Thursday, November 12, 2026

Looking Back at Another Successful Thesis

DoubleU Games raised its all-cash tender offer for DoubleDown Interactive minority holders to $16.25 per ADS from $11.25 after net cash made the earlier bid untenable.

DDI $779M

The Value Road 11h ago 4 clicks

6h ago SMCI $20B

Trading Post November 12, 2026: Enough is Enough, NVIDIA, SMH vs SOXX, Earnings Quality

Cassandra Unchained 4 clicks

9h ago COUR $930M

This Week in Special Situations: Coursera, eToro, Fluor, Trade Desk

Latticework by MOI Global 5 clicks

From X

@Mr_Neutral_Man 3m ago

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

When investing in liquidations, sometimes your security stops trading and gets priced at $0.00 and you have to just ignore how it looks in your brokerage account From a 5 figure cost to $0 in my IRA NOT MY FIRST RODEO!!! $ARI P.S. This illiquidity is kind of awesome!

@Adam_Wyden 5m ago

Adam D. Wyden on X

Judd updating folks….Only difference is the high 20s stock is on ‘27 not ‘28… I may need to go back to school to get my teaching certificate bc people are very bad at math right now. @Mark_Penn @jayleveton @ballan11 $STGW $PLTR $NOW $timeforthenextdouble

@Adam_Wyden 6m ago

Adam D. Wyden on X

Judd updating folks. Only difference is the high 20s is focus on ‘27 not ‘28… I may need to go back to school to get my teaching certificate bc people are very bad at math right now. @Mark_Penn @jayleveton @ballan11 $STGW $PLTR $NOW $timeforthenextdouble

@majgeoinvesting 1h ago 1 click

Maj Soueidan on X

$LEAT Q3 call no real divergence from the PR. Nice that they repurchased a $182K shares during the first 9 months of 2026. Seems like a gift. Maybe CEO had dinner with $NVDA CEO 20 years ago. But, the comment about geopolitical risks spooked people even though they said business is expected to remain strong.

@StableBread 1h ago 1 click

Fajasy on X

Continue reading here for how long $AWMLF’s cash lasts and what the next placement could cost shareholders:

@StableBread 1h ago

Fajasy on X

I calculated how much of the Storm copper project’s build American West Metals $AWMLF has to fund beyond a US$40M loan from Storm’s future copper buyer, after its new pre-feasibility study (PFS). Ocean Partners, the metals trader that holds Storm’s offtake (the right to buy all of its output), agreed in April 2025 to lend up to US$40M of the initial capex defined by the PEA (Storm’s first-pass study) through a senior secured loan, subject to a bankable feasibility study and a final investment decision (FID). The loan covered 84.4% of the PEA’s US$47.4M, and covers 49.4% of the PFS’s US$81.0M. Counting pre-development, the part of Storm’s US$108.3M pre-production cost that the loan doesn’t cover tripled to US$68.3M from US$22.1M. $AWMLF’s 80% of the US$68.3M gap is ~US$55M, more than twice its ~US$24.6M market cap. The PFS lists offtake prepayments, project debt, build-own-operate deals, and Canadian critical minerals programs as non-dilutive options. Its cash flow model also counts a ~US$24M refund from Canada’s 30% clean technology manufacturing tax credit, but the refund only arrives in the second year of production, after construction. Aston Bay Holdings (TSXV: BAY), which owns the other 20% of Storm, only starts funding its share after the DFS (the next, more detailed study) and the FID, so $AWMLF pays for everything until then. After the FID, Aston Bay’s 20% of the gap is ~US$14M, more than its own ~US$11M market cap. If Aston Bay doesn’t pay, its stake gets diluted, and below 10% it turns into a 2% royalty. So $AWMLF may end up funding more than 80% of the build, and its stake in Storm would grow as well.

@BarbarianCap 2h ago

Barbarian Capital on X

Yeti Cuts Year Outlook on Consumer Caution $YETI

@BarbarianCap 2h ago

Barbarian Capital on X

Cerebras Lifts Outlook as Cloud Revenue Surges in Third Quarter $CBRS

GrabAGun Q3 2026: Where Did the Cash Go?

GrabAGun’s $34 million Camfour acquisition cuts pro forma net cash to about $54 million as sales decline, losses widen and its buyback…

PEW $53M

XIX Value 4h ago 2 clicks

Qure Anniversary Update

UniQure’s Huntington’s disease BLA has a May 1, 2027 priority-review date, with an FDA advisory committee expected in late first quarter.

QURE $1.7B

Triple S Special Situations Investing 9h ago 2 clicks

Floor & Decor 3Q’26: Déjà Vu, But Priced For A Lost Decade

Floor & Decor cut its 2026 outlook again, with EBITDA guidance falling to $535-550 million and 2027 openings slowing to 10-15 as housing…

FND $5.3BMHK $8.9B

MBI Deep Dives 9h ago 3 clicks

Big Short: Fidelity & Guaranty

F&G’s main insurer held $66.5 billion of assets against $1.38 billion of statutory capital, while private credit, reinsurance dependence…

FG $3.2B

Mispriced Assets 10h ago 3 clicks

AutoNation (AN): The CEO Takes a Driving Test

AutoNation’s new CEO Mike Manley brings Jeep and Fiat Chrysler experience after the dealer chain cycled through three leaders in 30 months.

AN $6B

Cannibal Stocks 11h ago 3 clicks

Quanta Services (PWR): Backlog Up 63% While Shares Fall 30%

Quanta Services' backlog rose 63% year over year to $64 billion as shares fell 30%, with AI and power-infrastructure demand driving revenue…

PWR $92B

Monte Independent Investment Research 11h ago 4 clicks

Top Rebound Stocks for Nov’26

Texas Pacific Land's 50% selloff reflects faded data-center expectations, while its Permian royalty business generated $498 million of 2025…

TPL $19B

Rebound Capital 13h ago 2 clicks

International Seaways: Q3 Earnings Point To A Stronger Q4

International Seaways reported $291.4 million of Q3 adjusted net income and has 53% of Q4 booked at strong spot rates, supporting projected…

INSW $5.2B

Kevin Avroutskii 14h ago 3 clicks

Peloton: Beyond The Bike

Peloton’s connected-fitness subscribers fell 9% year over year to 2.475 million, with another high-single-digit holiday decline forecast as…

PTON $2.6B

TSOH Investment Research 15h ago 3 clicks

An Interview With Roblox CEO David Baszucki About Aggregating Play

Roblox CEO David Baszucki says AI can make game creation accessible to anyone, expanding Roblox’s role in discovery, cross-platform play…

RBLX $38B

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. 26h ago 2 clicks

LZ · long

Legalzoom.com INC

LegalZoom trades near all-time lows as AI adoption is positioned to accelerate growth.

LZ $796M

Value Investors Club Jun 9

It Pays to be a Winner: Our ML model and social research layer just went 14-for-16 on Nike’s Q3 call. (Kalshi, Mentions)

First Strike Research’s ML and social-sentiment system correctly called 14 of 16 Nike Q3 Kalshi contracts, reporting 208¢ net P&L.

NKE $57B

First Strike Research Apr 1

Why Lindblad's Record Year Should Terrify Its Shareholders

Lindblad's record year is the basis for a short thesis against LIND.

LIND $2.3B

Shallow Dives Apr 1

AI turned my Report into a Video

Google’s NotebookLM turned a 30-page Douglas Dynamics report into an 8-minute video, while Custom GPTs screen earnings transcripts for…

PLOW $873M

Hidden Gems Investing Apr 1

Alta Fox PBH CN Presentation

Premium Brands Holdings faces margin expansion and free-cash-flow growth as a six-year investment cycle ends, while Alta Fox says its…

PBH $2.1B

Research - Alta Fox Capital Apr 1 2 clicks

Hasbro Isn't a Toy Company Anymore. That's the Problem.

Hasbro’s shift beyond toys is framed as the core problem for the company.

HAS $17B

Shallow Dives Mar 31

ServiceTitan ($TTAN): The IPO Hangover Has Only Just Begun

ServiceTitan faces slowing growth, a rich valuation, accounting concerns, executive turnover and stock sales by management and legacy…

TTAN $7.9B

Shallow Dives Mar 30

Buybacks Below Net Cash

Angstrom Technologies trades 26% below net cash and 50% of NCAV, with no debt, 7.7x earnings and ongoing buybacks despite limited…

AGTT $5.1M

Deep Value Insights Mar 30

Notes On Next PLC FY26 Results

Next reported FY26 EPS growth of 17% and free-cash-flow growth of 11%, with international expansion, third-party commissions and online…

NXT $15B

Sector Stories Mar 30

Nike Earnings Mentions Contracts: Our Analysis, and Fair Value Pricing Model.

First Strike prices Nike’s Q3 “Express Lane” mention at 20-25¢ versus Kalshi’s 66¢, citing the retired Mark Parker-era supply-chain program…

NKE $57B

First Strike Research Mar 29

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Thursday, November 12, 2026

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

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Fajasy on X

Fajasy on X

Barbarian Capital on X

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