New Ask Claude or ChatGPT about any stock, using Bullpen. Bullpen in Claude or ChatGPT. 7 days free
Bullpen.News From Edwin Dorsey
Get Daily Recap Feedback

Friday, November 13, 2026

Back to the front page

Looking Back at Another Successful Thesis

DoubleU Games raised its all-cash tender offer for DoubleDown Interactive minority holders to $16.25 per ADS from $11.25 after net cash made the earlier bid untenable.

DDI $778M
The Value Road 4 clicks

From X

@StableBread

Fajasy on X

No TOYO Co., Ltd $TOYO insider has reported an open-market purchase since reporting began in March, even as the stock fell 77.5% from its June peak. $TOYO replaced its CEO, Chairman, and CFO in 2026 and added a strategy chief: → Takahiko Onozuka (Chairman and CEO since March 18, 2026): Spent 28 years at the Export-Import Bank of Japan, which became the Japan Bank for International Cooperation (JBIC), then nearly 13 years at Sumitomo Corporation (a Japanese trading conglomerate), where the 20-F lists him as “an assistant to the general manager.” He ran the Global Decarbonization Promoting Office at Abalance (the Japanese group that controls $TOYO) from September 2025, six months before taking over $TOYO. → Yasunari Harada (CFO and Director since July 1, 2026): Has 30+ years in finance, then served as President of HS Holding, a Japanese holding company, from December 2021 to June 2026. → Rhone Resch (Chief Strategy Officer since March 29, 2026): Ran the Solar Energy Industries Association (SEIA) from 2004 to 2016 and Cygnus Solar, a heterojunction (HJT) cell maker, from 2021 to 2024. He works for $TOYO part-time. Harada also controls NOTAM, a Japanese company that bought into $TOYO through a private placement tied to $TOYO’s SPAC deal and now holds 1,058,918 $TOYO shares, 2.5% of the company, so the new CFO arrived as one of $TOYO’s larger shareholders. Three senior executives left between September 2025 and June 2026: 1) Junsei Ryu (Chairman and CEO): Retired on March 18, 2026, days after giving up his representative role at Abalance, staying on as a board advisor for 12 months. 2) Liang “Simon” Shi (President): The former CEO of the SPAC that took $TOYO public, appointed President in October 2024, resigned in September 2025 “but continues with Abalance group.” 3) Taewoo “Raymond” Chung (CFO and Director): CFO since March 2024 and an Abalance finance executive since January 2024, resigned on June 30, 2026, with no disagreement cited. $TOYO’s directors and officers only had to start reporting their trades on March 18, 2026, under the Holding Foreign Insiders Accountable Act. Since then, no $TOYO insider has reported an open-market purchase or sale. Ryu, no longer an officer or director, doesn’t file Form 4s at all, so changes to his stake would only show up in Schedule 13D or 13G filings. Among outside holders, N.A. Global, a Japanese investor, sold 451,571 shares between February and June 2026, including 377,320 from May 20 to June 24, around the June 4 peak. So there’s no insider buying to lean on, and the only selling reported in 2026 came from an outside holder, mostly during the May-June run.
@StableBread

Fajasy on X

The Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) delisted TOYO Co., Ltd’s $TOYO parent on September 26, partly over “deference” to the former chairman who still controls 59.8% of $TOYO. $TOYO’s governance traces back to Junsei Ryu, its Chairman and CEO until March 2026, who controlled 66.9% of $TOYO’s vote before the June offering, or 59.8% of today’s 42.7M shares by my count. He was also Representative Director, Chairman and CEO of Abalance until he gave up his representative role in March 2026. $TOYO’s 20-F calls Abalance its controlling shareholder and says Abalance’s board or president must approve $TOYO’s significant transactions, including investments above 5% of $TOYO’s total assets. As of June 30, that bar was $26.9M, which the $357M HJT cell plant $TOYO plans in Texas clears more than 13 times over. Abalance’s problems came to a head in 2026: → January 2026: The TSE fined Abalance ¥43.2M and, on January 31, designated its shares a “Security on Special Alert” over group governance and related-party controls. → July 31, 2026: The TSE moved Abalance to “Security Under Supervision.” → August 19, 2026: Abalance’s FY3/2026 results carried a going-concern warning, and its auditor disclaimed an opinion on its annual report. → September 26, 2026: The TSE delisted Abalance. The TSE’s stated reasons for the delisting say Abalance’s improvement plan didn’t address why its officers and employees stopped exercising independent judgment, which the exchange traced to “deference to the former Representative Director, Chairman and CEO and reluctance to challenge him.” That executive is Ryu, who held the title until March. The exchange also cited missing group-wide controls over deals where Abalance companies sold materials to outside processors and then bought the processed goods back. Put simply, some of Abalance’s overseas subsidiaries sold polysilicon to wafer makers and bought it back as wafers, and Abalance had to correct how it accounted for those deals in its FY3/2026 results. Abalance didn’t name those subsidiaries. $TOYO, for its part, buys polysilicon and gets its wafers from a “designated facility in Indonesia,” and neither company has said whether any of $TOYO’s transactions were among those corrected. So buying $TOYO means trusting Ryu, whose 59.8% stake outvotes all other holders combined, and a delisted parent with a going-concern warning to treat outside holders fairly.
@aleabitoreddit

Serenity on X

We've finally made it to November... holy crap October was brutal. Per Morgan Stanley data, the recent hedge fund de-grossing was the highest in the past 10 years. Exceeding the: - 2016 Chinese stock market crash - 2018 Volmageddon - March 2020 COVID crash - 2021 Archegos collapse / Evergrande crisis - 2022 bear market Goldman's prime brokerage desk reported on the 26th that it had also seen ~$20B of selling over 2 weeks vs. $23 billion during July's entire unwind. From $HOOD short interest data, from Sept -> Oct short float also increased from: $AAOI: 12.5% -> 19.84%+ $AEVA: 11% -> 25.64%+ $CBRS: 12.25% -> 20.12%+ $AEHR: 14.33% -> 17.93%+ $TSEM: 2.15% -> 4.73%+ $CIFR: 19.94% -> 25.39%+ $LWLG: 15.24% ->19.12%+ $OKLO: 17.72% ->22.93%+ $CRWV: 17.91% ->26.58%+ Substantial deleveraging coinciding with surging short interest, kinda looks like a July setup after Midterms? The recent rotation also kinda pushed names like $CRWD and cybersecurity to bubble valuations into hundreds of fwd P/E... Earnings on many AI capex + bottlenecks (not all like $INTC) looked strong: eg. $AXTI guided annualized Q4 = 23.7x P/E now, not including potential InP substrate hikes + capacity expansion that can compress it to single digits. - $SKHY (~$59B operating profit) casually making more than trillion dollar companies like Amazon ($28.1B operating profit), backed with 5Y LTAs. - No signs of $MSFT / $AMZN materially cutting capex, while $SPCX secures $40B more for GPU procurement. Slightly painful, but I think the AI capex trade (specifically photonics/memory) is a generational opportunity, with extreme volatility in between.

Investor Letters

All letters

Lion Copper: Initiation Report

Lion Copper targets 2030 Nevada copper production at Yerington, with Rio Tinto’s Nuton funding its 2027 feasibility study under a 65%…

LCU $71M
Atrium Research - Equity Research 4 clicks

Seed Corn

Chiron’s failed $49 million Beaumont sale and $178 million Pinnacle acquisition leave XRN with $70 million of liquidity and medical-office…

XRN $391M
Orphan REITs 3 clicks
NGVC · long

Natural Grocers Vitamin Ctge

Natural Grocers (NGVC) returned to $27.80 after a prior long entry at $21 and exit recommendation at $46.

NGVC $673M
Value Investors Club

Post Q3 EVC Update

EVC's Q3 update cites $30 million for a single station, a broadcast-business sale and stronger positioning for 2027.

EVC $870M
Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter 26 clicks

Entravision Q3 Update

Entravision’s Q3 ad-tech revenue reached $177.2 million, up 133% year over year, while total revenue rose 88% to $226.3 million and diluted…

EVC $870M
The Value Road 4 clicks

GREAT DEC-TECTIVE WORK

Diversified Energy reported $255.6 million of “true” nine-month free cash flow, while its $1.8 billion Birch acquisition would shift…

DEC $974M
The Oak Bloke 4 clicks

Publications we follow

Every publication on this site, hand-picked.

130 publications

Newsletters 110

YouTube 4

Blogs 15

Seeking Alpha 84 of 289

Nominate a publication

X accounts we follow

Every account on this site, hand-picked.

91 accounts
Nominate an account

Investor letters we follow

376 firms

Sectors

Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.