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Wednesday, November 11, 2026

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@aleabitoreddit

Serenity on X

I feel like traditional "value investing" went into hibernation. Before it was finding a 10x -12x P/E company like $UPWK or $PYPL, Dominoes, Pepsi. Or even a cheap Japanese company below book value. Then just enjoying slow growth but buyback/dividend appreciation from their cashflow. Now you can find 1.8x runrate P/E company like $ESMT that grew revenue 605.24% Y/Y. And the main thing you need to argue about is duration. Or a 16.2x trailing P/E Sumitomo, despite having way too many hyperscaler LTAs in AI from fiber to lasers. AI created much bigger medium-term anomaly, where "value investing" went towards high growth, "deep value" companies.
@InvestSpecial

Dalius - Special Sits on X

Love me some microcap crap. $GLND, an early-stage oil exploration company in Greenland, has just more than doubled in value. Well, of course, the Greenland-Denmark-US security agreement was announced. It all makes sense now: there is oil in Greenland, so obviously the agreement means the oil will be extracted. Perfect connection. To be serious, though, this is one of the most promotional stories I’ve seen recently. Why? GLND plans to drill what the CEO claims could be $1T worth of oil reserves in Greenland. The problem is that not a single well has ever been drilled on this land. The company does not even have the green light to drill yet. And btw, GLND doesn’t even own the licence. $80M.L owns it and is currently being acquired by GLND. The spread is extremely wide, but I wouldn’t touch it. The whole thing smells fishy. 80M.L and its management also have a terrible track record of dilution built around promises of enormous exploration potential across other Greenland projects. Unsurprisingly, very little came of those stories. The worst part here is the media coverage. It largely misses the promotional nature of the story and instead keeps feeding the Trump/Greenland narrative that management appears happy to lean into. That is also why you now get a huge move in GLND on a security agreement that, as far as the underlying oil project is concerned, changes essentially nothing. Microcap world is a fun place to be.

Investor Letters

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Cat-Scratch Fervo

Fervo Energy raised $2 billion in its May IPO, then fell nearly 70% below issue price after a Morpheus short report, despite targeting 1 GW…

FRVO $3.8B
Doomberg 5 clicks
OSW · short

One Spa World

OneSpaWorld (OSW) faces about 37% downside as its valuation requires unattainable growth in average revenue per customer after major-market…

OSW $3.1B
Value Investors Club

The AutoNation Story

AutoNation shed rentals and megastores, focused on dealerships, and retired 91.1% of its shares through buybacks after its 1990s roll-up…

AN $6B
Cannibal Stocks 4 clicks

The 10-Q Fills In the Buyback

Empire State Realty Trust bought $86.1 million of stock through November 6, while corrected sum-of-the-parts values range from $9.12 to…

ESRT $1.5B
Orphan REITs 2 clicks

No title

SpaceX’s $24 billion Starbase power plant, Microsoft’s Oracle capacity cuts, Riot’s $72 billion AI lease and Quanta’s sell-off frame…

RIOT $6.8B
Monte Independent Investment Research 3 clicks

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