Quick note on LSAK and GRPN
Lesaka expects its Bank Zero acquisition to close by end-January 2027, though it could still close this calendar year.
Wednesday, November 11, 2026
Back to the front page 
From X
Adam D. Wyden on X
@RicksCEO Maybe if you did 500 of ebitda, we could afford that one… $rick
catechwilliams on X
$NX 5% of COGS/ direct input costs sourced from China. Tariffs + zero pricing power, high fixed cost structure + only 30% GMs = 25-30% hit to EBIT. Add 4x leverage, declining volumes, ambitious mgmt guidance while integrating a large acquisition is a setup for a trainwreck.
Adam D. Wyden on X
@JerryCap @AutumnCapital $PAR
catechwilliams on X
$DAKT CEO departing, new high-quality CFO (temp) w very attractive secular tailwinds in digital display demand + activist involvement = increased likelihood of takeout. Optimal business for PE. Multiple logical strategics. +75% upside.
@catechwilliams catechwilliams on X
$NX Outlandishly guiding to flat 2025 sales, customers and channel -DD. Commodity window and door components facing pricing pressure from larger customers ($JELD, $OC). Now levered 4x, trading at a premium to higher value-add building products peers. Guide cut inevitable.
@catechwilliams catechwilliams on X
$NX Rapidly declining levered (4x) commodity biz. Q1’25 guide -12% sales, mgmt hoping for 2H’25 recovery. End-mkts deteriorating ($OC -20% Q4 guide, $JELD), customer losses, internal controls issues, integrating a large acq, 0 prior M&A experience. +30x P/E on best case 2025 #s
Alpha Vulture on X
After years things are finally happening at shitco $UDFI. Just before the AGM in which NexPoint would have kicked out the incumbent trustees the company announces a deal with $RC to be bought for ~$5.89/share.
Investor Letters
All letters- Asset Value Investors Ltd October 2026 4347 $112M6727 $597M
- Sandon Capital — Activist Fund October 2026 FWD $134MSPSY $111M
- Lakehouse Capital Small Companies Fund October 2026 COGZF $429MFNCHF $530M
- Forager Funds Management October 2026 OFX $71MPLT $95M
- FCL Capital October 2026 RSGN $946M
- Ganes Capital September 2026 Quarter PWH $797M
- Long Cast Advisers 3Q26 MTRX $259MPDEX $229M
- RF Capital Management third quarter of 2026 7521 $112M
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Alan Sumler 1 click
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The 10-Q Fills In the Buyback
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Signs of the times: Quantum Corp. surges, Quantum Computing slumps again
Quantum Corp. surged while Quantum Computing slumped again after their Tuesday reports.
Lion Copper: Initiation Report
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Seed Corn
Chiron’s failed $49 million Beaumont sale and $178 million Pinnacle acquisition leave XRN with $70 million of liquidity and medical-office…
Improvements Are Still Evident At C&F Financial Corporation
Crimson And Gold Research 3 clicks
41 Stock Pitches (2nd-8th November) 🟢
Blue Dolphin Energy trades near 1.3 times earnings as its Texas refinery benefits from diesel shortages, with projected 2026 EBITDA of $111…
NGVC · long Natural Grocers Vitamin Ctge
Natural Grocers (NGVC) returned to $27.80 after a prior long entry at $21 and exit recommendation at $46.
Blue Dolphin (BDCO): A Tiny Texas Refinery Printing Money in a Diesel Shortage (1.3x P/E)
Blue Dolphin’s 15,000-barrel-per-day Texas refinery earned $2.18 per share in first-half 2026 as diesel shortages widened crack spreads,…
Post Q3 EVC Update
EVC's Q3 update cites $30 million for a single station, a broadcast-business sale and stronger positioning for 2027.
Oil & Gas M&A Boom Continues with Another Billion-Dollar Oil Buyout
Ovintiv’s C$1.26 billion purchase of Logan Energy at roughly 2x proved reserve value points to further consolidation among Canadian oil…
Entravision Q3 Update
Entravision’s Q3 ad-tech revenue reached $177.2 million, up 133% year over year, while total revenue rose 88% to $226.3 million and diluted…
CareCloud (CCLD): A Second Sales Rep Talks. More Structure. Didn’t have a leader of sales for 18 months. That has changed. Organic growth through Medsphere?
CareCloud rebuilt its sales organization under Christopher Langehaug after 18 months without a sales leader, with a second sales rep…
GREAT DEC-TECTIVE WORK
Diversified Energy reported $255.6 million of “true” nine-month free cash flow, while its $1.8 billion Birch acquisition would shift…
CareCloud (CCLD): Q3 2026 Call Notes and Thesis. My biggest position, I’m bullish. To me it’s a multibagger
CareCloud’s Q3 revenue rose 9% through acquisitions but fell 8% pro forma; the RCM consolidator targets 25–30% margins by shifting acquired…
Artiva Biotherapeutics: Busted Biotech
This Week in Special Situations: Lear, AutoNation, NexPoint, AudioCodes, Xponential Fitness
AutoNation, Lear, NexPoint, AudioCodes and Xponential Fitness lead a 52-situation screen spanning buybacks, insider purchases, M&A and…
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Sectors
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
