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Sunday, November 8, 2026

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@ACapitalLP

A Capital on X

Interesting catalyst situations I'm tracking into year-end: $FLEX – Axiom targets at Innovation Day (11/10) $KBR – KBR/Trinzic investor days (11/11–12) $WFRD – Delaware redomicile, S&P add? (11/13) $BAYN – Roundup settlement approval (any day) $VOYA – TCIM no-confidence vote (11/24) $PNW – APS rate case order (late Nov) $LYV – Tunney ruling + post-trial motions $MTN – ISS/GL on Oasis slate (early Dec) $COO – Q4 print under interim chair, Jana pushing a sale What am I missing?
@Adam_Wyden

Adam D. Wyden on X

Another sleeper factor of $STGW is that given what happened on Election Day, both parties are going to spend crazy amounts of money on ‘28 election. This spend will start in ‘27 as well. The EBITDA growth in ‘27 and ‘28 will be nothing short of breath taking with a high graded mix. 12x 2027 EBITDA of 650 is ~ 28.00 bucks. What if they do 800+ in ‘28? Upside to these numbers if they do more m/a in saas / digital transformation… the only thing that is TRANSFORMING is $STGW. How could potentially 20mm shares be short? @Mark_Penn @ballant11 @jayleveton @TheRoaringKitty @stoolpresidente @AKWilk @markminervini @ACapitalLP @AndrewYAVB @CorneliaLake @ChrisCamillo @citrini This is going much higher.
@Adam_Wyden

Adam D. Wyden on X

They have a lot of opportunity to let people know about the quantum of the value gap as well in the coming weeks…. This reminds me of our investment in $race or $gmcr… multiple expansion and earnings growth as the mix of the business transforms. People can’t see it until they can. @Mark_Penn @benallanson @jayleveton @markminervini @stoolpresidente @TheRoaringKitty @marketplunger1 @BillBrewsterTBB @AndrewYAVB @ACapitalLP $STGW
@Mr_Neutral_Man

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Small Bay Industrial investors will do everything in SoCal instead of buying $REXR If you’re looking to deploy more than 7 figures in SoCal smallbay industrial, $REXR is much cheaper and literally selling some warehouse to the aggressive buyers Using proceeds to buy back shares further boosting intrinsic value Crazy public arbitrage of private market value DM open if you actually want to get more than 7 figures of exposure to SoCal warehouse
Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” REXR $8B

Investor Letters

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Floor & Decor 3Q26: Business Update

Floor & Decor’s 3Q26 sales rose 3% while comparable sales fell 1.4%; it cut 2027 openings to 10-15 as high mortgage rates pressure…

FND $5B
Speedwell Memos 1 click
MOH · long

Molina Healthcare INC

Molina Healthcare is presented as a long investment in the widely disliked U.S. health-insurance industry.

MOH $11B
Value Investors Club 4 clicks

On Holdings: Maintaining Pace

On Holdings expects roughly CHF 3.5 billion in FY26 revenue as running shoes drive growth, while APAC exceeds 20% of sales and apparel…

ONON $13B
TSOH Investment Research

Clear the DEC?

Diversified Energy (DEC) has paid $21.84 per share in dividends since June 2017 and trades at $13.35 amid a bullish U.S.

DEC $900M
The Oak Bloke 3 clicks

Groupon Built a Brain

Groupon is building an AI “Brain” to personalize its app for each user, turning its turnaround plan into a product initiative.

GRPN $704M
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