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Monday, November 9, 2026

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41 Stock Pitches (2nd-8th November) 🟢

Blue Dolphin Energy trades near 1.3 times earnings as its Texas refinery benefits from diesel shortages, with projected 2026 EBITDA of $111 million against a $125 million market value.

BDCO $147M
Capital Employed 1 click

From X

@ACapitalLP

A Capital on X

Great additions. Was starting with the more liquid names. $CODI is absurdly undervalued, with asset sales a clear catalyst. $STGW is fascinating. Nobody knows it because it sounds like what British people call a bachelor party rather than well known peers WPP or Publicis, yet the underlying growth is exceptional. More management meetings lined up than I can ever remember seeing. Hard to imagine investors walking out of those anything but impressed…
@aleabitoreddit 1 click

Serenity on X

It think it's stupid that "AI Bubble" gets used over and over. In infra names you have: - 1-3x fwd P/E memory companies from Samsung to $ESMT. With HBM players now having hyperscaler multi-year price floor LTAs. - Optical companies like $POET traded -$97M under net cash. Valuing the operating business very negatively, not even at $0. - While AI companies with larger premiums continue to record demand over the next 3-5 years. Such as the new $20B LTAs signed w/ $COHR to $5B LTAs signed w/ $LITE. Can someone in the media honestly see negative EV high-beta optical companies, where 2 years of burnrate would still value the company below $0. or single digit memory companies with contracted demand + price floors years out and say that's a bubble? Many of these names are extremely profitable today... But obviously there's other elements inside the theme, such as: - Certain startups like Instinct that look like a private valuation bubble. - Leveraged Neoclouds that didn't finance properly - and AI lab valuations and commitments, which should be viewed cautiously. But everything gets grouped into one with the boogyman of "leverage" or "debt". Yes, valuations can compress or correct from macro, potential regulatory uncertainty, or potential capex reductions. But for the companies physically powering the AI buildout, it looks more like the Great AI Deleveraging of 2026... Than anything like fundamental demand destruction. As more earnings come out and free cash flow accumulates over time. I'm confident in a recovery, especially in bottlenecks, and for markets to eventually discern durability + growth over frothy valuations tied to AI.
@calvinblissett

Calvin Blissett on X

$PDEX: Pro-Dex (PDEX) makes powered surgical handpieces (drivers and shavers) used mainly in orthopedic, thoracic (chest), and CMF (face/skull) surgeries. They design, build, and repair them primarily for medical device OEMs (one big customer drives most sales), plus some precision machining for aerospace/defense after a 2026 acquisition.⁠ New/upcoming products: Ongoing next-generation orthopedic handpiece for their largest customer (contract through 2028). Helios Pro: latest off-the-shelf CMF/cranial driver with their adaptive torque-limiting software (released for production). Articulating attachment (in development; targeting production spring/summer 2027). Monogram validation units (with Monogram Technologies/Zimmer Biomet; expected later in FY2027). Other roadmap items include a spinal driver and smart driver. Quick Pitch Market Cap $202m=Enterprise Value. Warren Buffett's Owner's Earnings of $13.45m resulting in a 15x multiple. W/C consistently a drag on cashflow. Feb 2026 acquired APM getting them into aerospace and defense. Repair revenue (probably high margin reoccurring) declining as largest customer shifts away from legacy devices. CEO been with co since 2006 and CEO since 2015. CFO been CFO since 2015
@calvinblissett 1 click

Calvin Blissett on X

$EMBC: Embecta (EMBC), spun out of Becton Dickinson in 2022, makes the pen needles and syringes people with diabetes use to inject insulin. Its U.S. pen needle business is shrinking from lost share and price cuts, and more patients are moving from daily insulin shots to weekly GLP-1s. To offset that, it is selling its needles inside the boxes of generic GLP-1 drugs, already launched in India, Canada and Brazil and targeted at $100M+ in revenue by 2033. It is also launching cheaper needles and syringes for new markets and buying into other drug-delivery products beyond insulin. Quick Pitch $350m Market Cap/$1.62B Enterprise Value. Less than 3x P/E. Warren Buffett Owners Earnings of $122m ex SBC. Cut dividend switched to $100m Buyback authorization that's being used. CEO/CFO/Director/CLO all bought August 12th

Investor Letters

All letters

Entravision Q3 Update

Entravision’s Q3 ad-tech revenue reached $177.2 million, up 133% year over year, while total revenue rose 88% to $226.3 million and diluted…

EVC $832M
The Value Road 4 clicks

GREAT DEC-TECTIVE WORK

Diversified Energy reported $255.6 million of “true” nine-month free cash flow, while its $1.8 billion Birch acquisition would shift…

DEC $900M
The Oak Bloke 3 clicks

Site Centers (NYSE:SITC)

Site Centers' $3 per-share return-of-capital distribution and December delisting leave a discounted liquidation stub, with two properties…

SITC $192M
Real Assets, Real Value 5 clicks
MG · long

Mistras Group INC

Mistras Group is a rare publicly traded US non-destructive testing pure play, providing quality assurance for materials, components and…

MG $645M
Value Investors Club 4 clicks

Hidden in Plane Sight

An aerospace company’s profitable core is obscured by a long-running FAA development program; approval, abandonment, or shrinking losses…

ASLE $233M
The Mikro Kap 3 clicks

Stranded Indium-Phosphide

Aeva’s high-power InP SOA design could supply NPO/CPO optical modules at roughly 17% gross margins, versus 51% for eight discrete DFB…

AEVA $625M
Irrational Analysis

RI(N)sing higher

RIN prices near all-time highs reflect tighter renewable-fuel mandates, a shrinking credit bank, and biodiesel production shortfalls.

FF $237M
Treasure Hunting 4 clicks

Clear the DEC?

Diversified Energy (DEC) has paid $21.84 per share in dividends since June 2017 and trades at $13.35 amid a bullish U.S.

DEC $900M
The Oak Bloke 3 clicks

Groupon Built a Brain

Groupon is building an AI “Brain” to personalize its app for each user, turning its turnaround plan into a product initiative.

GRPN $704M
Mispriced Assets

Quick Value #322 - FuboTV (FUBO)

Fubo's Hulu Live merger leaves Disney with 70% ownership and resets its 2028 EBITDA target to $300 million; at $10, it trades at 4.2 times…

FUBO $840M
Value Don't Lie

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