Perimeter Group: 3Q26 Business Recap
Perimeter Group posted 24% revenue growth to $390 million as fire-safety contracts and acquisitions lifted results, while it brings PDI supply in-house after Flexsys disruptions.
Saturday, November 7, 2026
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catechwilliams on X
$DAKT New $50M display upgrade award for the Miami Heat arena. Will be a nice boost to current quarter earnings (FQ2'25). https://t.co/sLAFBEerYi
catechwilliams on X
$NX Just acquired peer Tyman. >3x leverage, never done a deal before, commodity business, customers all cutting numbers w deteriorating resi remodel activity ($AMWD yesterday, $MBC, $OC, $JELD). Stock is trading at close to 14x EPS. Seen this movie before. Earnings next week.
Brian McGough on X
My team has the stones to tell me "the deck we prepared on $PLNT is the best work we've EVER done." I rarely hear that degree of confidence from anyone. You be the judge...presentation TOMORROW, 8/16. Deets below. https://t.co/u5qz3Xcdl4
Brian McGough on X
The work we're doing on $PLNT is next-level -- similar to what we did on $FND, but with a VERY different conclusion. Analyzing each store from a property developers perspective... Black Book on Friday... https://t.co/XKWvJdeWyH
Brian McGough on X
Is anybody looking at $REAL NOLs? I bet $EBAY is. EBAY has failed in luxury authentication. It NEEDS REAL. They could use $2/share in realized NOLs with the stock trading at $3. Maybe they buy this when it's a $10 stock, but at $3 it's a slam dunk.
Brian McGough on X
$REAL CEO gets an A+ for executing on the model. But a D- for communicating on last night's call. The reality is that supply growth -- THE KEY to GMV/Cash Flow -- is ACCELERATING. Stock getting tagged today in a Quad4 tape on a sloppy guide. But this story 100% on track.
Brian McGough on X
Our call has been to be Short Retail, and Long 'boring' retailers -- things like $BBWI, $GIL, $VVV, $DRVN. Revenue inflecting positive on all three, stocks should grind higher through 2H, while the rest of retail melts down. https://t.co/4HTXOpOsaz
Brian McGough on X
Best Idea Short $FND should literally be down 20% on this print alone. Across the board guide-down and cutting unit growth AGAIN. Winners don't cut unit growth when times are tough, they LEAN-IN and accelerate investment. But in FND's case it's about cash preservation. Bulls are having major thesis drift here.
Investor Letters
All letters- Spheria — Global Smaller Companies Fund month ended 31 October 2026 SFM $4.8B
- Forager Funds Management October 2026 TUA $525M
- FCL Capital October 2026 INTR $1.7BRSGN $881M
- Protean Funds October 2026 AAK $4.6BVIMGF $2.2B
- Bison Interests third quarter 2026 OILSF $949M
- Invesco — Discovery Fund Q3 2026 MOD $5.2BSMTC $8.5B
- Akre Capital Management, LLC Third Quarter 2026 TOI $6.1B
- Allspring Global Investments Q3 2026 3406 $2.8B
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A clear solution to the “problem”
Shift4’s Q3 met guidance, but organic growth is decelerating, management credibility is weakening and leverage reduction remains too slow.
GREAT DEC-TECTIVE WORK
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TransMedics reported record Q3 2026 revenue exceeding $200 million, driven by its organ transplant technology business.
JFrog soars, Innodata’s robotics, Quantum duopoly
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Vince Martin 7 clicks
HNRG · long Hallador Energy Co
Undercovered Dozen: NNN REIT, Weyerhaeuser, Vicor, And More
Vicor earns a Strong Buy after record Q3 results and AI gains, while QXO falls to Hold over capital structure and execution risk.
The Undercovered Dozen 2 clicks
Problems at Twist Bioscience (TWST)
Twist Bioscience’s $200 rebound followed an Anthropic-linked short squeeze, yet its DNA and protein services face broad competition while…
VSH Earnings Review
Vishay reported record Q3 revenue of $979 million, up 24%, and guided Q4 to about $990 million as rising backlog and margins contrast with…
This Week in Special Situations: Lear, AutoNation, NexPoint, AudioCodes, Xponential Fitness
AutoNation, Lear, NexPoint, AudioCodes and Xponential Fitness lead a 52-situation screen spanning buybacks, insider purchases, M&A and…
Array Technologies And Shoals Merger Creates Upside Potential
Array Technologies and Shoals Technologies plan to merge, targeting cross-selling and cost synergies as ARRY's order book holds firm and…
Caffital Research 3 clicks
The Buyback Shows Up (ESRT Q3 2026)
Empire State Realty Trust repurchased $85.8 million of shares at $4.56 each, using 1359 Broadway sale proceeds to fund buybacks and debt…
Warrior (HCC): Q3 2026 Earnings
Warrior Met Coal’s Blue Creek mine cut costs to about $93 a ton, offsetting a wider discount for High Vol A coking coal as US supply…
AMSC, Datadog will be fine, SiTime is worth a look
AMSC and Datadog will be fine, while SiTime is worth a closer look.
New Ideas From The Road
Aurelion Research increased healthcare exposure and sees opportunities in banking and defense, alongside research on Alcoa, Nike, ONON and…
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