks

Market Cracks Under AI Debt Burden | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman examines AI data-center debt, CoreWeave's tech correction and agentic AI's effect on banks as earnings season begins.

CRWV $34B

Steve Eisman Oct 16 21 clicks

RELX: The Risk Segment Makes This Buy Less Risky

RELX’s 13-petabyte fraud and identity data moat supports its high-margin Risk segment as its valuation falls to roughly half its peak P/E.

RELX $64B

LA Capital Oct 16 5 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/16/2026)

Bumble agreed to a $1.3 billion take-private deal, while Netflix cut about 1,000 jobs and Meta discussed its Muse superintelligence models.

BMBL $783M

TSOH Investment Research Oct 16 11 clicks

FINV · long

Finvolution Group

FinVolution, a China and ASEAN unsecured consumer lender, trades at 4x earnings and 0.5x book value.

FINV $711M

Value Investors Club Jul 20 1 click

DexCom: The 15-Day Sensor Lowered The Cost Curve Before The Type 2 Wave Arrives

DexCom’s 15-day G7 sensor lifted Q2 2026 gross margin 400 basis points to 64.1%, lowering CGM costs ahead of broader Type 2 diabetes…

DXCM $33B

Equity Eagle 31h ago 6 clicks

Tuya: A Global Smart-Home Platform Priced Like a Cash Box

Tuya’s $976 million cash pile equals 94% of its $1.04 billion market cap as its smart-home platform returned to 16% revenue growth in Q2…

TUYA $1.1B

Substack von Philipp Oct 16 43 clicks

Fannie Mae Preferreds For Post-Midterm IPO Announcement

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could leave conservatorship through a 2026 restructuring and IPO, monetizing the government’s equity stake while…

FNMA $4.2B

Glen Bradford Oct 16 5 clicks

Is The Market Turning The Page?

CoreWeave’s debt and equity price action is framed as a wake-up call for investors amid a broader market discussion.

CRWV $34B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 15 51 clicks

PesoRama: Research Flash

PesoRama will reach 54 JOi Dollar Plus stores by November after raising C$28.4 million, funding more than 50 additional Mexican store…

TBBB $6.8B

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 15 7 clicks

Modine Deep Dive

Modine, soon Modexus Solutions, has a $4 billion hyperscaler cooling contract but must ramp factory output and restore margins as data…

MOD $9.2B

CV's Substack Oct 15 19 clicks

CoreWeave: Why Credit Markets See A 54% Chance Of Default

CoreWeave’s 2032 notes yield over 15%, signaling a 54% default probability as borrowing costs exceed rental yields on AI infrastructure…

CRWV $34B

Dustin Quasney Oct 15 24 clicks

AppLovin Deep Dive

AppLovin rebuilt its ad model with AXON 2.0, lifting LTM revenue to about $7 billion and margins to 77% as Unity competition threatens…

APP $88B

Speedwell Research Oct 15 27 clicks

Problems at Dream Finders Homes (DFH)

Dream Finders Homes’ controlling owner borrowed against DFH stock before the homebuilder agreed to finance an acquisition with costly…

DFH $764M

Hunterbrook Oct 15 14 clicks

Latest News

SG on X

SG on X

A Capital on X

BDC on X

Maius on X

Maius on X

Maius on X

Maius on X

Investor Letters

Recent recaps

Latest recap

Publications we follow

Newsletters 108

YouTube 4

Blogs 17

Seeking Alpha 52 of 238

X accounts we follow

Investor letters we follow

Sectors