TWLO Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review
Twilio's Q3 revenue rose 20% to $1.56 billion, but Q4 organic growth guidance fell to 11% to 12% and RPO declined 28%.
Tuesday, November 3, 2026
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From X
catechwilliams on X
$AVO calling out the fact that they have been overearning and margins reverting. “experienced normalization of our per unit avocado margins during in Q1.” Noted weak harvest anticipated in Mexcico. $CVGW will be even more adversely impacted by these factors.
Derek Pilecki on X
BTW, his stock trades for 10x, posts an ROE of 17% while running with excess capital, and is part of a banking oligopoly in Puerto Rico. $OFG
catechwilliams on X
$DAKT CEO departing, new high-quality CFO (temp) w very attractive secular tailwinds in digital display demand + activist involvement = increased likelihood of takeout. Optimal business for PE. Multiple logical strategics. +75% upside.
catechwilliams on X
$FTDR Vol declining (existing home sales=driver). Pricing lagging inflation, massively over-earning. Problematic given 25% churn w aggressive new entrants. Dubious company overall. Investor day yesterday was comical, compared themselves to $NFLX. Earnings misses coming.
catechwilliams on X
$AVO $CVGW 1) Retailers $CMG, etc sourcing elsewhere given MX tariff risk. 2) Avocado price spike during last year’s peak harvest season enabled distributors to realize outsized margins. 1-time benefit has reversed, significant earnings misses ahead for these commodity businesses
catechwilliams on X
$NX Outlandishly guiding to flat 2025 sales, customers and channel -DD. Commodity window and door components facing pricing pressure from larger customers ($JELD, $OC). Now levered 4x, trading at a premium to higher value-add building products peers. Guide cut inevitable.
Investor Letters
All letters- Protean Funds October 2026 AAK $4.6BLFABF $13B
- Polen Capital 5Perspectives Growth Opportunities 3Q 2026 NET $97B
- Palm Harbour Capital third quarter 2026 ALFLE $116MBOIVF $12B
- Artisan Partners Q3 2026 HDLMY $35BIQV $43B
- Sound Shore Management third quarter of 2026 LUV $21BQXO $12B
- Curreen Capital July–September 2026 CLVT $1.4BAAP $2.9B
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory Q3 2026 OCTV $5.6BCALY $3B
- East 72 Period to 30 September 2026 BOIVF $12BAVOL $8.3B
Matt Murphy and Michael Hurlston Fireside Chat: Irrational Recap
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Stevanato down 30%. Yikes.
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Transocean (RIG): Q3 2026 Earnings
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Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust (NYSE: BXDC)
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Veeva Systems: AI Is The Icing, Not The Cake
Veeva Systems' Commercial Solutions returned to 13% subscription growth, while R&D and Quality grew 19.3%, with Falcon AI agents and…
Ignacio Planas Gonzalez 
Marvellous Value Destruction
Marvell’s proposed Lumentum deal risks alienating Cloudlight customers and losing engineering talent, despite limited optical integration…
ARS Pharmaceuticals: Lawsuits And Cash Burn Are Priced In, Yet The Stock Keeps Falling
ARS Pharmaceuticals’ neffy adoption and insurance hurdles have driven cash burn and a falling share price, while management targets…
Cypriot Invests 
Marvell for Lumentum: a new JDS-Uniphase?
Marvell Technology and Lumentum fell sharply after announcing a historic merger, reviving comparisons with JDS-Uniphase.
FTAI Aviation Update, Part Two
FTAI Aviation’s $234 million Jereh JV deposit funds Power inventory, while customer concentration, lower cash guidance and pending U.S.
Grab: Discount To Uber Makes Little Sense
Grab’s Southeast Asian delivery business nears a profitability inflection point, while consolidation and a potential GoTo deal challenge…
Wavelength Research 2 clicks
BioMarin Pharmaceuticals (BMRN) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review
BioMarin's Q3 revenue rose 32% to $1.02 billion after the Amicus acquisition, while Alesta charges drove an $82 million operating loss and…
BNTX Earnings Review
BioNTech's Q3 revenue beat consensus on €613 million of BMS partnership revenue, while COVID vaccine sales fell 35% and net cash totaled…
ON Semiconductor Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review
Onsemi's Q3 revenue rose 11% to $1.72 billion, driven by 175% AI data-center growth, while automotive revenue fell 1% and net debt dropped…
Marvell And Lumentum Merger Doesn't Make Any Sense To Me
Marvell’s all-stock Lumentum deal exposes LITE holders to MRVL volatility while paying peak-cycle AI multiples, with US and China antitrust…
Dustin Quasney 2 clicks
BSP · short Bending Spoons Spa
Bending Spoons is a software and digital-assets holding company that has completed more than 50 acquisitions since 2013.
Nebius: Headlines Look Good But Debt Markets Signal Caution (Rating Downgrade)
Nebius faces refinancing and dilution risks from short-term borrowing and heavy GPU infrastructure spending despite higher rental prices…
Hunting Alphas 2 clicks
DoorDash 3Q’26: Buying the Big Basket
DoorDash’s 3Q orders rose 28% as it announced a $17 billion Instacart acquisition, expanding its grocery basket strategy after buying…
[scuttleslops] RDDT, AI and cybersecurity, AMZN, MU, META, BLDR, RYAN
Reddit’s Google referrals fell by more than 1 million a week as AI search expands, prompting a logged-in-user push to protect ad yield and…
Iron Mountain: The Data-Focused REIT Looking To Climb Ahead After Q3 Results
Iron Mountain’s upgraded Q2 guidance, revenue, EBITDA and AFFO trends support its outlook before Nov.
Albert Anthony 3 clicks
Trading Post November 2, 2026: Global Payments Buyout Report Juices Payments Stocks, The Retail Trade, Hong Kong Calling Once Again
Global Payments rose 18% on a reported CD&R and GTCR take-private bid, while estimated control value is $45-$60 versus a $96.84 share price.
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