Post Q3 EVC Update
EVC's Q3 update cites $30 million for a single station, a broadcast-business sale and stronger positioning for 2027.
EVC's Q3 update cites $30 million for a single station, a broadcast-business sale and stronger positioning for 2027.
@RicksCEO I’ll take your deal if we can add a zero to your 6 mm of ebitda added a year. 60 sounds a lot better ! $rick
I sent out my Q1 investor letter this morning, sharing my investment thesis on $VRTS. If you didn't see a copy and are an accredited investor, DM me your email address, and I'll send it to you.
$ACA Levered roll-up (4x levered) hodgepodge of low-quality cap intensive commodity businesses w struggling end-markets (sub-scale aggregates, building products, ag). Negative organic growth w unrealistic guidance. Forced to sell an asset to avoid covenant breach. 30x P/E
$DAKT Just won the massive jumbotron project for the new Titans stadium. Estimated to be $180M. Will be the largest set of displays in the NFL. Bills, Browns stadiums to be announced soon. Wouldn’t be surprised if Mitsubishi acquires them given interest in the category.
With contract disputes and litigation set to surge, I believe Burford is well positioned to benefit. Struggling firms will increasingly look to shore up capital—Many cannot afford to wait 2+ years to see the case through. $BUR
Burford’s value prop is high to these firms, and the significant supply spike puts them in a fantastic position to capitalize on the demand for cash. Additionally settlement with Argentine government seems highly likely at this point. Long $BUR
@RicksCEO Maybe if you did 500 of ebitda, we could afford that one… $rick
$NX 5% of COGS/ direct input costs sourced from China. Tariffs + zero pricing power, high fixed cost structure + only 30% GMs = 25-30% hit to EBIT. Add 4x leverage, declining volumes, ambitious mgmt guidance while integrating a large acquisition is a setup for a trainwreck.
Transocean’s 25.6% selloff reflects oil-market shorting and weak Q3 headlines, while debt reduction after the Valaris acquisition could…
CareCloud rebuilt its sales organization under Christopher Langehaug after 18 months without a sales leader, with a second sales rep…
Alpha Metallurgical posted a third consecutive quarterly loss as High Vol A coal margins fell to $14 a ton, while director Kenneth Courtis…
Shift4’s Q3 met guidance, but organic growth is decelerating, management credibility is weakening and leverage reduction remains too slow.
Diversified Energy reported $255.6 million of “true” nine-month free cash flow, while its $1.8 billion Birch acquisition would shift…
Vicor earns a Strong Buy after record Q3 results and AI gains, while QXO falls to Hold over capital structure and execution risk.
CareCloud’s Q3 revenue rose 9% through acquisitions but fell 8% pro forma; the RCM consolidator targets 25–30% margins by shifting acquired…
TransMedics reported record Q3 2026 revenue exceeding $200 million, driven by its organ transplant technology business.
JFrog jumped 35% to $100.44 after another beat-and-raise quarter, joining the TL20 Special Situations group.
AAP · long Advance Auto Parts, AAP, is presented as a long idea following prior write-ups at $48.81 per share in January 2025.
Wolfspeed's negative Q1 margins and revenue decline have not changed the bullish case for silicon-carbide power devices in data centers.
Twist Bioscience’s $200 rebound followed an Anthropic-linked short squeeze, yet its DNA and protein services face broad competition while…
Vishay reported record Q3 revenue of $979 million, up 24%, and guided Q4 to about $990 million as rising backlog and margins contrast with…
AutoNation, Lear, NexPoint, AudioCodes and Xponential Fitness lead a 52-situation screen spanning buybacks, insider purchases, M&A and…
Array Technologies and Shoals Technologies plan to merge, targeting cross-selling and cost synergies as ARRY's order book holds firm and…
Empire State Realty Trust repurchased $85.8 million of shares at $4.56 each, using 1359 Broadway sale proceeds to fund buybacks and debt…
Warrior Met Coal’s Blue Creek mine cut costs to about $93 a ton, offsetting a wider discount for High Vol A coking coal as US supply…
AMSC and Datadog will be fine, while SiTime is worth a closer look.
Aurelion Research increased healthcare exposure and sees opportunities in banking and defense, alongside research on Alcoa, Nike, ONON and…
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