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Monday, November 2, 2026

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BMRN Earnings Review

BioMarin’s Q3 revenue rose 32% to $1.02 billion after the Amicus acquisition, while lower 2026 guidance and $2.8 billion of net debt weighed on earnings.

BMRN $11B
Cestrian Capital Research 1 click

From X

@aleabitoreddit 3 clicks

Serenity on X

I made a new “It’s All Over” portfolio today of even higher beta names than $AAOI. The requirements: 1. Fell off a cliff 2. Lower than when they announced their catalysts 3. Increasing fundamentals 4. Looks like the chart 5. Short interest spiking Stuff like $ALMU at $7, $CIFR at $8, $ASTS at $39, and some Leopold trades like $TE at $2.5, $SHAZ at $25. Not a recommendation, just curious how this performs into year end while doomposts are everywhere. Anyone got any other ones?
@stockgutter 1 click

SG on X

$ZURA Q3 report looked fine to me. All eyes awaiting H2 readout. Just bought this last week, covered by calls. Options premia were off the charts then and still are quite large (e.g. while the stock was trading 3.36, my net price for the portion I covered with Nov 5C was 2.46. Even less for the portion I covered w Mar 7.5C). I realize readout could occur before Nov expiry and the options reflect the risk of a bad readout. I'm comfortable taking that risk.
@StableBread 1 click

Fajasy on X

The IPO price, share count, and run-rate revenue as of October 31, 2026 are still blank, and so is how much cash Anthropic will spend on employees' taxes for RSUs that settle at the IPO. Anthropic plans to list on Nasdaq as $ANT, with $GS and $MS leading the deal. Five of Anthropic's co-founders are also selling shares in the IPO, although the S-1 leaves the number blank. Anthropic's lock-ups release shares in stages, with 23 scheduled release dates over its first year as a public company, starting on its first trading day. So instead of one lock-up expiration, insider shares can hit the market every few weeks for a year. Read the S-1 yourself on SECSift: Read the S-1 yourself on SECSift: https://t.co/1JG6dtlTu7
@StableBread

Fajasy on X

Anthropic also had three run-ins with the U.S. government in 2026: 1) On February 27, the President ordered federal agencies to stop using Anthropic's models, and the Department of War designated the company a supply-chain risk to national security. Anthropic largely won its district court case, but lost a separate 2-1 ruling at the D.C. Circuit on September 25, 2026, and has asked the full court to rehear the case. 2) In June, Anthropic disabled its Fable 5 and Mythos 5 models for all customers when the Commerce Department restricted their export worldwide (since lifted). 3) In October, the FTC sent Anthropic a civil investigative demand (a formal request for information) on its consumer protection, data protection, and privacy practices, and the safety and security of its products. Anthropic also still owed $1.2B of its $1.5B Bartz settlement with book authors as of June 30, 2026, and faces training-data suits from music publishers, Canadian authors and news publishers, and Reddit $RDDT.

Investor Letters

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PRIM · long

Primoris Services CORP

Primoris Services, a $5 billion EPC contractor, has fallen about 60% from its peak.

PRIM $3.9B
Value Investors Club

Altria: Dutiful

Altria raised 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $5.66 to $5.74 and authorized more buybacks, while on! loses share as cigarette margins hold.

MO $130B
Invariant 2 clicks

When the liquidity does not add up

Arbor Realty Trust’s dividend suspension is presented as creating $60 million of liquidity, raising questions about its ability to meet…

ABR $2.2B
John Hempton's Newsletter 3 clicks

Verra veerer

Verra Mobility’s Avis termination threatens 2027 earnings, while Government Solutions profit rose 25% and implied fourth-quarter guidance…

VRRM $404M
The Oak Bloke 2 clicks

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