TWLO Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review
Twilio's Q3 revenue rose 20% to $1.56 billion, but Q4 organic growth guidance fell to 11% to 12% and RPO declined 28%.
Twilio's Q3 revenue rose 20% to $1.56 billion, but Q4 organic growth guidance fell to 11% to 12% and RPO declined 28%.
I sent out my Q1 investor letter this morning, sharing my investment thesis on $VRTS. If you didn't see a copy and are an accredited investor, DM me your email address, and I'll send it to you.
$ACA Levered roll-up (4x levered) hodgepodge of low-quality cap intensive commodity businesses w struggling end-markets (sub-scale aggregates, building products, ag). Negative organic growth w unrealistic guidance. Forced to sell an asset to avoid covenant breach. 30x P/E
$DAKT Just won the massive jumbotron project for the new Titans stadium. Estimated to be $180M. Will be the largest set of displays in the NFL. Bills, Browns stadiums to be announced soon. Wouldn’t be surprised if Mitsubishi acquires them given interest in the category.
With contract disputes and litigation set to surge, I believe Burford is well positioned to benefit. Struggling firms will increasingly look to shore up capital—Many cannot afford to wait 2+ years to see the case through. $BUR
Burford’s value prop is high to these firms, and the significant supply spike puts them in a fantastic position to capitalize on the demand for cash. Additionally settlement with Argentine government seems highly likely at this point. Long $BUR
$NX 5% of COGS/ direct input costs sourced from China. Tariffs + zero pricing power, high fixed cost structure + only 30% GMs = 25-30% hit to EBIT. Add 4x leverage, declining volumes, ambitious mgmt guidance while integrating a large acquisition is a setup for a trainwreck.
Marvell and Lumentum’s merger targets uVCSEL scale-in optics, combining Marvell’s DSP and analog IP with Lumentum’s laser manufacturing for…
Stevanato fell 30% after forecasting low-single-digit 2027 growth as lower Nexa syringe volumes from a GLP-1 customer offset solid Q3…
Transocean enters its Valaris merger with 109 of 110 available deepwater rigs contracted and 313 million shares sold short, despite weaker…
BXDC trades at a 14% discount to net liquidation value, with $1.9 billion of cash against a $1.6 billion market cap, ahead of data-center…
Veeva Systems' Commercial Solutions returned to 13% subscription growth, while R&D and Quality grew 19.3%, with Falcon AI agents and…
Marvell’s proposed Lumentum deal risks alienating Cloudlight customers and losing engineering talent, despite limited optical integration…
Nebius faces refinancing and dilution risks from short-term borrowing and heavy GPU infrastructure spending despite higher rental prices…
Marvell Technology and Lumentum fell sharply after announcing a historic merger, reviving comparisons with JDS-Uniphase.
FTAI Aviation’s $234 million Jereh JV deposit funds Power inventory, while customer concentration, lower cash guidance and pending U.S.
Grab’s Southeast Asian delivery business nears a profitability inflection point, while consolidation and a potential GoTo deal challenge…
BioMarin's Q3 revenue rose 32% to $1.02 billion after the Amicus acquisition, while Alesta charges drove an $82 million operating loss and…
BioNTech's Q3 revenue beat consensus on €613 million of BMS partnership revenue, while COVID vaccine sales fell 35% and net cash totaled…
Onsemi's Q3 revenue rose 11% to $1.72 billion, driven by 175% AI data-center growth, while automotive revenue fell 1% and net debt dropped…
Marvell’s all-stock Lumentum deal exposes LITE holders to MRVL volatility while paying peak-cycle AI multiples, with US and China antitrust…
BSP · short Bending Spoons is a software and digital-assets holding company that has completed more than 50 acquisitions since 2013.
DoorDash’s 3Q orders rose 28% as it announced a $17 billion Instacart acquisition, expanding its grocery basket strategy after buying…
Kinross faces a roughly 6% 2026 guidance miss after lower Round Mountain and La Coipa output, while costs rose 20% year over year.
Reddit’s Google referrals fell by more than 1 million a week as AI search expands, prompting a logged-in-user push to protect ad yield and…
Iron Mountain’s upgraded Q2 guidance, revenue, EBITDA and AFFO trends support its outlook before Nov.
Global Payments rose 18% on a reported CD&R and GTCR take-private bid, while estimated control value is $45-$60 versus a $96.84 share price.
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