(Idea) Transocean - Near-Term Results Obscure A Brighter Future
Transocean’s 25.6% selloff reflects oil-market shorting and weak Q3 headlines, while debt reduction after the Valaris acquisition could reduce volatility and strengthen earnings.
Friday, November 6, 2026
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From X
💥PETITION💥 on X
We know there's a lot of talk about AI disrupting white collar jobs. But, for now, the growth over at $PJT, as just one example of an investment bank, has been impressive. https://t.co/3WUXRgdPXg
Raging Capital Ventures on X
$AGYS does not see negative impact of AI on enterprise software companies, argues that they are "seeing the opposite effect." Also notes the cost/benefit analysis favors software subscriptions vs. investing in expensive AI development. https://t.co/W4qnsF26r4
mavix on X
Shelly Group $SLYG has exercised a Call Option for the acquisition of the remaining stake of 24 % of the share capital in its Slovenian IoT subsidiary Shelly Tech. The total purchase price for the 24%-stake under the exercised Call Option is EUR 0.9 million. https://t.co/qlSBzPVtnU
JabroniCoin.USD on X
Hmmm so what happens to China WFE and local semicap? $ACMR https://t.co/zCLlueeF3O
Ian Bezek on X
@TidefallCapital I think macro beer is still deeply challenged, though I own a little bit of $TAP and $ABEV. I'm much more confident spirits will recover.
JabroniCoin.USD on X
“Huawei’s report on its progress gave Ding leeway to be more aggressive. He delivered a blunt warning to China’s largest AI users, according to people familiar with the message: Anyone who resisted employing domestic chips was a traitor.” $ACMR https://t.co/2DDOgMTQEW
BDC on X
$SNAP will generate more FCF this year than $GOOGL and maybe more than the hyperscalers combined in the 2H ex MSFT! Just sayin...
Investor Letters
All letters- Spheria — Global Smaller Companies Fund month ended 31 October 2026 SFM $4.8B
- Protean Funds October 2026 AAK $4.7BVIMGF $2.2B
- Invesco — Discovery Fund Q3 2026 MOD $5.2BSMTC $8.5B
- Akre Capital Management, LLC Third Quarter 2026 TOI $6.2B
- Allspring Global Investments Q3 2026 3406 $2.9B
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. Q3 2026 ALM $2.5BJXN $8.8B
- Chautauqua Capital Management Q3 2026 TMNSF $6.8B
- Night Watch Investment Management Q3 2026 AZLGF $3.3BIMCDY $6.7B
Undercovered Dozen: NNN REIT, Weyerhaeuser, Vicor, And More
Vicor earns a Strong Buy after record Q3 results and AI gains, while QXO falls to Hold over capital structure and execution risk.
The Undercovered Dozen 1 click
TransMedics Group Inc Earnings Update: Q3 2026
TransMedics reported record Q3 2026 revenue exceeding $200 million, driven by its organ transplant technology business.
JFrog soars, Innodata’s robotics, Quantum duopoly
JFrog jumped 35% to $100.44 after another beat-and-raise quarter, joining the TL20 Special Situations group.
Problems at Twist Bioscience (TWST)
Twist Bioscience’s $200 rebound followed an Anthropic-linked short squeeze, yet its DNA and protein services face broad competition while…
VSH Earnings Review
Vishay reported record Q3 revenue of $979 million, up 24%, and guided Q4 to about $990 million as rising backlog and margins contrast with…
This Week in Special Situations: Lear, AutoNation, NexPoint, AudioCodes, Xponential Fitness
AutoNation, Lear, NexPoint, AudioCodes and Xponential Fitness lead a 52-situation screen spanning buybacks, insider purchases, M&A and…
Hercules Capital: Earnings Lower, But Credit Holds, Still A Buy
Rubicon Associates 
Warrior (HCC): Q3 2026 Earnings
Warrior Met Coal’s Blue Creek mine cut costs to about $93 a ton, offsetting a wider discount for High Vol A coking coal as US supply…
New Ideas From The Road
Aurelion Research increased healthcare exposure and sees opportunities in banking and defense, alongside research on Alcoa, Nike, ONON and…
Site Centers (NYSE:SITC)
Site Centers' $3 per-share return-of-capital distribution and December delisting leave a discounted liquidation stub, with two properties…
AAP · long Advance Auto Parts INC
Advance Auto Parts, AAP, is presented as a long idea following prior write-ups at $48.81 per share in January 2025.
Amdocs: The T-Mobile Shock Changes Everything (Rating Downgrade)
Motti Sapir 2 clicks
Hedge Fund Manager David Orr Shares His Approach to Investing & Risk Management
David Orr describes running Militia Capital’s roughly 500-stock long-short portfolio, using expected value, correlation and factor…
What AI Bubble? AXT Reports Record Q3 Revenue And Positive Forward Outlook (Rating Downgrade)
AXT reported record Q3 revenue as AI data-center demand for indium phosphide drives supply agreements and capacity expansion.
Alan Sumler 1 click
Stevanato down 30%. Yikes.
Stevanato fell 30% after forecasting low-single-digit 2027 growth as lower Nexa syringe volumes from a GLP-1 customer offset solid Q3…
Transocean (RIG): Q3 2026 Earnings
Transocean enters its Valaris merger with 109 of 110 available deepwater rigs contracted and 313 million shares sold short, despite weaker…
Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust (NYSE: BXDC)
BXDC trades at a 14% discount to net liquidation value, with $1.9 billion of cash against a $1.6 billion market cap, ahead of data-center…
Why Essential Properties Realty Trust Keeps Winning
Essential Properties Realty Trust is growing faster than Realty Income through acquisition opportunities while trading at a cheaper…
Jussi Askola, CFA 
Portfolio Update: October 2026 + Q3 Earnings outlook
Calumet and other refiners sold off alongside AI names, but the RIN thesis for renewable fuel earnings remains unchanged ahead of Q3…
When the liquidity does not add up
Arbor Realty Trust’s dividend suspension is presented as creating $60 million of liquidity, raising questions about its ability to meet…
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Sectors
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