Wednesday, November 4, 2026

The Buyback Shows Up (ESRT Q3 2026)

Empire State Realty Trust repurchased $85.8 million of shares at $4.56 each, using 1359 Broadway sale proceeds to fund buybacks and debt reduction.

ESRT $1.3B

Orphan REITs Nov 4 6 clicks

Nov 4 HCC $4.3B

Warrior (HCC): Q3 2026 Earnings

Cannibal Stocks 3 clicks

Nov 4 MDA $4.2B

New Ideas From The Road

Aurelion Research 4 clicks

From X

@natstewart5 Sep 10

Nat Stewart on X

Great @YetAnotherValue interview with Zack Buckley on Priority Technology $PRTH out today. If you had told me that PRTH would only be up 65% (including massive, unwarranted share-price volatility) from my 5/2024 article after: ° Enormous capital structure improvements (expensive pref was strangling profitability) ° Successful deleveraging ° Solid business execution I would have been very surprised. It is a shame CEO Priore chose a take-private offer rather than capital allocation/return strategy (which I advocated for). Would have been easy enough to stabilize the equity and in my view rocket it higher over time - creating a successful, useful public equity and track record.

@DeepSailCapital Sep 10 1 click

Deep Sail Capital on X

Sobering one: of 31 distinct names, only 2 have actually reached my Realistic Valuation target. $EVTL and $RR. Median downside capture on the Sept '25 list: 73% of the decline I forecast. On the 2026 lists: 22-41%. Direction right. Magnitude still pending. This means there is still lots of meat on the bone in many of these names.

@DeepSailCapital Sep 10

Deep Sail Capital on X

What I'm carrying into the next list: → Short arithmetic, not narratives → Overleveraged and Industry Bubble earn their slot → Potential Fraud has to clear a much higher bar → Stop re-shorting $RUM Full table and methodology at Shorts & Squeeze Corner.

@DeepSailCapital Sep 10

Deep Sail Capital on X

Across all 110 position-instances: Average short return: +25.7%Median: +23.1%Hit rate: 81% — 89 of 110 names fell Best call, and it wasn't close: $EVTL Vertical Aerospace $5.00 → $0.58 Top performer on all five lists. The Sept '25 entry is +88%. Even the July '26 entry is +66%. The company flagged going-concern risk in a filing this month.

@DeepSailCapital Sep 10 1 click

Deep Sail Capital on X

The rest of the Sept '25 podium — a full year of holding: $EVTL +88% $SMR +77% $LVWR +76% $OKLO +73% $BTQ +73% $SOUN +69% $RGTI +67% 19 of the 20 names on that list fell. Nineteen.

@DeepSailCapital Sep 10

Deep Sail Capital on X

Biggest miss was $RUM. $RUM was my worst pick on four of five lists. Average: -23%. $PLTR: -13% average across four lists. Right on the multiple, wrong on the stock, repeatedly. $CVNA: -4% average — and I had it tagged Potential Fraud.

@stockgutter Sep 10

SG on X

@BertrandPirel to what do you attribute the substantial availability (1.85m shares) and low borrow cost (3.25%) for $GPRO at IBKR?

@BlueDuckCap Sep 10

BDC on X

Astute observation here. $STLN could not be better situated for the current environment, imo. https://t.co/sy97F9J9YU

Site Centers (NYSE:SITC)

Site Centers' $3 per-share return-of-capital distribution and December delisting leave a discounted liquidation stub, with two properties…

SITC $192MCURB $3.6B

Real Assets, Real Value Nov 4 5 clicks

Hedge Fund Manager David Orr Shares His Approach to Investing & Risk Management

David Orr describes running Militia Capital’s roughly 500-stock long-short portfolio, using expected value, correlation and factor…

ZG $7.8B

Raging Capital Nov 4 5 clicks

What AI Bubble? AXT Reports Record Q3 Revenue And Positive Forward Outlook (Rating Downgrade)

AXT reported record Q3 revenue as AI data-center demand for indium phosphide drives supply agreements and capacity expansion.

AXTI $3.1B

Alan Sumler Nov 4 1 click

Namib Minerals: Research Flash

Namib Minerals accelerates Redwing’s restart, targeting first gold this month and a ramp from 338 ounces monthly to 835 ounces by Q2 2027.

NAMM $46M

Atrium Research - Equity Research Nov 3 7 clicks

Educational Development (EDUC) – The Book Value Trap

Educational Development trades at 0.21x tangible book after selling its distribution complex to repay debt, but FY26's $2.3m profit masked…

EDUC $8.8M

Dismissed & Asset-Backed Nov 3 1 click

Stevanato down 30%. Yikes.

Stevanato fell 30% after forecasting low-single-digit 2027 growth as lower Nexa syringe volumes from a GLP-1 customer offset solid Q3…

STVN $3.6B

Best Anchor Stocks Nov 3 3 clicks

Transocean (RIG): Q3 2026 Earnings

Transocean enters its Valaris merger with 109 of 110 available deepwater rigs contracted and 313 million shares sold short, despite weaker…

RIG $5.8BVAL $5.5B

Cannibal Stocks Nov 3 2 clicks

Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust (NYSE: BXDC)

BXDC trades at a 14% discount to net liquidation value, with $1.9 billion of cash against a $1.6 billion market cap, ahead of data-center…

BXDC $2.1B

Real Assets, Real Value Nov 3 5 clicks

Why Essential Properties Realty Trust Keeps Winning

Essential Properties Realty Trust is growing faster than Realty Income through acquisition opportunities while trading at a cheaper…

EPRT $5.9B

Jussi Askola, CFA Nov 3

48 Top Stock Pitches (26th-1st November) [NO PAYWALL] 🖨️

Capital Employed rounds up 48 stock pitches, led by Greystone’s $14.50 target for organ-transplant logistics firm Strata Critical Medical,…

SRTA $498M

Capital Employed Nov 1 14 clicks

PRIM · long

Primoris Services CORP

Primoris Services, a $5 billion EPC contractor, has fallen about 60% from its peak.

PRIM $3.9B

Value Investors Club Aug 4

Initiation Report

Nine Mile Metals is initiated under research coverage.

VMSXF $14M

Atrium Research - Equity Research Nov 1 2 clicks

Idea Brunch with Jamil Tahir of TurnMark Capital

TurnMark Capital’s Jamil Tahir describes buying entrepreneur-led microcaps at fundamental inflection points and using Claude to automate…

AEYE $158M

Sunday's Idea Brunch Nov 1 3 clicks

Portfolio Update: October 2026 + Q3 Earnings outlook

Calumet and other refiners sold off alongside AI names, but the RIN thesis for renewable fuel earnings remains unchanged ahead of Q3…

CLMT $3.8B

Treasure Hunting Nov 1 4 clicks

Travelzoo ($TZOO): Members Pay Up Front, GAAP Calls It a Loss, and the Market Prices It Like It's Dying. I think the stock can 4x

Travelzoo’s roughly 400,000 prepaid members generate deferred revenue while acquisition costs hit GAAP earnings immediately, masking the…

TZOO $54M

Calvin Blissett Nov 1 2 clicks

When the liquidity does not add up

Arbor Realty Trust’s dividend suspension is presented as creating $60 million of liquidity, raising questions about its ability to meet…

ABR $2.2B

John Hempton's Newsletter Oct 31 4 clicks

Verra veerer

Verra Mobility’s Avis termination threatens 2027 earnings, while Government Solutions profit rose 25% and implied fourth-quarter guidance…

VRRM $333M

The Oak Bloke Oct 31 3 clicks

Life360 ($LIF): The Family App Wall Street Fell Out of Love With

Life360 has fallen 60% despite 40% revenue growth, 100 million monthly users and profitability, as its family-safety subscriptions and…

LIF $4B

Substack von Philipp Oct 31 4 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)

Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.

ADT $7.2BBBW $371M

TSOH Investment Research Oct 30 1 click

Tango: Upgrading 'Buy' Based On ESMO 2026 Vopimetostat PDAC Data And Pathway Advancement Clarity

Tango Therapeutics reported an 82% response rate and 88% nine-month PFS for vopimetostat plus RASONQUE in RAS-mutant pancreatic cancer,…

TNGX $3.6B

Terry Chrisomalis Oct 30 2 clicks

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Wednesday, November 4, 2026

Nat Stewart on X

Deep Sail Capital on X

Deep Sail Capital on X

Deep Sail Capital on X

Deep Sail Capital on X

Deep Sail Capital on X

SG on X

BDC on X

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