Tuesday, November 3, 2026

TWLO Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Twilio's Q3 revenue rose 20% to $1.56 billion, but Q4 organic growth guidance fell to 11% to 12% and RPO declined 28%.

TWLO $33B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 3 3 clicks

Nov 3 INCY $24B

Incyte (INCY) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 3 clicks

Nov 3 REGN $94B

Regeneron (REGN) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 1 click

From X

@catechwilliams Feb 28 3 clicks

catechwilliams on X

$FTDR Vol declining (existing home sales=driver). Pricing lagging inflation, massively over-earning. Problematic given 25% churn w aggressive new entrants. Dubious company overall. Investor day yesterday was comical, compared themselves to $NFLX. Earnings misses coming.

@catechwilliams Feb 12 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$AVO $CVGW 1) Retailers $CMG, etc sourcing elsewhere given MX tariff risk. 2) Avocado price spike during last year’s peak harvest season enabled distributors to realize outsized margins. 1-time benefit has reversed, significant earnings misses ahead for these commodity businesses

@catechwilliams Feb 11

catechwilliams on X

$NX Outlandishly guiding to flat 2025 sales, customers and channel -DD. Commodity window and door components facing pricing pressure from larger customers ($JELD, $OC). Now levered 4x, trading at a premium to higher value-add building products peers. Guide cut inevitable.

@catechwilliams Feb 5

catechwilliams on X

$J Beat earnings yesterday. Holding back detailed guidance for Investor Day (2/18)—likely raise ’25 #s, 4-year financial targets w significant upside on margins ($ACM and other peers +15% EBITDA margins). Record backlog and multi-year growth runway.

@CapitalVoss Jan 29 1 click

Voss Capital on X

The industrial logic for the $UNF and $CTAS merger captured in one picture. Both have been going to the Chipotle (or same strip center) near our office in Houston on the same days at the same time (the store was closed at the time this pic was taken). https://t.co/zxTIFVgn1s

@AlphaVulture Dec 20

Alpha Vulture on X

Tough end of the year in merger arb land $BATL, $RVNC, $X, $ACI, $CPRI

@catechwilliams Dec 19

catechwilliams on X

$NX Rapidly declining levered (4x) commodity biz. Q1’25 guide -12% sales, mgmt hoping for 2H’25 recovery. End-mkts deteriorating ($OC -20% Q4 guide, $JELD), customer losses, internal controls issues, integrating a large acq, 0 prior M&A experience. +30x P/E on best case 2025 #s

@HedgeyeRetail Dec 18

Brian McGough on X

We went Long $BIRK this past weekend. The call was timed ahead of this print, which we thought would be well ahead. But the call is much bigger than beating the qtr. No reason why this won't compound to a double+ over TAIL duration.

Matt Murphy and Michael Hurlston Fireside Chat: Irrational Recap

Marvell and Lumentum’s merger targets uVCSEL scale-in optics, combining Marvell’s DSP and analog IP with Lumentum’s laser manufacturing for…

LITE $48B

Irrational Analysis Nov 3 4 clicks

Stevanato down 30%. Yikes.

Stevanato fell 30% after forecasting low-single-digit 2027 growth as lower Nexa syringe volumes from a GLP-1 customer offset solid Q3…

STVN $3.6B

Best Anchor Stocks Nov 3 3 clicks

Transocean (RIG): Q3 2026 Earnings

Transocean enters its Valaris merger with 109 of 110 available deepwater rigs contracted and 313 million shares sold short, despite weaker…

RIG $5.8BVAL $5.5B

Cannibal Stocks Nov 3 2 clicks

Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust (NYSE: BXDC)

BXDC trades at a 14% discount to net liquidation value, with $1.9 billion of cash against a $1.6 billion market cap, ahead of data-center…

BXDC $2.1B

Real Assets, Real Value Nov 3 5 clicks

Veeva Systems: AI Is The Icing, Not The Cake

Veeva Systems' Commercial Solutions returned to 13% subscription growth, while R&D and Quality grew 19.3%, with Falcon AI agents and…

VEEV $49B

Ignacio Planas Gonzalez Nov 3

Marvellous Value Destruction

Marvell’s proposed Lumentum deal risks alienating Cloudlight customers and losing engineering talent, despite limited optical integration…

LITE $48B

Irrational Analysis Nov 3 2 clicks

Nebius: Headlines Look Good But Debt Markets Signal Caution (Rating Downgrade)

Nebius faces refinancing and dilution risks from short-term borrowing and heavy GPU infrastructure spending despite higher rental prices…

NBIS $38B

Hunting Alphas Nov 2 2 clicks

Marvell for Lumentum: a new JDS-Uniphase?

Marvell Technology and Lumentum fell sharply after announcing a historic merger, reviving comparisons with JDS-Uniphase.

LITE $48B

The Technology Letter Nov 2 1 click

FTAI Aviation Update, Part Two

FTAI Aviation’s $234 million Jereh JV deposit funds Power inventory, while customer concentration, lower cash guidance and pending U.S.

FTAI $17B

CV's Substack Nov 2 5 clicks

Grab: Discount To Uber Makes Little Sense

Grab’s Southeast Asian delivery business nears a profitability inflection point, while consolidation and a potential GoTo deal challenge…

GRAB $14B

Wavelength Research Nov 2 2 clicks

BioMarin Pharmaceuticals (BMRN) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

BioMarin's Q3 revenue rose 32% to $1.02 billion after the Amicus acquisition, while Alesta charges drove an $82 million operating loss and…

BMRN $11B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 3

BNTX Earnings Review

BioNTech's Q3 revenue beat consensus on €613 million of BMS partnership revenue, while COVID vaccine sales fell 35% and net cash totaled…

BNTX $22B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 3 1 click

ON Semiconductor Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Onsemi's Q3 revenue rose 11% to $1.72 billion, driven by 175% AI data-center growth, while automotive revenue fell 1% and net debt dropped…

ON $28B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 3 2 clicks

Marvell And Lumentum Merger Doesn't Make Any Sense To Me

Marvell’s all-stock Lumentum deal exposes LITE holders to MRVL volatility while paying peak-cycle AI multiples, with US and China antitrust…

LITE $48B

Dustin Quasney Nov 3 2 clicks

BSP · short

Bending Spoons Spa

Bending Spoons is a software and digital-assets holding company that has completed more than 50 acquisitions since 2013.

BSP $29B

Value Investors Club Aug 5 1 click

DoorDash 3Q’26: Buying the Big Basket

DoorDash’s 3Q orders rose 28% as it announced a $17 billion Instacart acquisition, expanding its grocery basket strategy after buying…

DASH $86B

MBI Deep Dives Nov 2 2 clicks

Kinross: Back On The Sale Rack (Rating Upgrade)

Kinross faces a roughly 6% 2026 guidance miss after lower Round Mountain and La Coipa output, while costs rose 20% year over year.

KGC $25B

Taylor Dart Nov 2 2 clicks

[scuttleslops] RDDT, AI and cybersecurity, AMZN, MU, META, BLDR, RYAN

Reddit’s Google referrals fell by more than 1 million a week as AI search expands, prompting a logged-in-user push to protect ad yield and…

RDDT $18B

scuttleblurb Nov 2 3 clicks

Iron Mountain: The Data-Focused REIT Looking To Climb Ahead After Q3 Results

Iron Mountain’s upgraded Q2 guidance, revenue, EBITDA and AFFO trends support its outlook before Nov.

IRM $33B

Albert Anthony Nov 2 3 clicks

Trading Post November 2, 2026: Global Payments Buyout Report Juices Payments Stocks, The Retail Trade, Hong Kong Calling Once Again

Global Payments rose 18% on a reported CD&R and GTCR take-private bid, while estimated control value is $45-$60 versus a $96.84 share price.

GPN $25BFIS $16B

Cassandra Unchained Nov 2 2 clicks

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Tuesday, November 3, 2026

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