Portfolio Update: October 2026 + Q3 Earnings outlook
Calumet and other refiners sold off alongside AI names, but the RIN thesis for renewable fuel earnings remains unchanged ahead of Q3 results.
Calumet and other refiners sold off alongside AI names, but the RIN thesis for renewable fuel earnings remains unchanged ahead of Q3 results.
CALL INVITE -> $WRBY | 5-Year 10-Bagger That Starts In 2026 https://t.co/cpKbAGLwDM via @hedgeye
Wanna know why $WRBY is +10% this morning? Ask @Hedgeye
Here is a link to our Q3 2025 letter to Partners. Theme: Escaping value purgatory. https://t.co/ZSdzeu3Plg $FIVN $XPOF $EEFT $PRKS $CLBT $FLYW @jonrice80 @taylor_hndrson @Scott_K_Rodgers @AggieCapitalist https://t.co/523nEw39yJ
$PTRN Recent IPO. $AMZN Mktplace wholesaler. Buys products up front, capital intensive, bears price, inventory risk. Exposed to FBA cost & AMZN algo changes. Claims AI optimization which AMZN explicitly blocks. Razor thin margins, neg op leverage. All peers went BK in last 3yrs.
I sent out our Q3 investor letter last week. I wrote up my investment thesis on $FFBC. If you haven't seen it and are an accredited investor, DM me your email address, and I will send it over.
Good quarter from $NATL and thesis on track. -The ATMaaS business continues to outperform... 37% y/y growth in Q3... and it's on track to be 40%+ in Q4, well ahead of our expectations -SSB delivered >50% incremental EBITDA margins in Q3, fueling 21% EBITDA growth for the segment
$BFAM this is quickly becoming Kindercare...a part time day care business with plenty of hair...at a massive premium valuation https://t.co/Qyl0hbcakL https://t.co/lcYfNKtUaI
Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.
Tango Therapeutics reported an 82% response rate and 88% nine-month PFS for vopimetostat plus RASONQUE in RAS-mutant pancreatic cancer,…
Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.
Group 1 Automotive trades at 5.5 times earnings as aging gasoline vehicles and EV repairs sustain service profits; insiders bought while…
Alexandria Real Estate (ARE) faces lease expirations and occupancy pressure through 2028, but leasing momentum supports a projected…
Enova’s Q3 2026 revenue exceeded $1 billion as originations rose 31%, while its failed Grasshopper Bank bid drove a 23% one-day stock…
Innodata shares fell 25% to $44.74 after India Today reported 550 job cuts in India.
AppFolio grew third-quarter revenue 19% as Realm-X AI agents gained adoption, lifting guidance to $1.122 billion to $1.127 billion.
TTM Technologies’ record Q3 and data-center exposure drove a 27.7% stock drop as investors questioned debt-funded growth, leverage and the…
Monte Investments updates Carpenter Technology after a 25% sell-off, tracks EQT’s $12.83 billion Range Resources acquisition and assesses…
PRIM · long Primoris Services, a $5 billion EPC contractor, has fallen about 60% from its peak.
Rithm Capital’s 0.74x-book valuation and 2.2x dividend coverage contrast with Dynex’s payout above earnings, leaving RITM better positioned…
Small- and mid-cap data center stocks trade as one despite sharply different funding bridges: 12 of 15 cover fixed costs on signed…
Amkor's Q3 sales were flat at $1.991 billion as computing and automotive/industrial growth offset a 27% communications decline; Q4 sales…
Molina Healthcare and Kinsale Capital’s earnings are reassessed through a long-term lens, emphasizing conviction and detachment during…
Duolingo sacrificed over $50 million of 2026 bookings to reduce free-app friction, reaccelerate daily users and target 100 million DAUs by…
Signet Jewelers cut its share count from 87 million to 38 million since 2012 as short interest reaches 15%, amid a hated diamond market.
Six Value Line small caps including Blackbaud, Marqeta, Ranger Energy and Definitive Healthcare trade on net cash, buybacks, low multiples…
EXLService's AI-led business, 61% of revenue and growing 30% year over year, trades at 18 times forward earnings after legacy digital…
TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Ally’s improving credit and capital returns, Pepsi’s weak beverage brands, and Match Group’s plan to revive…
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